Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Nevada vs New Mexico

Nevada go up against New Mexico in this NCAAF Week 8 clash at University Stadium, Albuquerque, with kickoff scheduled for 21:45 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Nevada and New Mexico to Serve Up Points Frenzy

We’ve got a strong opinion when New Mexico go up against Nevada. Our prediction is that there will be Over 49.5 points and that is available at -105 on the totals.

Going with our Totals selection? Make sure you’ve locked in the latest BetMGM promo code and checked out our full review before placing your wager.

34-24 Victory for Nevada in Last H2H

Nevada Wolf Pack have lost in their previous four outings. In a recent home game at MacKay Stadium, they were turned over 44-10 by San Diego State Aztecs.

New Mexico Lobos lost on the road in their last game, making it back-to-back defeats. Boise State Broncos won 41-25 at Albertsons Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 34-24 win for Nevada at MacKay Stadium when they last played New Mexico. We’ve seen a Nevada win for each of the past 3 games between the teams.

Nevada vs New Mexico Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your Nevada vs New Mexico bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We think that 49.5 is a more than generous total for Over backers in this college football showdown. Take the -105 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college football handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Nevada vs New Mexico stats:

• The 49.5 line has been covered in the last 11 New Mexico games at home.
• The 49.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 New Mexico games.

Over 49.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs bet, it’s possible to combine this with the winning team. The Result & Total lines can provide a larger potential payout.

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Best Bet

Over 49.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nevada 17 - 35 New Mexico

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on New Mexico. Backing them to win 35-17 means you can land a potential monster return.

Nevada vs New Mexico Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

New Mexico Big Favorites on the Moneyline

According to the Moneyline betting odds, New Mexico are red-hot -500 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 83% chance of winning this college game. Nevada are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +390.

13.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 49.5 right now. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 49.5, this outcome can be backed at -105. 

If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Nevada

+390

UNM

-500

Point Spread

Nevada +13.5

-110

UNM -13.5

-110

Total Points

Under 49.5

-115

Over 49.5

-105

Player Props & Micro Betting

There is regularly value to be found from betting the quarterback and player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then college football micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on what will happen on the next snap by staking your money on the Next Play Result.

Can New Mexico Stay Hot at Home?

New Mexico have reeled off three straight wins at University Stadium, Albuquerque. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games at home, posting 35.40 points per matchup while yielding 35.70.

Nevada have dropped eight road games in a row. They have one win and nine losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 17.10 points on average and giving up 31.50.

When the teams last met at University Stadium, Albuquerque, Nevada beat New Mexico 27-20.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
New Mexico Home Stats		5-5	71.10	35.40	35.70	10	0
Nevada Away Stats		1-9	48.60	17.10	31.50	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
• U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Nevada Wolf Pack Stats

New Mexico Lobos Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.20 pts and allowed 29.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.10 pts and allowed 31.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 60.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 71.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.90 pts and allowed 30.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 35.40 pts and allowed 35.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNLV	6	0	229	178	51	3-0	3-0	6W
San Diego State	5	1	184	73	111	3-0	2-1	4W
Fresno State	5	2	205	166	39	3-0	2-2	1L
Hawaii	5	2	198	167	31	4-1	1-1	2W
Boise State	4	2	202	152	50	3-0	1-2	1W
New Mexico	3	3	175	162	13	2-0	1-3	2L
Utah State	3	3	208	196	12	3-0	0-3	2L
Wyoming	3	3	119	134	-15	2-2	1-1	1W
Colorado State	2	4	134	158	-24	2-2	0-2	1W
San Jose State	2	4	144	175	-31	2-1	0-3	1L
Air Force	1	5	230	240	-10	1-2	0-3	5L
Nevada	1	5	87	172	-85	1-2	0-3	4L