New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico vs Boise State

New Mexico meet Boise State in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Albertsons Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:45 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Why Under 58.5 Looks the Best Betting Option

We’re going for a modest total when Boise State clash with New Mexico. Under 58.5 could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at odds of -110.

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Boise State Beat New Mexico Last Time Out

New Mexico Lobos were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at CEFCU Stadium. San Jose State Spartans claimed a 35-28 win.

Boise State Broncos have landed two home wins on the spin. It was a road defeat to Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their last game, losing 28-7 at Notre Dame Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Albertsons Stadium, with Boise claiming the win. Beating New Mexico by a 42-14 scoreline. For the past 4 games involving these teams, there has been a Boise win every time.

New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential New Mexico vs Boise State betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident about the number of points to be scored when the teams take to the field in this college football battle. Therefore, the pick is Under 58.5 points which is available at -110.

We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key New Mexico vs Boise State stats:

• The 58.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 New Mexico games this season.
• The 58.5 line hasn’t been covered in 2 of the last 3 New Mexico games on the road this season.
• The 58.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Boise State games at home.
• The 58.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Boise State games.
• The 58.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 58.5 Probability

If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

There’s the opportunity to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Result & Total lines provides a great chance to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

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Best Bet

Under 58.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

New Mexico 17 - 35 Boise State

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for Boise State to achieve a 35-17 win and hopefully this goes close.

New Mexico vs Boise State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Boise State Big Favorites on the Moneyline

Boise State are strong -714 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 88% chance of claiming victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, New Mexico are trading at +520.

16.5 is the spread and 59.5 is the total points line. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 59.5 at -115.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college football clashes. The top betting sites offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

UNM

+520

Boise State

-714

Point Spread

UNM +16.5

-110

Boise State -16.5

-110

Total Points

Under 59.5

-115

Over 59.5

-105

Player Props & Micro Betting

If you have a view on Player Interceptions, Passing Attempts or Longest Pass Completion, then the player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on a player or quarterback to perform well.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college football and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Boise Riding a Home Hot Streak

Boise State have put together nine straight wins at Albertsons Stadium. They have a 9-1 record in their last 10 home games, posting 42.20 points per contest while yielding 20.10.

New Mexico are 4-6 in their last 10 road games, averaging 29.50 points on offense and surrendering 34.10 on defense.

The previous meeting at Albertsons Stadium saw Boise defeat New Mexico 42-14. In their past 3 head-to-heads at Albertsons Stadium, Boise have won each one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O58.5	U58.5
Boise State Home Stats		9-1	62.30	42.20	20.10	6	4
New Mexico Away Stats		4-6	63.60	29.50	34.10	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
• U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico Lobos Stats

Boise State Broncos Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +16.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -16.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 63.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 58.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.00 pts and allowed 27.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 34.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 61.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 58.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.90 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 41.40 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNLV	5	0	178	130	48	2-0	3-0	5W
Fresno State	5	1	184	117	67	3-0	2-1	5W
San Diego State	4	1	140	63	77	3-0	1-1	3W
Hawaii	4	2	154	141	13	3-1	1-1	1W
Boise State	3	2	161	127	34	2-0	1-2	1L
New Mexico	3	2	150	121	29	2-0	1-2	1L
Utah State	3	2	182	152	30	3-0	0-2	1L
San Jose State	2	3	116	140	-24	2-1	0-2	1W
Wyoming	2	3	84	106	-22	1-2	1-1	3L
Air Force	1	4	182	189	-7	1-2	0-2	4L
Colorado State	1	4	85	137	-52	1-2	0-2	3L
Nevada	1	4	77	128	-51	1-1	0-3	3L