Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Kentucky
Tennessee face off against Kentucky in this NCAAF Week 9 matchup at Kroger Field, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 on Saturday, October 25. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
The underdogs are more than capable of staying close to Tennessee so there’s a strong case for betting Kentucky against the spread here. Take the -115 for the +8.5 that is available.
Jumping on our side of the line? Unlock the latest BetMGM promo code and dive into our full review of the sportsbook before you make your selection.
Tennessee Volunteers suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 37-20 scoreline occurred on the road at Solider Field against Alabama Crimson Tide.
Kentucky Wildcats were defeated last time, making it three losses on the spin. Kroger Field saw them beaten 16-13 (OT) at home to Texas Longhorns.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 28-18 win for Tennessee at Neyland Stadium when they last played Kentucky. Tennessee have triumphed in five of the previous 6 clashes between these teams.
Quarterbacks
Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks
From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Tennessee vs Kentucky betting tips covers it all.
Game Prediction
If you agree that Kentucky can go fairly close in this college football showdown, then back the underdogs against the spread here. The +8.5 makes lots of appeal at -115.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.
Key Tennessee vs Kentucky stats:
Kentucky +8.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.
Want bigger odds when it comes to your wager? Never fear, you are able to head to the leading sportsbooks and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
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Player Prop Picks
The odds for Joey Aguilar (Tennessee) to have less than 250.5 passing yards are -114. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.
You can back Seth McGowan (Kentucky) at -114 to end with fewer than 61.5 rushing yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Rushing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Kentucky to cover the +8.5 spread, Over 54.5 on the total and Joey Aguilar (Tennessee) to go Under 250.5 passing yards.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the football lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised betting doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
Tennessee vs Kentucky Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Tennessee have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 75% probability due to their -303 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Kentucky, you will find +245 about the underdogs.
The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 54.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those who wager Under 54.5 can get -105.
There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Those interested in favorite DeSean Bishop to score the first touchdown are able to get +490. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -149.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college football micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live player, score and team props and see if you can find an angle.
Kentucky Have Suffered Six Losses in Past Ten at Home
Kentucky are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, putting up 24.60 points on average and giving up 19.50.
Tennessee own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, posting 26.10 points per contest while yielding 27.40.
The last Kroger Field meeting saw Tennessee beat Kentucky 33-27.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O54.5 | U54.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kentucky Home Stats |
4-6 | 44.10 | 24.60 | 19.50 | 2 | 8 | |
Tennessee Away Stats |
5-5 | 53.50 | 26.10 | 27.40 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
- U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
Kentucky Wildcats Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 69.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 54.5: Covered in the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 41.80 pts and allowed 27.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.10 pts and allowed 27.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 54.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.90 pts and allowed 26.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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