Falcons vs Vikings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Falcons vs Vikings

The Atlanta Falcons face the Minnesota Vikings in this NFL Week 2 matchup at US Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:20 on Sunday, September 14. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Bet on the Vikings against the spread, with an attractive line of -3.5 that they overcome the Falcons. There are odds of -105 that are currently on offer for this selection.

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Atlanta Falcons were beaten 23-20 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in their previous game, being turned over at home to Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Falcons moved the ball for 358 yards, split between 289 passing and 69 rushing yards. The offense picked up 23 first downs along with two touchdowns.

Minnesota Vikings triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Chicago Bears were beaten 27-24 at Soldier Field. The Vikings put up 254 yards, including 134 passing and 120 rushing yards. They picked up 14 first downs to go with 3 trips to the end zone.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Vikings have beaten the Falcons in the last two meetings. They won 31-28 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and triumphed 42-21 at US Bank Stadium. In the past 4 H2H meetings, the Vikings have won three.

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix Jr.

231.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

J.J. McCarthy

217.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Falcons vs Vikings Prediction & Picks

Our Falcons vs Vikings betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

We’re bullish about the market leaders against the spread at -3.5. The Vikings should be able to win this NFL matchup by a comfortable margin and you can get -105.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our NFL predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Falcons vs Vikings stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Vikings in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Vikings in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Falcons in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Vikings -3.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 51.3% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Buying and selling points with a sportsbook gives you the opportunity to choose different lines. The former will mean shorter odds, while a sell leads to a bigger potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

Vikings -3.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jordan Mason Anytime TD -105

Jordan Mason (Vikings) is priced at -105 to score a TD. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Jordan Mason Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+110

First

+700

Rushing Yards

Over 53.5

-112

Under 53.5

-112

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Kyle Pitts Over 38.5 Receiving Yards -114

Kyle Pitts (Vikings) can be backed at -114 to record more than 38.5 receiving yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Kyle Pitts Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+370

First

+1800

Receiving Yards

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 23 - 30 Vikings

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Vikings to record a 30-23 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Falcons vs Vikings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Minnesota Vikings are -164 favorites to win and that means a 62% chance of landing a victory. The market suggests that Atlanta Falcons are least likely to win at +138.

3.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 44.5 right now. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. The Over 44.5 selection is available to back at -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for every National Football League matchup. The best betting apps offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Falcons

+138

Vikings

-164

Point Spread

Falcons +3.5

-128

Vikings -3.5

+104

Total Points

Under 44.5

-110

Over 44.5

-110

You will find Bijan Robinson at +450 to be First Touchdown Scorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get -154 that he scores a TD at anytime.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+450

Anytime TD

-154

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+105

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+110

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+165

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+175

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+280

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+280

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+370

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+370

Jalen Nailor (Vikings)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+380

J.J. McCarthy (Vikings)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+430

Ray-Ray McCloud III (Falcons)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+450

Adam Thielen (Vikings)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Josh Oliver (Vikings)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+950

Tai Felton (Vikings)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1300

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Ben Yurosek (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Myles Price (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

KhaDarel Hodge (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Teagan Quitoriano (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Feleipe Franks (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Tim Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Nick Vannett (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

David Sills V (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Nathan Carter (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Zavier Scott (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

Over 77.5

-112

Under 77.5

-112

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 70.5

-112

Under 70.5

-112

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Over 43.5

-112

Under 43.5

-112

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

Over 38.5

-112

Under 38.5

-112

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Ray-Ray McCloud III (Falcons)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Jalen Nailor (Vikings)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Adam Thielen (Vikings)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 68.5

-112

Under 68.5

-112

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

Over 53.5

-112

Under 53.5

-112

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 43.5

-112

Under 43.5

-112

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

J.J. McCarthy (Vikings)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

Passing Yards

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 231.5

-112

Under 231.5

-112

J.J. McCarthy (Vikings)

Over 217.5

-112

Under 217.5

-112

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Vikings Rolling at Home

The Vikings have run off five consecutive wins at US Bank Stadium. They have gone 7-3 across their last 10 home games, scoring 26.30 points per contest and conceding 21.10.

The Falcons have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 20.80 points per contest while yielding 29.10.

The Vikings earned a 42-21 win against the Falcons in the teams’ last meeting at US Bank Stadium. From their last 3 head-to-head matchups at US Bank Stadium, the Vikings have collected two wins and the Falcons one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Vikings Home Stats		7-3	47.40	26.30	21.10	5	5
Falcons Away Stats		4-6	49.90	20.80	29.10	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Minnesota Vikings Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.50 pts and allowed 25.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.70 pts and allowed 22.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.20 pts and allowed 19.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 367.90 Yds. Allowed 334.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 132.20 Yds. Allowed 109.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 235.20 Yds. Allowed 225.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.70. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.50 Yds. Gained 58.20 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 332.90 Yds. Allowed 351.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 99.90 Yds. Allowed 108.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 233.00 Yds. Allowed 242.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 19.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 9.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.40 Yds. Gained 76.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 369.10 Yds. Allowed 382.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 137.40 Yds. Allowed 134.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.20 Yds. Allowed 247.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 22.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.70 Yds. Gained 56.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 341.50 Yds. Allowed 349.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.10 Yds. Allowed 109.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 236.40 Yds. Allowed 240.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.30. Allowed 20.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 8.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.40 Yds. Gained 69.20 Yds

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