Virginia vs Missouri Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Dec 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Virginia vs Missouri
No. 19 Virginia battle Missouri in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl at EverBank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, December 27.
We’re delighted to see Virginia have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +4.5 at -114 when the Hoos go up against Missouri.
The Virginia Cavaliers (10-3, 1st in ACC) enter this matchup having won four straight road games, though they were beaten 27–20 in overtime by the Duke Blue Devils at Bank of America Stadium in their previous contest.
The Missouri Tigers (8-4, 8th in SEC) claimed a 31–17 road victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks at Razorback Stadium in their last game.
Quarterbacks
Chandler Morris
Matt Zollers
Virginia vs Missouri Prediction & Picks
Our Virginia vs Missouri betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.
Game Prediction
We’re confident that Virginia can produce a strong performance in the Gator Bowl. Our pick is that the underdogs will cover the +4.5 line and you can currently get -114.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.
Key Virginia vs Missouri stats:
UVA +4.5 Probability
The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.
A Bet Builder provides you with the opportunity to combine Virginia on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the price is boosted.
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Player Prop Picks
The odds for Matt Zollers (Missouri) to finish with fewer than 158.5 passing yards stand at -114. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.
Kevin Coleman Jr. (Missouri) can be backed at -114 to record fewer than 49.5 receiving yards. He may fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Virginia +4.5 on the spread, combined with Under 45.5 and Matt Zollers (Missouri) to go Under 158.5 passing yards.
The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.
Correct Score Prediction
21
-
20
Missouri
There are massive odds available when it comes to the Hoos claiming a 21-20 victory. A close battle is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.
Virginia vs Missouri Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sportsbooks’ favorites Missouri are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -185 about them triumphing means a 65% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +156 about Virginia.
The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 43.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 43.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.
You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every college football matchup, with the best sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Explore the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your wagers.
There’s the chance to back Ahmad Hardy at +270 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college football. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Field Goal Outcome, Next Drive Result and Next Play Result are often among the options.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Virginia Cavaliers Stats
Missouri Tigers Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 49.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 20.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 27.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 47.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 58.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 45.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.30 pts and allowed 19.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 37.10 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
|
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
|
Virginia
|
10 | 3 | 418 | 267 | 151 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
8 | 5 | 442 | 373 | 69 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 3W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
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