Troy Trojans vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Troy vs Texas State
Troy face off against Texas State in this NCAAF Week 7 clash at UFCU Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re expecting Over 54.5 points to be scored by Texas State and Troy combined. There’s an attractive -110 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.
Troy State Trojans claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 31-24 (OT) triumph against South Alabama Jaguars at Veterans Memorial Stadium made it back-to-back wins.
Texas State Bobcats have landed back-to-back home victories. In their last game, it was a 31-30 road defeat against Arkansas State Red Wolves at Centennial Bank Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Texas State triumphed 38-17 when they last played Troy State. This head-to-head was played at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Troy State have won five of the previous 6 H2H meetings.
Troy Trojans vs Texas State Prediction & Picks
Our Troy Trojans vs Texas State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.
Game Prediction
You can get -110 that there are Over 54.5 points and there’s plenty of juice in those odds. The two teams should be able to keep the score ticking for our college football pick to win.
We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate CFB picks.
Key Troy vs Texas State stats:
Over 54.5 Probability
If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.
It’s possible to increase the odds on your Over bet by combining it with other picks. A Bet Builder allows you to place multiple wagers from the same game into one single parlay.
Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Over 54.5, Texas State -8.5 on the spread and the Second Half to have the most points.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
41
Texas State
There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on Texas State to claim a 41-23 win. There’s a huge return if we get this right.
Troy vs Texas State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Texas State are -270 favorites and that means a 73% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +220, Troy are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread is 7.5 and the total points line is currently 53.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to wager Over 53.5, there are odds of -110.
Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.
Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Passing Yards a quarterback might have or the number of Touchdowns a player might score.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college football fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Sometimes these are two-way lines where you can bet on the Next Play or Next Drive.
Troy State Have Bossed Recent Head-to-Heads at UFCU Stadium
Texas State have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, posting 41.00 points per contest while yielding 22.90.
Troy State have a 3-7 record in their last 10 road games, putting up 21.80 points per contest and giving up 28.40.
Troy State earned a 31-13 win over Texas State the last time they played at UFCU Stadium. The last 3 head-to-head matchups at UFCU Stadium have all gone the way of Troy State.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O54.5 | U54.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas State Home Stats |
7-3 | 63.90 | 41.00 | 22.90 | 7 | 3 | |
 Troy Trojans Away Stats |
3-7 | 50.20 | 21.80 | 28.40 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
- U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Troy Trojans Stats
Texas State Bobcats Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 55.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 54.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.20 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 65.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 60.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 54.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 39.00 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 38.80 pts and allowed 21.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Madison
|
12 | 1 | 485 | 206 | 279 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 11W |
Old Dominion
|
9 | 3 | 392 | 231 | 161 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 5W |
|
Troy
|
8 | 5 | 316 | 318 | -2 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 1L |
Southern Miss
|
7 | 5 | 358 | 329 | 29 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 3L |
Coastal Carolina
|
6 | 6 | 274 | 407 | -133 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3L |
Arkansas State
|
6 | 6 | 293 | 328 | -35 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1W |
Louisiana
|
6 | 6 | 325 | 360 | -35 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 4W |
Georgia Southern
|
6 | 6 | 334 | 410 | -76 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1W |
|
Texas State
|
6 | 6 | 433 | 367 | 66 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3W |
Marshall
|
5 | 7 | 369 | 363 | 6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2L |
Appalachian State
|
5 | 7 | 304 | 358 | -54 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1L |
South Alabama
|
4 | 8 | 318 | 365 | -47 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
UL Monroe
|
3 | 9 | 199 | 383 | -184 | 2-3 | 1-6 | 8L |
Georgia State
|
1 | 11 | 237 | 454 | -217 | 1-5 | 0-6 | 9L |
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