Texas vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Texas vs Florida
Texas go up against Florida in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, October 4. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re confident that Florida can produce a strong performance against Texas. Our prediction is that they’ll cover the spread of +5.5 and you can currently get -110.
Texas Longhorns made it three consecutive wins after a 55-0 home success over Sam Houston Bearkats at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Florida Gators have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 26-7 scoreline occurred on the road at Hard Rock Stadium against Miami Hurricanes.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, with Texas claiming the win. Beating Florida by a 49-17 scoreline.
Quarterbacks
Arch Manning
DJ Lagway
Texas vs Florida Prediction & Picks
We’ve got your Texas vs Florida bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.
Game Prediction
We’re making Florida against the spread our pick for this college football showdown. The line is favorably set at +5.5 and you can secure -110 that this happens.
It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each team. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our CFB predictions.
Key Texas vs Florida stats:
Florida +5.5 Probability
The top betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take Florida to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.
Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.
Player Prop Picks
You can place a bet on DJ Lagway (Florida) at -114 to reach over 189.5 passing yards. We’re confident in taking him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can back this pick with conviction.
You can back Eugene Wilson III (Florida) at -114 to go over 34.5 receiving yards. The line for Player Receiving Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Florida +5.5 on the spread, combined with Under 42.5 and DJ Lagway (Florida) to have Over 189.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
17
-
21
Florida
There’s every chance that this is going to be a close matchup and we’ll have a play on the Gators achieving a 21-17 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.
Texas vs Florida Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 67% chance of securing victory, Texas are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -200. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +168 about Florida.
The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 42.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 42.5 at -110.
The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college football clashes. The top betting sites offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
Jadan Baugh is the market leader to be First TD Scorer at +470. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to back him to register a touchdown at any stage at -115.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
Last Ten Home Games Have Produced Seven Wins for Florida
Florida are 7-3 in their last 10 home games, averaging 30.90 points on offense and surrendering 17.30 on defense.
Texas have a 8-2 record in their last 10 road games, putting up 26.10 points per contest and giving up 18.00.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O42.5 | U42.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida Home Stats |
7-3 | 48.20 | 30.90 | 17.30 | 6 | 4 | |
 Texas Away Stats |
8-2 | 44.10 | 26.10 | 18.00 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O42.5 = Games Over 42.5 Points
- U42.5 = Games Under 42.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas Longhorns Stats
Florida Gators Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 44.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 42.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 42.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 15.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.10 pts and allowed 18.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 43.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 42.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 42.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.00 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.90 pts and allowed 17.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
|
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
|
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
Calcio Padova
Spezia
Predictions
14:00 - Tue 03 Mar
Serie B
Entella
Modena
Predictions
14:00 - Tue 03 Mar
Serie B
Venezia
Avellino
Predictions
14:00 - Tue 03 Mar
Serie B
Cesena
Monza
Predictions
14:30 - Tue 03 Mar
Premier League
Bournemouth
Brentford
Predictions
14:30 - Tue 03 Mar
Premier League
Everton
Burnley
Predictions