Sam Houston vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Sam Houston vs New Mexico State
Sam Houston face New Mexico State in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Aggie Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 on Thursday, October 2. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Our prediction is that New Mexico State can outperform their odds against Sam Houston. It leads us to a wager on the spread lines considering that an appealing +2.5 has been chalked up at -112.
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Sam Houston Bearkats have now lost four straight games. On the road in their previous game, Texas Longhorns won 55-0 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.
New Mexico State Aggies lost on the road in their last game, making it back-to-back defeats. New Mexico Lobos won 38-20 at University Stadium, Albuquerque.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 31-11 win for Sam Houston at Bowers Stadium when they last played NM State.
Sam Houston vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks
Step into Sam Houston vs New Mexico State with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re really sweet on New Mexico State putting up a fight in this college football matchup and that compels us to bet the underdogs against the spread. You can get -112 when it comes to the +2.5 that is available.
Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert predictions, our college football handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.
Key Sam Houston vs New Mexico State stats:
NM State +2.5 Probability
The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.9% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but shorter odds.
Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Logan Fife (NM State) to go over 271.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re confident in taking him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can back this pick with conviction.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates NM State to cover the +2.5 spread along with Under 52.5 points. We’ve also gone for Logan Fife (New Mexico State) to have Over 271.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
24
NM State
We’re expecting a close battle so it might be worth going for the Aggies to triumph by a 24-23 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.
Sam Houston vs New Mexico State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
We’re seeing New Mexico State priced up at -100 for a victory, with Sam Houston trading at -118. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 50% chance of success.
1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 52.5 right now. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Under 52.5, then the odds are -110.
The good news is that you can access a huge selection of team props and game lines for most college football matchups. The top sportsbooks have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
Hunter Watson is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at +600. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to score a TD anytime at -135.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college football. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Drive Result and Next Play Result are often among the options.
NM State Have Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games
NM State own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 25.60 points on average and giving up 25.00.
Sam Houston have been on the losing end in four straight road games. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 20.00 points per matchup and conceding 28.60.
The last Aggie Memorial Stadium meeting saw NM State beat Sam Houston 27-13.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O52.5 | U52.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico State Home Stats |
6-4 | 50.60 | 25.60 | 25.00 | 5 | 5 | |
 Sam Houston Away Stats |
4-6 | 48.60 | 20.00 | 28.60 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
- U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Sam Houston Stats
New Mexico State Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 52.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.90 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.00 pts and allowed 28.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 52.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 31.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.60 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
|
10 | 3 | 368 | 316 | 52 | 6-0 | 4-3 | 3W |
Western Kentucky
|
8 | 4 | 357 | 281 | 76 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2L |
Jacksonville State
|
8 | 5 | 377 | 340 | 37 | 5-1 | 3-4 | 1L |
FIU
|
7 | 5 | 351 | 333 | 18 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 4W |
Louisiana Tech
|
7 | 5 | 332 | 256 | 76 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 2W |
Missouri State
|
7 | 5 | 305 | 340 | -35 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 2L |
Delaware Blue Hens
|
6 | 6 | 357 | 390 | -33 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 1W |
Liberty
|
4 | 8 | 307 | 318 | -11 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 4L |
|
New Mexico State
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 331 | -72 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1L |
M. Tennessee
|
3 | 9 | 269 | 371 | -102 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2W |
|
Sam Houston
|
2 | 10 | 213 | 454 | -241 | 1-4 | 1-6 | 2L |
UTEP
|
2 | 10 | 280 | 365 | -85 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 5L |
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