Sam Houston vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Sam Houston vs Texas

Sam Houston meet Texas in this NCAAF Week 4 matchup at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday 20 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Will Points Be at a Premium?

The -105 for Under 51.5 points to be scored by the two teams looks like really good value. Our prediction is that Texas and Sam Houston might not collectively reach this total.

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Sam Houston Bidding to Bounce Back After Loss

Sam Houston Bearkats have suffered a defeat in their previous three games including a recent 37-20 loss. This occurred on the road at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex against Hawaii Rainbow Warriors.

Texas Longhorns won their last game 27-10, making it successive victories. This was a home win at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium against Texas El Paso Miners.

Quarterbacks

Hunter Watson

71.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Arch Manning

258.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Sam Houston vs Texas Prediction & Picks

Our Sam Houston vs Texas tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

We’re going for a modest total for this upcoming college football battle. Under 51.5 points could be on the money and our pick is currently available at odds of -105.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making college football predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our picks.

Key Sam Houston vs Texas stats:

• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 10 of the last 16 Sam Houston games on the road.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Sam Houston games.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Texas games.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Texas games.
• The 51.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Texas games.

Under 51.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 51.3% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

It’s all about getting the biggest odds and one way of maximising your Unders wager is by combining it with the winner on the Result & Total lines.

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Best Bet

Under 51.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Arch Manning Under 258.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Arch Manning (Texas) at -114 to finish with fewer than 258.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Arch Manning Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 258.5

-114

Under 258.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Sam Houston 7 - 41 Texas

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to bet on Texas on the correct score lines. For example, a 41-7 win in their favor is available at huge odds.

Sam Houston vs Texas Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Expecting a Landslide Win for Texas

The Moneyline betting odds might not be available with some sportsbooks as there’s a big underdog in the form of Sam Houston. However, the Spread can provide some great alternative wagering options.

The spread is 39.5 and the total points line is currently 51.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those who wager Under 51.5 can get -105.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college football clashes. The top betting sites offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Sam Houston

-

Texas

-

Point Spread

Sam Houston +39.5

-110

Texas -39.5

-110

Total Points

Under 51.5

-105

Over 51.5

-115

Player Odds

Rushing Yards

Hunter Watson (Sam Houston)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Arch Manning (Texas)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Passing Yards

Arch Manning (Texas)

Over 258.5

-114

Under 258.5

-114

Hunter Watson (Sam Houston)

Over 71.5

-114

Under 71.5

-114

Texas Keep Piling Up Home Wins

Texas have put together five consecutive victories at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. They own a 9-1 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 39.20 points on offense and surrendering 12.50 on defense.

Sam Houston have endured three consecutive losses away from home. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 24.20 points per contest and giving up 25.80.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Texas Home Stats		9-1	51.70	39.20	12.50	5	5
Sam Houston Away Stats		5-5	50.00	24.20	25.80	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Sam Houston Stats

Texas Longhorns Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +39.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +39.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -39.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -39.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.30 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.20 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 41.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.00 pts and allowed 16.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.70 pts and allowed 16.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Auburn	3	0	111	42	69	2-0	1-0	3W
Georgia	3	0	117	54	63	2-0	1-0	3W
LSU	3	0	60	27	33	2-0	1-0	3W
Mississippi State	3	0	121	37	84	2-0	1-0	3W
Missouri	3	0	155	47	108	3-0	0-0	3W
Oklahoma	3	0	101	19	82	2-0	1-0	3W
Ole Miss	3	0	134	65	69	2-0	1-0	3W
Texas A&M	3	0	127	86	41	2-0	1-0	3W
Vanderbilt	3	0	120	30	90	1-0	2-0	3W
Alabama	2	1	128	45	83	2-0	0-1	2W
Arkansas	2	1	143	62	81	2-0	0-1	1L
Kentucky	2	1	95	69	26	2-1	0-0	1W
South Carolina	2	1	69	52	17	2-1	0-0	1L
Tennessee	2	1	158	87	71	2-1	0-0	1L
Texas	2	1	72	31	41	2-0	0-1	2W
Florida	1	2	81	38	43	1-1	0-1	2L

Conference USA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Delaware Blue Hens	2	1	86	89	-3	2-0	0-1	1W
FIU	2	1	80	71	9	2-0	0-1	1W
Louisiana Tech	2	1	80	37	43	2-0	0-1	1W
New Mexico St	2	1	54	66	-12	2-0	0-1	1L
Western Kentucky	2	1	117	75	42	2-0	0-1	1L
Jacksonville State	1	2	78	82	-4	1-0	0-2	1L
Kennesaw State	1	2	45	79	-34	1-0	0-2	1W
Liberty	1	2	65	64	1	1-0	0-2	2L
M. Tennessee	1	2	38	89	-51	0-1	1-1	1W
Missouri State	1	2	44	121	-77	0-1	1-1	1L
UTEP	1	2	68	72	-4	1-0	0-2	1L
Sam Houston	0	3	65	116	-51	0-1	0-2	3L