SMU vs Cal Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: SMU vs California Golden Bears

SMU battle California Golden Bears at California Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, November 29.

Go for the favorites on the spread in order to get the best value. SMU should be able to cover a line of -13.5 at odds of -110 when they take on California Golden Bears.

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SMU Mustangs have won their previous three games. The latest was a 38-6 home triumph at Gerald J. Ford Stadium against Louisville Cardinals.

Cal were beaten last game and this was on the road at Stanford Stadium. Stanford Cardinal claimed a 31-10 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 38-6 win for SMU at Gerald J. Ford Stadium when they last played Cal.

Quarterbacks

Kevin Jennings

281.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele

260.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

SMU vs Cal Prediction & Picks

Our SMU vs Cal betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

There are odds of -110 that SMU will cover the -13.5 spread in this college football matchup. We're confident this is a good betting line for a pick where there should be lots of value available.

We put solid research behind every CFB pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key SMU vs Cal stats:

• The -13.5 line has been covered by SMU in 2 consecutive games.

SMU -13.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your pick by taking an alternative wagering view.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Game Prediction

SMU -13.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yamir Knight Anytime TD +165

Yamir Knight (SMU) can be backed at +165 to reach the goal line. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Yamir Knight Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+165

First

+1000

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Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Over 260.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal) to exceed 260.5 passing yards stand at -114. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.

Latest Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+310

First

+4000

Passing Yards

Over 260.5

-114

Under 260.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

SMU 35 - 14 California

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. the Mustangs to achieve a 35-14 victory is on offer at massive odds.

SMU vs Cal Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The latest Moneyline betting odds give SMU a 84% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -526 favorites with the sportsbooks. The market suggests that California are least likely to win at +400.

The spread is currently 13.5, with the total points line at 53.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 53.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

College football bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

SMU

-526

Cal

+400

Point Spread

SMU -13.5

-110

Cal +13.5

-110

Total Points

Under 53.5

-110

Over 53.5

-110

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is T.J. Harden at +370. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

T.J. Harden (SMU)

First TD

+370

Anytime TD

-238

Kendrick Raphael (Cal)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-185

Chris Johnson Jr. (SMU)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

-105

Jordan Hudson (SMU)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+120

Kevin Jennings (SMU)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+125

Yamir Knight (SMU)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+165

Romello Brinson (SMU)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+180

Jacob De Jesus (Cal)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+175

RJ Maryland (SMU)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+270

Matthew Hibner (SMU)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+310

Trond Grizzell (Cal)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+240

Mason Mini (Cal)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+270

Jordan King (Cal)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+300

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+310

Receiving Yards

Jacob De Jesus (Cal)

Over 87.5

-114

Under 87.5

-114

Jordan Hudson (SMU)

Over 76.5

-114

Under 76.5

-114

Trond Grizzell (Cal)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Romello Brinson (SMU)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Kendrick Raphael (Cal)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

T.J. Harden (SMU)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

Passing Yards

Kevin Jennings (SMU)

Over 281.5

-114

Under 281.5

-114

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal)

Over 260.5

-114

Under 260.5

-114

Cal Have Picked Up Five Wins From Last Ten Home Games

Cal own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 27.90 points scored and 23.50 points allowed.

SMU have gone 7-3 across their last 10 road games, putting up 28.90 points on average and giving up 20.40.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O53.5	U53.5
Cal Home Stats		5-5	51.40	27.90	23.50	3	7
SMU Away Stats		7-3	49.30	28.90	20.40	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O53.5 = Games Over 53.5 Points
• U53.5 = Games Under 53.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

SMU Stats

Cal Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 53.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.80 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.90 pts and allowed 20.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 53.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.60 pts and allowed 26.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 home games

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