Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Texas State vs Arkansas State

Texas State lock horns with Arkansas State in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Centennial Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Side With Texas State to Win Big

Our betting prediction is that Texas State can enjoy a big victory in their meeting with Arkansas State, leading us to go against the spread at -13.5. This line makes lots of appeal and there are odds of -110 on offer.

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Texas State Won Last H2H Matchup

Texas State Bobcats claimed a victory in their previous game. A 35-3 home win occurred against Nicholls State Colonels at UFCU Stadium.

Arkansas State Red Wolves lost on the road in their last game, making it four straight defeats. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won 28-16 at Malone Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Texas State won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 41-9 victory was registered against Arkansas State at UFCU Stadium. Texas State have won four of the previous 6 H2H meetings.

Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our Texas State vs Arkansas State betting tips: our expert match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our best pick is that Texas State will be superior in this college football matchup and that’s why we’re backing the favorites on the spread at -13.5. Take the -110 that they are able to cover the line.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our CFB predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date stats for sharper picks

Key Texas State vs Arkansas State stats:

• The -13.5 line has been covered by Texas State in 2 of their last 4 games this season.

Texas State -13.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This college bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the alternative to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Best Bet

Texas State -13.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Texas State 41 - 21 Arkansas State

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on Texas State. Backing them to win 41-21 means you can land a potential monster return.

Texas State vs Arkansas State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Texas State Win on the Cards According to the Books

With an estimated 83% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -500 betting odds about Texas State triumphing in this college game. Arkansas State are the underdogs at +385 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 13.5 and the total points line is currently 64.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you fancy Under 64.5, then the odds are -118.

Consider every angle when placing your college football wagers. The best betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Texas State

-500

Arkansas State

+385

Point Spread

Texas State -13.5

-110

Arkansas State +13.5

-110

Total Points

Under 64.5

-118

Over 64.5

-104

Player Props & Micro Betting

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the quarterback and player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Arkansas State Have Collected Eight Wins From Last Ten at Home

Arkansas State own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 34.60 points scored and 25.90 points allowed.

Texas State have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 33.10 points per contest and giving up 33.50.

Arkansas State beat Texas State 77-31 in their most recent meeting at Centennial Bank Stadium. Across the past 3 head-to-head meetings at Centennial Bank Stadium, Arkansas State have recorded two wins, with Texas State winning once.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O64.5	U64.5
Arkansas State Home Stats		8-2	60.50	34.60	25.90	5	5
Texas State Away Stats		5-5	66.60	33.10	33.50	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O64.5 = Games Over 64.5 Points
• U64.5 = Games Under 64.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas State Bobcats Stats

Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 63.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 66.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 64.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 64.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 37.70 pts and allowed 26.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 33.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 58.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 60.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 64.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 64.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.30 pts and allowed 32.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.60 pts and allowed 25.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
James Madison	3	1	125	61	64	2-0	1-1	2W
Old Dominion	3	1	134	66	68	2-0	1-1	3W
UL Monroe	3	1	88	114	-26	2-0	1-1	2W
Texas State	3	1	145	100	45	2-0	1-1	1W
Southern Miss	3	2	155	131	24	3-1	0-1	1W
Appalachian State	2	2	90	109	-19	1-0	1-2	2L
Coastal Carolina	2	2	58	106	-48	1-1	1-1	1W
Troy State	2	2	82	92	-10	1-1	1-1	1W
Georgia Southern	2	3	130	187	-57	2-0	0-3	1L
Marshall	2	3	158	155	3	1-1	1-2	1L
Louisiana	2	3	141	161	-20	2-1	0-2	1W
Georgia State	1	3	81	192	-111	1-1	0-2	1L
Arkansas State	1	4	109	160	-51	1-1	0-3	4L
South Alabama	1	4	126	159	-33	1-2	0-2	4L