UCF vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: UCF vs Baylor

UCF go up against Baylor in this NCAAF matchup at McLane Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Under 59.5 Has to Be the Best Bet on the Totals

We’re going for a modest total when Baylor clash with UCF. Under 59.5 could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at odds of -110.

Riding with our Totals pick? Read our in-depth BetMGM review and grab the latest promo code before you place your bet.

Baylor 36-35 Winners When Teams Last Met

UCF Knights have lost back-to-back on the road. In their previous game, it was a 45-13 home win over West Virginia Mountaineers at Acrisure Bounce House.

Baylor Bears have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 41-20 loss against Cincinnati Bearcats at Nippert Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Baylor who came out on top when they last played UCF. At Acrisure Bounce House, a 36-35 win was recorded.

Quarterbacks

Tayven Jackson

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Sawyer Robertson

274.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

UCF vs Baylor Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our UCF vs Baylor betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -110 that there are Under 59.5 points in this college football matchup.

Our expert CFB handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.

Key UCF vs Baylor stats:

• The 59.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 UCF games.
• The 59.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 7 UCF games this season.
• The 59.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 UCF games.
• The 59.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Baylor games at home.

Under 59.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, there’s a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better payout.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Best Bet

Under 59.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sawyer Robertson Under 290.5 Passing Yards -114

Sawyer Robertson (Baylor) is priced at -114 to record fewer than 290.5 passing yards. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Sawyer Robertson Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 274.5

-114

Under 274.5

-114

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Ashtyn Hawkins Under 45.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on Ashtyn Hawkins (UCF) at -114 to end with fewer than 45.5 receiving yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Ashtyn Hawkins Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

UCF 23 - 30 Baylor

We’re going for Baylor to claim a 30-23 victory and the good news is that there are huge odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

UCF vs Baylor Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Baylor Could Have the Edge Say the Books

With a 60% chance of securing victory, Baylor are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -152. UCF are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +128.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 60.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 60.5 at -110.

There's a great variety of team props and game lines when it comes to college football wagering and we recommend visiting the top sportsbooks to find the selection that matches your view on the matchup.

Moneyline

UCF

+128

Baylor

-152

Point Spread

UCF +3.5

-120

Baylor -3.5

-102

Total Points

Under 60.5

-110

Over 60.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Josh Cameron (Baylor)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Michael Trigg (Baylor)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Ashtyn Hawkins (Baylor)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Duane Thomas Jr. (UCF)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Dylan Wade (UCF)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Myles Montgomery (UCF)

Over 77.5

-114

Under 77.5

-114

Bryson Washington (Baylor)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Jaden Nixon (UCF)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Passing Yards

Sawyer Robertson (Baylor)

Over 274.5

-114

Under 274.5

-114

Tayven Jackson (UCF)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

Baylor Have Collected Seven Wins From Last Ten at Home

Baylor have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, scoring 34.90 points per matchup and conceding 22.50.

UCF are on a skid of six consecutive road losses. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 24.60 points on average and giving up 29.70.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O59.5	U59.5
Baylor Home Stats		7-3	57.40	34.90	22.50	6	4
UCF Away Stats		2-8	54.30	24.60	29.70	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O59.5 = Games Over 59.5 Points
• U59.5 = Games Under 59.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UCF Knights Stats

Baylor Bears Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 59.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 59.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 21.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 29.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 67.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 59.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 59.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.00 pts and allowed 32.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.90 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
BYU	8	0	290	136	154	4-0	4-0	8W
Cincinnati	7	1	306	152	154	5-1	2-0	7W
Houston	7	1	230	149	81	3-1	4-0	3W
Texas Tech	7	1	349	99	250	5-0	2-1	1W
TCU	6	2	277	201	76	4-0	2-2	2W
Utah	6	2	311	114	197	3-1	3-1	1W
Iowa State	5	3	232	174	58	3-1	2-2	3L
Arizona	4	3	221	142	79	4-1	0-2	2L
UCF	4	3	215	120	95	4-1	0-2	1W
Baylor	4	4	274	261	13	2-2	2-2	2L
Kansas	4	4	244	207	37	3-2	1-2	2L
Kansas State	4	4	248	206	42	3-2	1-2	2W
Colorado	3	5	181	219	-38	3-2	0-3	1L
West Virginia	2	6	164	239	-75	2-2	0-4	5L
Oklahoma State	1	7	116	311	-195	1-4	0-3	7L