Virginia vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Virginia vs NC State

Virginia go up against NC State in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Carter Finley Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 6 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

NC State Look the Smart Pick on the Spread

Get with NC State with a -2.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -123 to enjoy a solid win when they go head-to-head with Virginia.

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24-21 Win for NC State in Pair’s Previous Matchup

Virginia Cavaliers won their previous game, beating Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at home. It was a 48-7 win at Scott Stadium. 

North Carolina State Wolfpack won their last game which was at home. It was a 24-17 triumph at Carter Finley Stadium against East Carolina Pirates.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 24-21 win for NC State at Scott Stadium when they last played Virginia.

Quarterbacks

Chandler Morris

257.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

CJ Bailey

244.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Virginia vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Virginia vs NC State with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

The favorites really stand out in this college football matchup. Back NC State against the spread with the confidence that they can cover a -2.5 line at odds of -123.

The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.

Key Virginia vs NC State stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by NC State in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Virginia in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Virginia in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Virginia in 2 consecutive games on the road.

NC State -2.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, there’s a 55.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

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Best Bet

NC State -2.5 @ -123 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chandler Morris Under 260.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Chandler Morris (Virginia) at -114 to end with fewer than 260.5 passing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.

Latest Chandler Morris Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 257.5

-114

Under 257.5

-114

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Hollywood Smothers Under 84.5 Rushing Yards -114

Hollywood Smothers (NC State) is available at -114 to record fewer than 84.5 rushing yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Rushing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Hollywood Smothers Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 76.5

-114

Under 76.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Virginia 27 - 35 NC State

Let’s roll the dice and try NC State to achieve a 35-27 winning scoreline here. There are huge odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of bet to enjoy.

Virginia vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make NC State Likelier Winners

NC State are -147 favorites and that means a 60% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +122 about Virginia.

The spread is calculated to be 3.5, while total points comes in at 54.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 54.5 can find odds of -115 available.

If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Virginia

+122

NC State

-147

Point Spread

Virginia +3.5

-123

NC State -3.5

+102

Total Points

Under 54.5

-115

Over 54.5

-105

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Cam Ross (Virginia)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Trell Harris (Virginia)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Justin Joly (NC State)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Jahmal Edrine (Virginia)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Wesley Grimes (NC State)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Teddy Hoffmann (NC State)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Hollywood Smothers (NC State)

Over 76.5

-114

Under 76.5

-114

Passing Yards

Chandler Morris (Virginia)

Over 257.5

-114

Under 257.5

-114

CJ Bailey (NC State)

Over 244.5

-114

Under 244.5

-114

NC State Have Picked Up Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games

NC State own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 29.00 points per contest and giving up 26.10.

Virginia own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games on the road, posting 26.50 points per contest while yielding 30.70.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O54.5	U54.5
NC State Home Stats		6-4	55.10	29.00	26.10	5	5
Virginia Away Stats		4-6	57.20	26.50	30.70	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
• U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Virginia Cavaliers Stats

North Carolina State Wolfpack Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 57.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 54.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.20 pts and allowed 28.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.50 pts and allowed 30.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 54.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.20 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 26.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	1	0	66	10	56	1-0	0-0	1W
NC State	1	0	24	17	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Wake Forest	1	0	10	9	1	1-0	0-0	1W
Virginia	1	0	48	7	41	1-0	0-0	1W
SMU	1	0	42	13	29	1-0	0-0	1W
California	1	0	34	15	19	0-0	1-0	1W
Pittsburgh	1	0	61	9	52	1-0	0-0	1W
Miami	1	0	27	24	3	1-0	0-0	1W
Louisville	1	0	51	17	34	1-0	0-0	1W
Georgia Tech	1	0	27	20	7	0-0	1-0	1W
Florida State	1	0	31	17	14	1-0	0-0	1W
Duke	1	0	45	17	28	1-0	0-0	1W
Clemson	0	1	10	17	-7	0-1	0-0	1L
North Carolina	0	1	14	48	-34	0-1	0-0	1L
Stanford	0	1	20	23	-3	0-0	0-1	1L
Syracuse	0	1	26	45	-19	0-0	0-1	1L
Virginia Tech	0	1	11	24	-13	0-0	0-1	1L