Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Nevada vs Fresno State

Nevada clash with Fresno State in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Bulldog Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Back Fresno State to Overpower Nevada

Fresno State at -13.5 on the spread really stand out. We are prepared to wager at odds of -114 and expect the favorites to cover this line against Nevada.

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Fresno State Won 24-21 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Nevada Wolf Pack have been beaten in successive games and the latest was on the road at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers claimed a 31-16 win.

Fresno State Bulldogs won their last game 23-21, making it four on the bounce. This was a road victory at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex against Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fresno State had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At MacKay Stadium, they recorded a 24-21 win over Nevada. The previous 6 games featuring these teams have resulted in four Fresno State victories.

Quarterbacks

Chubba Purdy

150.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

E.J. Warner

202.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction & Picks

Our Nevada vs Fresno State tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

There’s everything to like about the -13.5 line that the favorites have to cover in this college football battle. Take the -114 and feel confident that Fresno State get the job done.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Nevada vs Fresno State stats:

• The -13.5 line has been covered by Fresno State in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -13.5 line has been covered by Fresno State in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -13.5 line has been covered by Fresno State in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nevada in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nevada in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +13.5 line hasn’t been covered by Nevada in 3 consecutive games on the road.

Fresno State -13.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.

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Best Bet

Fresno State -13.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rayshon Luke Anytime TD -161

You can back Rayshon Luke (Fresno State) at -161 to break the plane of the end zone. We’re happy to take the odds that he’ll score at least one touchdown in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Rayshon Luke Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-161

First

+470

---

E.J. Warner Over 202.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for E.J. Warner (Fresno State) to rack up over 202.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest E.J. Warner Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+410

First

+2000

Passing Yards

Over 202.5

-114

Under 202.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Nevada 13 - 35 Fresno State

There’s the chance to back the Dogs in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 35-13 triumph in their favor.

Nevada vs Fresno State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Fresno State Win on the Cards According to the Books

Fresno State are strong -526 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 84% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +400 about Nevada.

The spread is currently 13.5, with the total points line at 45.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 45.5 can find odds of -105 available.

If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Nevada

+400

Fresno State

-526

Point Spread

Nevada +13.5

-106

Fresno State -13.5

-114

Total Points

Under 45.5

-105

Over 45.5

-115

Bryson Donelson Favorite to Score First Touchdown

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Bryson Donelson at +310. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

Bryson Donelson (Fresno State)

First TD

+310

Anytime TD

-238

Rayshon Luke (Fresno State)

First TD

+470

Anytime TD

-161

Josiah Freeman (Fresno State)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+140

Ezekiel Avit (Fresno State)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+170

Herschel Turner (Nevada)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Richie Anderson (Fresno State)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+250

Chubba Purdy (Nevada)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+210

Marcus Bellon (Nevada)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+220

Jett Carpenter (Nevada)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+370

E.J. Warner (Fresno State)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Caleb Ramseur (Nevada)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+380

Jayon Farrar (Fresno State)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+600

Jace Henry (Nevada)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Nate Burleson II (Nevada)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Receiving Yards

Josiah Freeman (Fresno State)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Marcus Bellon (Nevada)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Ezekiel Avit (Fresno State)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bryson Donelson (Fresno State)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Herschel Turner (Nevada)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Chubba Purdy (Nevada)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Passing Yards

E.J. Warner (Fresno State)

Over 202.5

-114

Under 202.5

-114

Chubba Purdy (Nevada)

Over 150.5

-114

Under 150.5

-114

Fresno State Have Collected Seven Wins From Last Ten at Home

Fresno State own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 34.70 points on offense and surrendering 16.70 on defense.

Nevada have taken seven consecutive losses away from home. They have gone 1-9 across their last 10 road games, putting up 17.80 points on average and giving up 33.60.

Fresno State beat Nevada 27-9 in their most recent meeting at Bulldog Stadium. From their last 3 head-to-head matchups at Bulldog Stadium, Fresno State have collected two wins and Nevada one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O45.5	U45.5
Fresno State Home Stats		7-3	51.40	34.70	16.70	7	3
Nevada Away Stats		1-9	51.40	17.80	33.60	9	1

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
• U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Nevada Wolf Pack Stats

Fresno State Bulldogs Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.90 pts and allowed 29.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 33.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.30 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.70 pts and allowed 16.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNLV	4	0	147	113	34	2-0	2-0	4W
Fresno State	4	1	164	100	64	2-0	2-1	4W
Boise State	3	1	154	99	55	2-0	1-1	3W
New Mexico	3	1	122	86	36	2-0	1-1	3W
San Diego State	3	1	95	39	56	2-0	1-1	2W
Hawaii	4	2	154	141	13	3-1	1-1	1W
Utah State	3	2	182	152	30	3-0	0-2	1L
Wyoming	2	2	67	75	-8	1-1	1-1	2L
Air Force	1	3	151	155	-4	1-2	0-1	3L
Colorado State	1	3	61	92	-31	1-2	0-1	2L
Nevada	1	3	60	108	-48	1-1	0-2	2L
San Jose State	1	3	81	112	-31	1-1	0-2	1L