Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Southern Miss vs Arkansas State

Southern Miss battle Arkansas State at Centennial Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NCAAF predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Expect a Close Battle

We’re confident that Arkansas State can push for a victory and the +4.5 about them on the spread makes lots of appeal. Take -110 that they cover the line against Southern Miss.

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Arkansas State 44-28 Victors When Teams Met Last

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have won their previous four games. The latest was a 49-21 home triumph at M.M. Roberts Stadium against Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks.

Arkansas State Red Wolves have triumphed in their last four games. The latest of these was on the road where Troy State Trojans were beaten 23-10 at Veterans Memorial Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arkansas State have won the last two meetings against Southern Miss. They triumphed 44-37 at Centennial Bank Stadium and then 44-28 at M.M. Roberts Stadium. Arkansas State have triumphed in two of the previous 3 clashes between these teams.

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction & Picks

This Southern Miss vs Arkansas State betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Arkansas State should be able to battle hard and our pick is that they will cover the spread in this college football showdown. It’s set at an attractive +4.5 and you can get -110.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college football expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our CFB picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Southern Miss vs Arkansas State stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Arkansas State in 4 consecutive games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Arkansas State in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Arkansas State in 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southern Miss in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southern Miss in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Arkansas State in 3 consecutive games against Southern Miss.

Arkansas State +4.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds, then a Bet Builder could be the way to go. Combine Arkansas State against the spread with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Best Bet

Arkansas State +4.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Southern Miss 23 - 24 Arkansas State

A close battle could be on the cards. We’ll bet on Arkansas State to claim a 24-23 victory at huge odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Southern Miss Favorites to Win According to the Books

Sportsbooks’ favorites Southern Miss are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -179 about them triumphing means a 64% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Arkansas State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +152.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 55.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 55.5 can find odds of -115 available.

Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

Southern Miss

-179

Arkansas State

+152

Point Spread

Southern Miss -4.5

-110

Arkansas State +4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 55.5

-115

Over 55.5

-105

Player Props & Micro Betting

There is regularly value to be found from betting the quarterback and player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Arkansas State Sitting on Eight Wins in Past Ten at Home

Arkansas State have a 8-2 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 29.70 points scored and 26.50 points allowed.

Southern Miss have gone 2-8 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 16.60 points on offense and surrendering 37.10 on defense.

The last time the teams met at Centennial Bank Stadium, Arkansas State defeated Southern Miss 44-37.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O55.5	U55.5
Arkansas State Home Stats		8-2	56.20	29.70	26.50	6	4
Southern Miss Away Stats		2-8	53.70	16.60	37.10	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
• U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Stats

Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 58.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 55.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.80 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.60 pts and allowed 37.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 56.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.00 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.70 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
James Madison	7	1	278	129	149	4-0	3-1	6W
Southern Miss	6	2	264	197	67	4-1	2-1	4W
Troy State	6	3	243	217	26	3-2	3-1	1L
Old Dominion	6	3	287	211	76	4-0	2-3	2W
Coastal Carolina	5	3	177	225	-48	3-1	2-2	3W
Arkansas State	5	4	212	238	-26	3-1	2-3	4W
Marshall	4	4	273	260	13	3-1	1-3	1L
Appalachian State	4	4	216	221	-5	2-1	2-3	2L
Georgia Southern	3	5	230	283	-53	3-1	0-4	1L
Texas State	3	5	273	271	2	2-2	1-3	4L
Louisiana	3	6	219	264	-45	2-2	1-4	1W
UL Monroe	3	6	144	296	-152	2-2	1-4	5L
South Alabama	2	7	224	267	-43	1-4	1-3	1L
Georgia State	1	7	163	326	-163	1-4	0-3	5L