Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Nevada vs Fresno State
Nevada clash with Fresno State in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Bulldog Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday, October 4. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Fresno State at -13.5 on the spread really stand out. We are prepared to wager at odds of -114 and expect the favorites to cover this line against Nevada.
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Nevada Wolf Pack have been beaten in successive games and the latest was on the road at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers claimed a 31-16 win.
Fresno State Bulldogs won their last game 23-21, making it four on the bounce. This was a road victory at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex against Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Fresno State had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At MacKay Stadium, they recorded a 24-21 win over Nevada. The previous 6 games featuring these teams have resulted in four Fresno State victories.
Quarterbacks
Chubba Purdy
E.J. Warner
Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction & Picks
Our Nevada vs Fresno State tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Game Prediction
There’s everything to like about the -13.5 line that the favorites have to cover in this college football battle. Take the -114 and feel confident that Fresno State get the job done.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Nevada vs Fresno State stats:
Fresno State -13.5 Probability
Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.
Want to back Fresno State to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different selections can be combined to good effect.
Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Rayshon Luke (Fresno State) at -161 to break the plane of the end zone. We’re happy to take the odds that he’ll score at least one touchdown in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.
The odds for E.J. Warner (Fresno State) to rack up over 202.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Fresno State to cover the -13.5 spread, Over 45.5 on the total and a touchdown to be scored by Rayshon Luke (Fresno State).
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the football lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised betting doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
13
-
35
Fresno State
There’s the chance to back the Dogs in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 35-13 triumph in their favor.
Nevada vs Fresno State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Fresno State are strong -526 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 84% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +400 about Nevada.
The spread is currently 13.5, with the total points line at 45.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 45.5 can find odds of -105 available.
If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.
The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Bryson Donelson at +300. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.
Fresno State Have Collected Seven Wins From Last Ten at Home
Fresno State own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 34.70 points on offense and surrendering 16.70 on defense.
Nevada have taken seven consecutive losses away from home. They have gone 1-9 across their last 10 road games, putting up 17.80 points on average and giving up 33.60.
Fresno State beat Nevada 27-9 in their most recent meeting at Bulldog Stadium. From their last 3 head-to-head matchups at Bulldog Stadium, Fresno State have collected two wins and Nevada one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O45.5 | U45.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fresno State Home Stats |
7-3 | 51.40 | 34.70 | 16.70 | 7 | 3 | |
 Nevada Away Stats |
1-9 | 51.40 | 17.80 | 33.60 | 9 | 1 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
- U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Nevada Wolf Pack Stats
Fresno State Bulldogs Stats
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 46.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.90 pts and allowed 29.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 33.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 50.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.30 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.70 pts and allowed 16.70 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mountain West | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV
|
10 | 3 | 467 | 375 | 92 | 5-1 | 5-2 | 1L |
New Mexico
|
9 | 3 | 335 | 270 | 65 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 6W |
San Diego State
|
9 | 3 | 296 | 151 | 145 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 1L |
Boise State
|
9 | 4 | 408 | 299 | 109 | 6-1 | 3-3 | 3W |
|
Fresno State
|
8 | 4 | 317 | 241 | 76 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 1W |
Hawaii
|
8 | 4 | 342 | 282 | 60 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 1W |
Utah State
|
6 | 6 | 381 | 339 | 42 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 1L |
Air Force
|
4 | 8 | 358 | 364 | -6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1W |
Wyoming
|
4 | 8 | 192 | 246 | -54 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 4L |
|
Nevada
|
3 | 9 | 211 | 330 | -119 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 1L |
San Jose State
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 390 | -133 | 3-3 | 0-6 | 4L |
Colorado State
|
2 | 10 | 222 | 370 | -148 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 6L |
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