South Florida vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: South Florida vs Florida
South Florida square off against Florida in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:15 on Saturday, September 6. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
USF Look Value for This Matchup
South Florida can give a good account of themselves against Florida. They can prevent a big loss and there is -106 available that the underdogs cover the +17.5 spread.
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Florida Beat USF When Teams Last Met
South Florida won their previous game which was at home. It was a 34-7 triumph at Raymond James Stadium against Boise State Broncos.
Florida Gators won their last game which was at home. It was a 55-0 triumph at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium against LIU Sharks.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Florida had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, they recorded a 31-28 win over South Florida.
Quarterbacks
Byrum Brown
DJ Lagway
South Florida vs Florida Prediction & Picks
Tackle South Florida vs Florida with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
Let’s back South Florida at +17.5 to outrun their odds on the spread. They are a good shout at -106 to stay relatively close to the big favorites in this college football matchup.
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate CFB picks.
Key South Florida vs Florida stats:
USF +17.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.
If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a way to go. Bet on USF to cover the line in a combination with other selections.
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Best Bet
South Florida +17.5 @ -106
Player Prop Picks
Byrum Brown (South Florida) is available at -114 to accumulate over 185.5 passing yards. We feel confident that he’ll cover the QB Passing Yards line, which looks generous.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are South Florida to cover the +17.5 spread, Over 56.5 on the total and Byrum Brown (South Florida) to have Over 185.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
38
Florida
A 38-23 win for the Gators is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a massive potential return.
South Florida vs Florida Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Florida Win on the Cards According to the Books
Florida are strong -909 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 90% chance of claiming victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, South Florida are trading at +610.
There is a spread of 17.5 and total points has a line of 57.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 57.5 at -110.
If you're wagering on college football, it's a good idea to visit the top betting apps and browse the extensive selection of team props and game lines. You'll find great opportunities to place bets both pre-game and in-game.
Jadan Baugh Favorite to Score First Touchdown
Jadan Baugh is available at -294 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +320 to score the first TD.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro Betting
There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.
Florida Rolling at Home
Florida have won six straight at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. They have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games, posting 30.80 points per contest while yielding 17.90.
South Florida own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 36.30 points on average and giving up 33.80.
Florida defeated South Florida 31-28 when the teams last met at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O56.5 | U56.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida Home Stats |
7-3 | 48.70 | 30.80 | 17.90 | 2 | 8 | |
 South Florida Away Stats |
5-5 | 70.10 | 36.30 | 33.80 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O56.5 = Games Over 56.5 Points
- U56.5 = Games Under 56.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
South Florida Stats
Florida Gators Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +17.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -17.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 59.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 70.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 56.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 56.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.40 pts and allowed 27.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 36.30 pts and allowed 33.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 56.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 56.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.60 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.80 pts and allowed 17.90 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M
|
8 | 0 | 302 | 189 | 113 | 5-0 | 3-0 | 8W |
Ole Miss
|
8 | 1 | 326 | 198 | 128 | 6-0 | 2-1 | 2W |
Alabama
|
7 | 1 | 275 | 146 | 129 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 7W |
Georgia
|
7 | 1 | 260 | 157 | 103 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 4W |
Texas
|
7 | 2 | 266 | 148 | 118 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 4W |
Oklahoma
|
7 | 2 | 260 | 127 | 133 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 1W |
Vanderbilt
|
7 | 2 | 338 | 184 | 154 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 1L |
Missouri
|
6 | 2 | 283 | 134 | 149 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
6 | 3 | 392 | 280 | 112 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
5 | 3 | 204 | 151 | 53 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 2L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 4 | 299 | 222 | 77 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Auburn
|
4 | 5 | 201 | 159 | 42 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1L |
|
Florida
|
3 | 5 | 177 | 164 | 13 | 3-2 | 0-3 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
3 | 5 | 179 | 214 | -35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
3 | 6 | 177 | 199 | -22 | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 7 | 319 | 300 | 19 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 7L |
| American Athletic | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Memphis
|
8 | 1 | 339 | 173 | 166 | 4-0 | 4-1 | 2W |
North Texas
|
8 | 1 | 400 | 217 | 183 | 5-1 | 3-0 | 3W |
Navy
|
7 | 1 | 278 | 192 | 86 | 5-0 | 2-1 | 1L |
|
South Florida
|
6 | 2 | 323 | 195 | 128 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 1L |
Tulane
|
6 | 2 | 207 | 204 | 3 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 1L |
East Carolina
|
5 | 3 | 257 | 134 | 123 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 2W |
Temple
|
5 | 4 | 283 | 253 | 30 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
Army
|
4 | 4 | 187 | 185 | 2 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1W |
UTSA
|
4 | 4 | 272 | 242 | 30 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 1W |
Rice
|
4 | 5 | 187 | 262 | -75 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1L |
Florida Atlantic
|
3 | 5 | 242 | 290 | -48 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 2L |
UAB
|
3 | 5 | 227 | 310 | -83 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 1L |
Tulsa
|
2 | 6 | 176 | 237 | -61 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4L |
Charlotte
|
1 | 7 | 140 | 298 | -158 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5L |
Northern Illinois
Toledo
Kent State
Ball State
Georgia Southern
Appalachian State
UTSA
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