San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: San Diego State vs Fresno State

San Diego State face off against Fresno State in this NCAAF Week 9 matchup at Bulldog Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday 25 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Fresno State Good Value vs SDSU

We’re confident that Fresno State can push for a victory and the +2.5 about them on the spread makes lots of appeal. Take -102 that they cover the line against San Diego State.

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SDSU 33-18 Winners in Last H2H Battle

San Diego State Aztecs have won four on the spin, triumphing 44-10 in their previous game. This was on the road against Nevada Wolf Pack at MacKay Stadium.

Fresno State Bulldogs have won three consecutive games at home. In their last appearance, they suffered a 49-21 road defeat against Colorado State Rams at Canvas Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

San Diego State won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 33-18 victory was registered against Fresno State at Snapdragon Stadium. The past 4 H2H clashes have seen both teams record two wins.

San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction & Picks

Step into San Diego State vs Fresno State with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline and a custom-built bet builder. Dive into each section below for the latest insights.

Game Prediction

There’s some value on the spread for this college football matchup and we like Fresno State at +2.5. We’re very happy to take them with this advantage at -102.

We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key San Diego State vs Fresno State stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Fresno State in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Fresno State in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Fresno State in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by San Diego State in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by San Diego State in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.

Fresno State +2.5 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this figure at close to 60% based on our in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential payout.

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Best Bet

Fresno State +2.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

San Diego State 23 - 27 Fresno State

For a fun bet, consider backing the Dogs to claim a 27-23 win. Although it’s a speculative wager, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

San Diego State vs Fresno State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Expecting Close Encounter

The San Diego State odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -143 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 59% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Fresno State, you will find +120 about the underdogs.

There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 47.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to bet Under 47.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

SDSU

-143

Fresno State

+120

Point Spread

SDSU -2.5

-120

Fresno State +2.5

-102

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

The best gambling sites offer quarterback and player prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college football and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Can Fresno State Keep Their Home Form Going?

Fresno State are riding three consecutive victories at Bulldog Stadium. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 33.00 points on offense and surrendering 17.40 on defense.

San Diego State own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 19.80 points on average and giving up 28.80.

Fresno State earned a 32-28 win over San Diego State the last time they played at Bulldog Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Fresno State Home Stats		7-3	50.40	33.00	17.40	6	4
San Diego State Away Stats		3-7	48.60	19.80	28.80	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

San Diego State Aztecs Stats

Fresno State Bulldogs Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.00 pts and allowed 20.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.80 pts and allowed 28.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.60 pts and allowed 23.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.00 pts and allowed 17.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNLV	6	1	260	234	26	3-0	3-1	1L
San Diego State	5	1	184	73	111	3-0	2-1	4W
Hawaii	6	2	229	186	43	4-1	2-1	3W
Boise State	5	2	258	183	75	4-0	1-2	2W
Fresno State	5	2	205	166	39	3-0	2-2	1L
New Mexico	4	3	199	184	15	3-0	1-3	1W
Utah State	4	3	238	221	17	4-0	0-3	1W
Wyoming	3	4	140	158	-18	2-2	1-2	1L
Air Force	2	5	254	261	-7	2-2	0-3	1W
Colorado State	2	5	153	189	-36	2-3	0-2	1L
San Jose State	2	5	169	205	-36	2-1	0-4	2L
Nevada	1	6	109	196	-87	1-2	0-4	5L