New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Tennessee

New Mexico State go up against Tennessee at Neyland Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:15 on Saturday, November 15.

There’s everything to like about New Mexico State +40.5 when they face Tennessee. You can get odds of -110 and we need them to avoid a big loss.

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New Mexico State have lost in their previous four outings. In a recent home game at Aggie Memorial Stadium, they were turned over 24-21 by Kennesaw State.

Tennessee Volunteers lost when they last took to the field. At Neyland Stadium, they were turned over 33-27 at home to Oklahoma Sooners.

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction & Picks

Explore our top New Mexico State vs Tennessee betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

The betting line of +40.5 looks way too big. We’re very keen to snap up the -110 that New Mexico State can cover a generous spread in this college football showdown.

We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key New Mexico State vs Tennessee stats:

• The +40.5 line has been covered by New Mexico State in 15 consecutive games.
• The +40.5 line has been covered by New Mexico State in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -40.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tennessee in 7 consecutive games.
• The -40.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tennessee in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -40.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tennessee in 8 of their last 9 games this season.

NM State +40.5 Probability

If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It's why we think it’s worth placing this college wager.

Selling points can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

NM State +40.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

NM State 17 - 49 Tennessee

There’s the chance to back the Vols in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 49-17 triumph in their favor.

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

There’s an absence of Moneyline odds for this college game due to it being perceived as one-sided, although underdogs New Mexico State and their opponents are available as options on the spread.

The spread is calculated to be 41.5, while total points comes in at 60.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those expecting a low total can back Under 60.5 at -110.

Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

NM State

-

Tennessee

-

Point Spread

NM State +41.5

-110

Tennessee -41.5

-110

Total Points

Under 60.5

-110

Over 60.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the quarterback and player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Tennessee Have Taken Eight Wins From Last Ten Home Outings

Tennessee own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 39.40 points on offense and surrendering 21.50 on defense.

New Mexico State have taken four straight defeats on the road. They own a 1-9 mark in their past 10 games on the road, posting 15.30 points per contest while yielding 37.80.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O61.5	U61.5
Tennessee Home Stats		8-2	60.90	39.40	21.50	4	6
New Mexico State Away Stats		1-9	53.10	15.30	37.80	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O61.5 = Games Over 61.5 Points
• U61.5 = Games Under 61.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Tennessee Volunteers Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +40.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +40.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -40.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -40.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 61.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 61.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.70 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 15.30 pts and allowed 37.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 73.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 64.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 61.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 61.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 40.90 pts and allowed 32.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 41.60 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 home games

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