Texas Christian Horned Frogs
American Football NCAAF Kenan Stadium Mon 1 Sep 20:00
North Carolina Tar Heels (UNC)
  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Standings

College Football Betting Preview: TCU vs North Carolina

TCU clash with North Carolina in this NCAAF Week 1 matchup at Kenan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Monday 1 September 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

We’re Expecting TCU to Cover the Line

Get with TCU with a -3.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -110 to enjoy a solid victory when they go head-to-head with North Carolina.

Ready to tail our spread pick? Access the best BetMGM promo code and read our full review of the platform as you prep your next move.

UNC Looking to Avoid Another Defeat

Texas Christian Horned Frogs won their last game, defeating the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 34–3 in the New Mexico Bowl at University Stadium in Albuquerque.

In their most recent outing, the North Carolina Tar Heels were beaten 27–14 by the UConn Huskies in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl at Fenway Park.

Quarterbacks

TCU vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks

Our TCU vs North Carolina preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We expect the favorites to cover the -3.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing TCU at -110 for this college football battle.

The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.

Key TCU vs North Carolina stats:

  • The -3.5 line has been covered by TCU in 4 consecutive games.
  • The -3.5 line has been covered by TCU in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The -3.5 line has been covered by TCU in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by North Carolina in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
  • The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by North Carolina in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by North Carolina in 3 consecutive games.

TCU -3.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to pimp the odds about TCU covering the spread, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this pick with other same-game selections.

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Best Bet

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Eric McAlister Anytime TD -100 BetMGM logo

The odds for Eric McAlister (TCU) to make it to the end zone are -100. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.

Latest Eric McAlister Player Prop Odds

Davion Gause Over 68.5 Rushing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Davion Gause (North Carolina) at -114 to accumulate over 68.5 rushing yards. We can back him in the Player Rushing Yards market and hope the Over hits.

Latest Davion Gause Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread TCU -3.5
Totals Under 56.5
Anytime Touchdown Eric McAlister

Our same game parlay pick is TCU -3.5 on the spread, Under 56.5 and Eric McAlister (TCU) to score a touchdown.

Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.

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Correct Score Prediction

TCU TCU logo 28 - 23 North Carolina logo North Carolina

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where TCU can be backed speculatively to achieve a 28-23 victory.

TCU vs North Carolina Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make TCU Likelier Winners

TCU are regarded as having a 62% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -161. For those wanting to back North Carolina, you will find +132 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 55.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those who wager Under 55.5 can get -114.

The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Kevorian Barnes Favorite to Score First TD

There’s the chance to back Kevorian Barnes at +550 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Best Betting Offers
Kenan Stadium
Kenan Stadium

North Carolina Have Won Five of Their Last Ten Home Games

North Carolina have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 38.50 points on offense and surrendering 31.70 on defense.

TCU have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 27.10 points per contest while yielding 34.90.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O56.5 U56.5
North Carolina logo North Carolina Home Stats 5-5 70.20 38.50 31.70 8 2
TCU logo TCU Away Stats 4-6 62.00 27.10 34.90 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O56.5 = Games Over 56.5 Points
  • U56.5 = Games Under 56.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas Christian Horned Frogs logo Texas Christian Horned Frogs Stats
North Carolina Tar Heels logo North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

NCAAF Standings Select Season

Atlantic Coast W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Boston College 1 0 66 10 56 1-0 0-0 1W
Pittsburgh 1 0 61 9 52 1-0 0-0 1W
Wake Forest 1 0 10 9 1 1-0 0-0 1W
Virginia 1 0 48 7 41 1-0 0-0 1W
California 1 0 34 15 19 0-0 1-0 1W
SMU 1 0 42 13 29 1-0 0-0 1W
NC State 1 0 24 17 7 1-0 0-0 1W
Louisville 1 0 51 17 34 1-0 0-0 1W
Georgia Tech 1 0 27 20 7 0-0 1-0 1W
Florida State 1 0 31 17 14 1-0 0-0 1W
Duke 1 0 45 17 28 1-0 0-0 1W
Clemson 0 1 10 17 -7 0-1 0-0 1L
Miami 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 -
North Carolina 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 -
Stanford 0 1 20 23 -3 0-0 0-1 1L
Syracuse 0 1 26 45 -19 0-0 0-1 1L
Virginia Tech 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 -
Big 12 W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Arizona 1 0 40 6 34 1-0 0-0 1W
BYU 1 0 69 0 69 1-0 0-0 1W
Houston 1 0 27 0 27 1-0 0-0 1W
Iowa State 2 0 79 28 51 1-0 1-0 2W
Kansas 2 0 77 14 63 2-0 0-0 2W
Oklahoma State 1 0 27 7 20 1-0 0-0 1W
UCF 1 0 17 10 7 1-0 0-0 1W
Utah 1 0 43 10 33 0-0 1-0 1W
West Virginia 1 0 45 3 42 1-0 0-0 1W
Kansas State 1 1 59 59 0 1-1 0-0 1W
Baylor 0 1 24 38 -14 0-1 0-0 1L
Cincinnati 0 1 17 20 -3 0-1 0-0 1L
Colorado 0 1 20 27 -7 0-1 0-0 1L
TCU 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 -
Texas Tech 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0-0 1W