Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Kentucky

Tennessee face off against Kentucky in this NCAAF matchup at Kroger Field, with kickoff scheduled for 19:45 on Saturday 25 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Don’t Underestimate Kentucky

The underdogs are more than capable of staying close to Tennessee so there’s a strong case for betting Kentucky against the spread here. Take the -115 for the +8.5 that is available.

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5 Wins for Tennessee in Past 6 H2H Games

Tennessee Volunteers suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 37-20 scoreline occurred on the road at Solider Field against Alabama Crimson Tide.

Kentucky Wildcats were defeated last time, making it three losses on the spin. Kroger Field saw them beaten 16-13 (OT) at home to Texas Longhorns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 28-18 win for Tennessee at Neyland Stadium when they last played Kentucky. Tennessee have triumphed in five of the previous 6 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Joey Aguilar

250.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Cutter Boley

215.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Tennessee vs Kentucky betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

If you agree that Kentucky can go fairly close in this college football showdown, then back the underdogs against the spread here. The +8.5 makes lots of appeal at -115.

The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.

Key Tennessee vs Kentucky stats:

• The +8.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tennessee in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tennessee in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Tennessee in 3 consecutive games.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 4 of their last 6 games against Tennessee.

Kentucky +8.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.

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Best Bet

Kentucky +8.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Joey Aguilar Under 250.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Joey Aguilar (Tennessee) to have less than 250.5 passing yards are -114. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.

Latest Joey Aguilar Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 250.5

-114

Under 250.5

-114

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Seth McGowan Under 61.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Seth McGowan (Kentucky) at -114 to end with fewer than 61.5 rushing yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Rushing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Seth McGowan Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Tennessee 30 - 31 Kentucky

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score pick being a 31-30 victory for the Cats. There are huge odds available when it comes to this prediction.

Tennessee vs Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Tennessee Could Have the Edge Say the Books

Tennessee have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 76% probability due to their -323 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to back Kentucky, you will find +260 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 8.5 and the total points line is 54.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those who wager Under 54.5 can get -105.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Tennessee

-323

Kentucky

+260

Point Spread

Tennessee -8.5

-105

Kentucky +8.5

-115

Total Points

Under 54.5

-105

Over 54.5

-115

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Chris Brazzell II (Tennessee)

Over 66.5

-114

Under 66.5

-114

Braylon Staley (Tennessee)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Mike Matthews (Tennessee)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Kendrick Law (Kentucky)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Miles Kitselman (Tennessee)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Willie Rodriguez (Kentucky)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Ja'Mori Maclin (Kentucky)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Rushing Yards

DeSean Bishop (Tennessee)

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

Seth McGowan (Kentucky)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Dante Dowdell (Kentucky)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Passing Yards

Joey Aguilar (Tennessee)

Over 250.5

-114

Under 250.5

-114

Cutter Boley (Kentucky)

Over 215.5

-114

Under 215.5

-114

Kentucky Have Suffered Six Losses in Past Ten at Home

Kentucky are 4-6 in their last 10 home games, putting up 24.60 points on average and giving up 19.50.

Tennessee own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, posting 26.10 points per contest while yielding 27.40.

The last Kroger Field meeting saw Tennessee beat Kentucky 33-27.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O54.5	U54.5
Kentucky Home Stats		4-6	44.10	24.60	19.50	2	8
Tennessee Away Stats		5-5	53.50	26.10	27.40	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
• U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tennessee Volunteers Stats

Kentucky Wildcats Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 69.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 54.5: Covered in the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 41.80 pts and allowed 27.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.10 pts and allowed 27.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 54.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.90 pts and allowed 26.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Texas A&M	7	0	253	164	89	5-0	2-0	7W
Alabama	6	1	246	124	122	4-0	2-1	6W
Georgia	6	1	236	137	99	4-1	2-0	3W
Missouri	6	1	273	117	156	5-1	1-0	1W
Oklahoma	6	1	201	66	135	4-0	2-1	1W
Ole Miss	6	1	262	158	104	5-0	1-1	1L
Vanderbilt	6	1	290	140	150	4-0	2-1	1W
LSU	5	2	179	102	77	4-0	1-2	1L
Tennessee	5	2	309	213	96	4-1	1-1	1L
Texas	5	2	187	79	108	4-0	1-2	2W
Mississippi State	4	3	223	142	81	3-1	1-2	3L
Auburn	3	4	165	125	40	2-2	1-2	4L
Florida	3	4	157	140	17	3-1	0-3	1W
South Carolina	3	4	141	140	1	3-2	0-2	2L
Kentucky	2	4	135	155	-20	2-2	0-2	3L
Arkansas	2	5	260	229	31	2-2	0-3	5L