Texas State vs Southern Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Texas State vs Southern Miss

Texas State face Southern Miss at M.M. Roberts Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, November 15.

Southern Miss can cover the -4.5 line on the spread. This is a good number and that’s why we’re playing them at -104 to get the better of Texas State.

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Texas State Bobcats have suffered a defeat in their previous five games including a recent 42-39 loss. This occurred on the road at Cajun Field against Louisiana Ragin Cajuns.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles won their last game 27-21, making it five on the bounce. This was a road victory at Centennial Bank Stadium against Arkansas State Red Wolves.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Texas State have beaten Southern Miss in the last two matchups. A 50-36 victory at M.M. Roberts Stadium was followed by a 58-3 win at UFCU Stadium. Texas State have won two of the past 3 games that these teams have played.

Texas State vs Southern Miss Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Texas State vs Southern Miss with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

It’s great to see Southern Miss given a -4.5 line on the spread at -104 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this college football matchup.

Our CFB handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each team, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Texas State vs Southern Miss stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 4 consecutive games at home this season.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 6 of their last 9 games this season.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Southern Miss in 6 of their last 10 games.

Southern Miss -4.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 51% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re hunting for tastier odds, then a Bet Builder could be the way to go. Combine Southern Miss against the spread with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Our Game Prediction

Southern Miss -4.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Texas State 23 - 34 Southern Miss

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for Southern Miss to achieve a 34-23 win and hopefully this goes close.

Texas State vs Southern Miss Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Southern Miss have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 61% probability due to their -154 Moneyline betting odds. Texas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +130.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 65.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 65.5 can find odds of -112 available.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Texas State

+130

Southern Miss

-154

Point Spread

Texas State +3.5

-120

Southern Miss -3.5

-102

Total Points

Under 65.5

-112

Over 65.5

-108

If you’re looking for an alternative to the main game lines, check out the player props instead. It’s great to bet on Quarterback Passing Yards, First Touchdown Scorer and Passing Touchdowns as potential options.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college football micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Southern Miss Tough to Crack at Home

Southern Miss have chalked up four straight victories at M.M. Roberts Stadium. They own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 26.60 points scored and 31.00 points allowed.

Texas State have endured four consecutive losses away from home. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 33.80 points on average and giving up 31.90.

The last time these teams met at M.M. Roberts Stadium, Texas State came out on top 50-36 against Southern Miss.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O65.5	U65.5
Southern Miss Home Stats		4-6	57.60	26.60	31.00	4	6
Texas State Away Stats		4-6	65.70	33.80	31.90	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O65.5 = Games Over 65.5 Points
• U65.5 = Games Under 65.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas State Bobcats Stats

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 68.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 65.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 65.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 65.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.20 pts and allowed 34.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 33.80 pts and allowed 31.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 58.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 65.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 65.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.10 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.60 pts and allowed 31.00 pts in the last 10 home games

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