Missouri State vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Liberty

Missouri State go up against Liberty at Williams Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NCAAF predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

We’re Backing Liberty on the Spread

It’s time to go for Liberty against the spread, especially with an attractive -7.5 line at -110. Our prediction is that this can be comfortably achieved when playing Missouri State.

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Both Teams Won Last Time Out

Missouri State Bears claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 28-21 triumph against Florida International Panthers at Robert W. Plaster Stadium made it three straight wins.

Liberty Flames won their last game 59-30, making it three victories on the bounce. This was a home win at Williams Stadium against Delaware Blue Hens.

Missouri State vs Liberty Prediction & Picks

The Missouri State vs Liberty betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to cover the spread by backing Liberty at -7.5 in this college football matchup. We can get odds of -110 about the betting favorites and this is our pick.

Our CFB predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our picks.

Key Missouri State vs Liberty stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Liberty in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Missouri State in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Liberty -7.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.

There are many options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

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Best Bet

Liberty -7.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Missouri State 13 - 30 Liberty

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Flames to achieve a 30-13 win could be along the right lines. There are huge odds for this particular outcome.

Missouri State vs Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Liberty Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

Liberty are regarded as having a 75% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -303. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Missouri State are trading at +245.

The spread is 7.5 and the total points line is currently 51.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 51.5 can find odds of -110 available.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Missouri State

+245

Liberty

-303

Point Spread

Missouri State +7.5

-110

Liberty -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 51.5

-110

Over 51.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on quarterback and player props such as First/Last Touchdown Scorer, Passing Yards, Player Passing Attempts, Interceptions and Kicking Points. The gambling sites will provide plenty of options.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college football. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Drive Result and Next Play Result are often among the options.

Liberty Have Won Eight of Their Last Ten Home Games

Liberty have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 32.40 points per matchup and giving up 22.90.

Missouri State have rattled off three road wins in a row. They have gone 3-7 across their last 10 road games, posting 18.00 points per contest while yielding 38.70.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Liberty Home Stats		8-2	55.30	32.40	22.90	7	3
Missouri State Away Stats		3-7	56.70	18.00	38.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Missouri State Bears Stats

Liberty Flames Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 30.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.00 pts and allowed 38.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 52.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.00 pts and allowed 23.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Western Kentucky	7	2	271	205	66	4-1	3-1	2W
Kennesaw State	6	2	210	169	41	5-0	1-2	6W
Jacksonville State	5	3	239	207	32	3-0	2-3	3W
Louisiana Tech	5	3	229	145	84	4-1	1-2	1W
Missouri State	5	3	182	216	-34	2-2	3-1	3W
Liberty	4	4	193	181	12	3-1	1-3	3W
Delaware Blue Hens	4	4	234	257	-23	3-1	1-3	1L
FIU	3	5	178	239	-61	2-2	1-3	2L
New Mexico State	3	5	171	203	-32	3-1	0-4	3L
UTEP	2	6	167	202	-35	1-3	1-3	1L
M. Tennessee	1	7	151	232	-81	0-4	1-3	5L
Sam Houston	0	8	133	327	-194	0-3	0-5	8L