New Mexico vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico vs Michigan

New Mexico square off against Michigan in this NCAAF Week 1 matchup at Michigan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Stick With New Mexico to Cover the Line

Let’s take a chance on New Mexico and wager the big underdogs with a +34.5 start. They should be able to cover the spread against Michigan at odds of -105.

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Defeat for New Mexico Last Time Out

New Mexico Lobos lost on the road in their previous game. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won 38-30 at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.

Michigan Wolverines were winners last time out. It was a 19-13 home victory against Alabama Crimson Tide at Raymond James Stadium.

New Mexico vs Michigan Prediction & Picks

Make the most of New Mexico vs Michigan with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

New Mexico have been given a sizeable +34.5 on the spread and we’re looking to take advantage. Back the -105 that the underdogs avoid a heavy defeat in this college football matchup.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.

Key New Mexico vs Michigan stats:

• The +34.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 15 consecutive games.
• The +34.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -34.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -34.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -34.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 2 consecutive games.

New Mexico +34.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

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Best Bet

New Mexico +34.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Bryce Underwood Under 204.5 Passing Yards -114

Bryce Underwood (Michigan) is available at -114 to record fewer than 204.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Bryce Underwood Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 204.5

-114

Under 204.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

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Fredrick Moore Under 25.5 Receiving Yards -114

Fredrick Moore (Michigan) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 25.5 receiving yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Receiving Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Fredrick Moore Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

New Mexico 10 - 42 Michigan

There are some huge returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Wolverines to enjoy a 42-10 winning scoreline.

New Mexico vs Michigan Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Michigan Expected to Win By Huge Margin

The sportsbooks make this college game uncompetitive, with Michigan expected to comfortably win. Therefore, the Moneyline might not be available and it’s better to instead play the spread to assess the various options.

The current spread is 34.5 and total points is 49.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 49.5 at -115.

College football fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

UNM

-

Michigan

-

Point Spread

UNM +34.5

-105

Michigan -34.5

-115

Total Points

Under 49.5

-115

Over 49.5

-105

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Donaven McCulley (Michigan)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Fredrick Moore (Michigan)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Marlin Klein (Michigan)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Justice Haynes (Michigan)

Over 89.5

-114

Under 89.5

-114

Jordan Marshall (Michigan)

Over 73.5

-114

Under 73.5

-114

Bryce Underwood (Michigan)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Michigan Count Eight Wins in Previous Ten at Home

Michigan own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 28.60 points scored and 20.50 points allowed.

New Mexico are 4-6 in their last 10 games on the road, posting 27.80 points per contest while yielding 35.50.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
Michigan Home Stats		8-2	49.10	28.60	20.50	6	4
New Mexico Away Stats		4-6	63.30	27.80	35.50	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
• U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico Lobos Stats

Michigan Wolverines Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +34.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +34.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -34.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -34.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 69.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 63.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.20 pts and allowed 36.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.80 pts and allowed 35.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 41.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.80 pts and allowed 19.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Minnesota	1	0	23	10	13	1-0	0-0	1W
Rutgers	1	0	34	31	3	1-0	0-0	1W
Wisconsin	1	0	17	0	17	1-0	0-0	1W
Nebraska	1	0	20	17	3	0-0	1-0	1W
Ohio State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
USC	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
UCLA	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Purdue	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Penn State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oregon	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Michigan	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Northwestern	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Michigan State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Maryland	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Iowa	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Indiana	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Illinois	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Washington	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Hawaii	1	0	23	20	3	1-0	0-0	1W
San Diego State	1	0	42	0	42	1-0	0-0	1W
UNLV	1	0	38	31	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Wyoming	1	0	10	0	10	0-0	1-0	1W
Air Force	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Boise State	0	1	7	34	-27	0-0	0-1	1L
Colorado State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Fresno State	0	1	7	31	-24	0-0	0-1	1L
Nevada	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
San Jose State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Utah State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-