Troy State vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Troy State vs Texas State

Troy State face off against Texas State in this NCAAF Week 7 clash at UFCU Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Bet on a Higher Total than the Line Suggests

We’re expecting Over 54.5 points to be scored by Texas State and Troy State combined. There’s an attractive -110 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.

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5 Triumphs for Troy State in Previous 6 H2H Clashes

Troy State Trojans claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 31-24 (OT) triumph against South Alabama Jaguars at Veterans Memorial Stadium made it back-to-back wins.

Texas State Bobcats have landed back-to-back home victories. In their last game, it was a 31-30 road defeat against Arkansas State Red Wolves at Centennial Bank Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Texas State triumphed 38-17 when they last played Troy State. This head-to-head was played at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Troy State have won five of the previous 6 H2H meetings.

Troy State vs Texas State Prediction & Picks

Our Troy State vs Texas State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

You can get -110 that there are Over 54.5 points and there’s plenty of juice in those odds. The two teams should be able to keep the score ticking for our college football pick to win.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate CFB picks.

Key Troy State vs Texas State stats:

• The 54.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Troy State games.
• The 54.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Texas State games at home.
• The 54.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Texas State games.

Over 54.5 Probability

If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

It’s possible to increase the odds on your Over bet by combining it with other picks. A Bet Builder allows you to place multiple wagers from the same game into one single parlay.

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Best Bet

Over 54.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Troy State 23 - 41 Texas State

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Texas State to claim a 41-23 win. There’s a huge return if we get this right.

Troy State vs Texas State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Texas State Betting Favorites on the Moneyline

Texas State are -294 favorites and that means a 75% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +240, Troy State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 7.5 and the total points line is currently 54.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to wager Over 54.5, there are odds of -110.

Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

Troy State

+240

Texas State

-294

Point Spread

Troy State +7.5

-108

Texas State -7.5

-112

Total Points

Under 54.5

-110

Over 54.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Passing Yards a quarterback might have or the number of Touchdowns a player might score.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college football fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Sometimes these are two-way lines where you can bet on the Next Play or Next Drive.

Troy State Have Bossed Recent Head-to-Heads at UFCU Stadium

Texas State have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, posting 41.00 points per contest while yielding 22.90.

Troy State have a 3-7 record in their last 10 road games, putting up 21.80 points per contest and giving up 28.40.

Troy State earned a 31-13 win over Texas State the last time they played at UFCU Stadium. The last 3 head-to-head matchups at UFCU Stadium have all gone the way of Troy State.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O54.5	U54.5
Texas State Home Stats		7-3	63.90	41.00	22.90	7	3
Troy State Away Stats		3-7	50.20	21.80	28.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
• U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Troy State Trojans Stats

Texas State Bobcats Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 54.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.20 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 65.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 60.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 54.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 39.00 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 38.80 pts and allowed 21.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
James Madison	4	1	139	68	71	2-0	2-1	3W
Old Dominion	4	1	181	73	108	3-0	1-1	4W
Southern Miss	4	2	193	166	27	3-1	1-1	2W
Appalachian State	3	2	117	132	-15	2-0	1-2	1W
UL Monroe	3	2	95	156	-61	2-0	1-2	1L
Texas State	3	2	175	131	44	2-0	1-2	1L
Troy State	3	2	113	116	-3	2-1	1-1	2W
Coastal Carolina	2	3	65	153	-88	1-1	1-2	1L
Marshall	2	3	158	155	3	1-1	1-2	1L
Louisiana	2	3	141	161	-20	2-1	0-2	1W
Georgia Southern	2	4	165	225	-60	2-1	0-3	2L
Arkansas State	2	4	140	190	-50	2-1	0-3	1W
Georgia State	1	4	88	206	-118	1-2	0-2	2L
South Alabama	1	5	150	190	-40	1-2	0-3	5L