Texas State vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Texas State vs Arizona State
Texas State face Arizona State in this NCAAF matchup at Mountain America Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Saturday, September 13. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’ve Found the Best Wager for this Matchup
We don’t think Texas State will be heavily beaten against Arizona State. Our betting prediction is to take the underdogs at a generous +17.5, with odds of -106 available.
Taking our side against the spread? Take a moment to read our detailed BetMGM review, then take advantage of the new promo code before you jump in.
31-28 Arizona State Victory in Previous H2H Meeting
Texas State Bobcats won their previous game 43-36. This road victory at Alamodome against UTSA was their second on the spin.
Arizona State Sun Devils lost on the road in their last game. Mississippi State Bulldogs won 24-20 at Davis Wade Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 31-28 in favor of Arizona State when they last played Texas State, with the matchup taking place at UFCU Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Brad Jackson
Sam Leavitt
Texas State vs Arizona State Prediction & Picks
Our Texas State vs Arizona State preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
Let’s take a chance on Texas State and wager the big underdogs with a +17.5 start. They should be able to cover the spread in this college football matchup at odds of -106.
Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert CFB predictions. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate picks possible.
Key Texas State vs Arizona State stats:
Texas State +17.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, our analysts calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This college bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re hunting for bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Texas State to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.
Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.
Best Bet
Texas State +17.5 @ -106
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Sam Leavitt (Arizona State) to hit paydirt are -149. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Touchdown Scorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
The odds for Chris Dawn Jr. (Texas State) to have less than 44.5 receiving yards stand at -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this an appealing wager.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Texas State to cover the +17.5 spread, Over 60.5 on the total and a touchdown to be scored by Sam Leavitt (Arizona State).
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
41
Arizona State
There is a speculative bet that can be enjoyed on Arizona State when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 41-28 should provide some entertainment.
Texas State vs Arizona State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Arizona State Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books
According to the Moneyline betting odds, Arizona State are red-hot -909 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 90% chance of winning this college game. Texas State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +580.
17.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 60.5 right now. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Under 60.5, then the odds are -105.
If you’re getting ready to place a college football bet, head over to one of the top betting apps and explore the wide variety of game lines and team props. Take your time to spot the most appealing opportunities.
Raleek Brown Favorite to Score First Touchdown
Favorite Raleek Brown is available at +460 to be the First TD Scorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in this player to score the final touchdown.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro Betting
Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college football micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.
Arizona State Looking to Extend Strong Home Form
Arizona State have strung together seven straight victories at Mountain America Stadium. They are 8-2 in their last 10 home games, averaging 31.50 points on offense and surrendering 28.80 on defense.
Texas State have strung together three consecutive road wins. They own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, putting up 34.60 points on average and giving up 33.50.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O60.5 | U60.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona State Home Stats |
8-2 | 60.30 | 31.50 | 28.80 | 5 | 5 | |
 Texas State Away Stats |
5-5 | 68.10 | 34.60 | 33.50 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O60.5 = Games Over 60.5 Points
- U60.5 = Games Under 60.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas State Bobcats Stats
Arizona State Sun Devils Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- +17.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -17.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 63.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 68.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 60.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 60.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 38.20 pts and allowed 25.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 34.60 pts and allowed 33.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 54.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 61.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 60.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 60.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.60 pts and allowed 22.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.00 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Madison
|
7 | 1 | 278 | 129 | 149 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 6W |
Southern Miss
|
6 | 2 | 264 | 197 | 67 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 4W |
Troy State
|
6 | 3 | 243 | 217 | 26 | 3-2 | 3-1 | 1L |
Old Dominion
|
6 | 3 | 287 | 211 | 76 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Coastal Carolina
|
5 | 3 | 177 | 225 | -48 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 3W |
Arkansas State
|
5 | 4 | 212 | 238 | -26 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4W |
Marshall
|
4 | 4 | 273 | 260 | 13 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 1L |
Appalachian State
|
4 | 4 | 216 | 221 | -5 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 2L |
Georgia Southern
|
3 | 5 | 230 | 283 | -53 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 1L |
|
Texas State
|
3 | 5 | 273 | 271 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 4L |
Louisiana
|
3 | 6 | 219 | 264 | -45 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 1W |
UL Monroe
|
3 | 6 | 144 | 296 | -152 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 5L |
South Alabama
|
2 | 7 | 224 | 267 | -43 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1L |
Georgia State
|
1 | 7 | 163 | 326 | -163 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5L |
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