Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Virginia vs North Carolina

Virginia square off against North Carolina in this NCAAF Week 9 matchup at Kenan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 25 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Side With Virginia to Win Big

There’s a strong case for taking the -110 that Virginia can overcome the -10.5 when they go up against North Carolina. The favorites should be capable of a big victory and that means we’re backing them against the spread.

On board with our spread play? Use BetMGM’s latest promo code and read our comprehensive site review ahead of making your move.

Teams’ Last Clash Saw 41-14 UNC Win

Virginia Cavaliers made it five consecutive wins after a 22-20 home success over Washington State Cougars at Scott Stadium.

North Carolina Tar Heels have been beaten in their last three games. On the road at California Memorial Stadium, Cal recently beat them 21-18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

North Carolina triumphed 41-14 when they last played Virginia. This head-to-head was played at Scott Stadium. The past 6 games H2H record shows that both teams have three wins.

Quarterbacks

Chandler Morris

233.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Gio Lopez

172.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks

Tackle Virginia vs North Carolina with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We really fancy the chances of Virginia beating the underdogs handsomely in this college football showdown. That is why we are wagering them at -10.5 on the spread at -110.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong college football expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our CFB picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Virginia vs North Carolina stats:

• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by North Carolina in 2 of their last 3 games at home this season.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by North Carolina in 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Virginia -10.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling points depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Best Bet

Virginia -10.5 @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chandler Morris Over 233.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Chandler Morris (Virginia) to go over 233.5 passing yards are -114. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Chandler Morris Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 233.5

-114

Under 233.5

-114

---

Jahmal Edrine Over 40.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Jahmal Edrine (North Carolina) to reach over 40.5 receiving yards are -114. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Jahmal Edrine Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Virginia 38 - 21 North Carolina

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on Virginia to achieve a 38-21 win should give bettors a good run for their money.

Virginia vs North Carolina Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Virginia Big Favorites

Virginia are strong -400 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 80% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to back North Carolina, you will find +320 about the underdogs.

10.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 51.5 right now. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Under 51.5, then the odds are -115.

Consider every angle when placing your college football wagers. The best betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Virginia

-400

UNC

+320

Point Spread

Virginia -10.5

-110

UNC +10.5

-110

Total Points

Under 51.5

-115

Over 51.5

-105

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Trell Harris (Virginia)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Jahmal Edrine (Virginia)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Jordan Shipp (UNC)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Cam Ross (Virginia)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Rushing Yards

J'Mari Taylor (Virginia)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Passing Yards

Chandler Morris (Virginia)

Over 233.5

-114

Under 233.5

-114

Gio Lopez (UNC)

Over 172.5

-114

Under 172.5

-114

North Carolina Have Six Defeats in Their Last Ten Home Games

North Carolina have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 31.70 points on offense and surrendering 32.60 on defense.

Virginia are 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 27.10 points per contest and giving up 31.50.

The most recent Kenan Stadium meeting saw Virginia claim a 31-27 win over North Carolina. The last 3 head-to-heads at Kenan Stadium show Virginia with two wins, while North Carolina have one to their name.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
North Carolina Home Stats		4-6	64.30	31.70	32.60	8	2
Virginia Away Stats		4-6	58.60	27.10	31.50	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Virginia Cavaliers Stats

North Carolina Tar Heels Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 58.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.80 pts and allowed 26.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.10 pts and allowed 31.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 27.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.30 pts and allowed 33.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia Tech	7	0	247	144	103	4-0	3-0	7W
Virginia	6	1	280	163	117	5-0	1-1	5W
Louisville	5	1	204	126	78	3-1	2-0	1W
Miami	5	1	196	92	104	4-1	1-0	1L
California	5	2	166	153	13	3-1	2-1	1W
Pittsburgh	5	2	269	142	127	3-1	2-1	3W
SMU	5	2	239	158	81	3-1	2-1	3W
Wake Forest	4	2	174	120	54	2-2	2-0	2W
Duke	4	3	237	180	57	2-2	2-1	1L
NC State	4	3	210	186	24	3-1	1-2	1L
Clemson	3	4	182	146	36	1-3	2-1	1L
Florida State	3	4	278	158	120	3-2	0-2	4L
Stanford	3	4	133	194	-61	3-0	0-4	1W
Syracuse	3	4	187	209	-22	2-2	1-2	3L
North Carolina	2	4	112	150	-38	1-2	1-2	3L
Virginia Tech	2	5	161	205	-44	1-3	1-2	2L
Boston College	1	6	190	237	-47	1-3	0-3	6L