Atlanta Falcons
American Football NFL Gillette Stadium Sun 2 Nov 14:00
New England Patriots
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Live Stream
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Standings

NFL Betting Preview: Falcons vs Patriots

The Atlanta Falcons battle the New England Patriots in this NFL matchup at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 14:00 on Sunday, November 2. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We’re Expecting a Low Points Total

The -110 for Under 45.5 points to be scored by the two teams looks like great value. Our prediction is that the Patriots and the Falcons might not collectively reach this total.

Projecting a low-scoring matchup ahead? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and take a moment to read through our in-depth site review.

Patriots Beat Falcons in Pair’s Last Head-to-Head

Atlanta Falcons suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 34-10 in their previous game. This was at home to Miami Dolphins at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons generated 213 total yards, made up of 168 passing and 45 rushing yards. The offense produced 11 first downs and reached the end zone once.

New England Patriots won their last game 32-13, making it five victories on the bounce. This was a home win at Gillette Stadium against Cleveland Browns. The Patriots finished with 422 total yards, made up of 245 through the air and 177 on the ground. The offense scored 3 touchdowns and moved the chains 23 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Patriots won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 25-0 triumph when facing the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Falcons vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Falcons vs Patriots tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 45.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -110 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this NFL battle.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert NFL picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate predictions possible.

Key Falcons vs Patriots stats:

  • The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 7 Falcons games this season.
  • The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Falcons games.
  • The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Falcons games.
  • The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Patriots games.
  • The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 8 Patriots games this season.
  • The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Patriots games.

Under 45.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under bet on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is popular way of betting on multiple outcomes in a single game.

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Best Bet

Under 45.5 Points @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 20:26, 31 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stefon Diggs Anytime TD +140 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Stefon Diggs (Patriots) to hit paydirt at +140. He looks like a value bet to punch it in and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer pick.

Latest Stefon Diggs Player Prop Odds

Drake Maye Under 30.5 Rushing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

Drake Maye (Falcons) is priced at -114 to have less than 30.5 rushing yards. There’s a strong case for opting for him to fall short of the required total in the Player Rushing Yards market.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 45.5
Spread Patriots -5.5
Anytime Touchdown Stefon Diggs

Take a same game parlay that incorporates Under 45.5 points followed by Patriots to cover the -5.5 spread. Add in Stefon Diggs (Patriots) as an anytime touchdown scorer.

The same game parlay option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons Falcons logo 14 - 27 Patriots logo Patriots

The Patriots can be wagered in lots of different ways and this includes the correct score lines. There’s the chance to back them to win 27-14 for a big potential return.

Falcons vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Patriots Likelier Winners

New England Patriots have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 70% probability due to their -233 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Atlanta Falcons are least likely to win at +194.

There is a spread of 5.5 and total points has a line of 45.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Under 45.5, then the odds are -110.

If you’re betting on the National Football League, we recommend visiting the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Bijan Robinson Favorite to Score First Touchdown

Bijan Robinson can be backed to score a touchdown at anytime at -135. He is the favorite to score the first TD at odds of +490.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)
First TD
+490
Anytime TD
-135
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TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)
First TD
+600
Anytime TD
-115
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Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)
First TD
+600
Anytime TD
-115
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Stefon Diggs (Patriots)
First TD
+850
Anytime TD
+140
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Receiving Yards

Drake London (Falcons)
Over 63.5
-114
Under 63.5
-114
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Stefon Diggs (Patriots)
Over 47.5
-114
Under 47.5
-114
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Darnell Mooney (Falcons)
Over 36.5
-114
Under 36.5
-114
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Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)
Over 62.5
-114
Under 62.5
-114
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TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)
Over 52.5
-114
Under 52.5
-114
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Drake Maye (Patriots)
Over 30.5
-114
Under 30.5
-114
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Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)
Over 24.5
-114
Under 24.5
-114
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Passing Yards

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)
Over 225.5
-114
Under 225.5
-114
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Patriots Have Dropped Six of Their Last Ten Home Games

The Patriots have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 22.30 points on offense and surrendering 23.90 on defense.

The Falcons own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 18.40 points scored and 24.10 points allowed.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O45.5 U45.5
Patriots logo Patriots Home Stats 4-6 46.20 22.30 23.90 6 4
Falcons logo Falcons Away Stats 4-6 42.50 18.40 24.10 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
  • U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons logo Atlanta Falcons Stats
New England Patriots logo New England Patriots Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Live Streaming

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Team News

Atlanta Falcons Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Troy Andersen
Knee
Jessie Bates
Knee
Billy Bowman
Hamstring
Divine Deablo
Forearm
Leonard Floyd
Hamstring
Zach Harrison
Knee
Emory Jones
Concussion
Kaleb McGary
Leg
Storm Norton
Foot
Clark Phillips
Triceps
Bralen Trice
Knee
Malik Verdon
Undisclosed
Jalon Walker
Groin
Casey Washington
Back
Tyrone Wheatley
Undisclosed

New England Patriots Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Marcellas Dial
Knee - ACL
Yasir Durant
Undisclosed
Antonio Gibson
Knee - ACL
Isaiah Iton
Hip
Brock Lampe
Undisclosed
Lan Larison
Foot
Deneric Prince
Undisclosed
Jaquelin Roy
Undisclosed
Wes Schweitzer
Undisclosed
Rhamondre Stevenson
Toe

Previous Atlanta Falcons Lineups

26 Oct NFL
Dolphins 34-10 Falcons
19 Oct NFL
Falcons 10-20 49ers
13 Oct NFL
Bills 14-24 Falcons
28 Sep NFL
Commanders 27-34 Falcons
21 Sep NFL
Falcons 0-30 Panthers
14 Sep NFL
Falcons 22-6 Vikings
07 Sep NFL
Buccaneers 23-20 Falcons
05 Jan NFL
Panthers 44-38 Falcons
29 Dec NFL
Falcons 24-30 Commanders
22 Dec NFL
Giants 7-34 Falcons

Previous New England Patriots Lineups

26 Oct NFL
Browns 13-32 Patriots
19 Oct NFL
Patriots 31-13 Titans
12 Oct NFL
Patriots 25-19 Saints
05 Oct NFL
Patriots 23-20 Bills
28 Sep NFL
Panthers 13-42 Patriots
21 Sep NFL
Steelers 21-14 Patriots
14 Sep NFL
Patriots 33-27 Dolphins
07 Sep NFL
Raiders 20-13 Patriots
05 Jan NFL
Bills 16-23 Patriots
28 Dec NFL
Chargers 40-7 Patriots

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Patriots 6 2 0 0.750 213 146 67 2-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 5W
Bills 5 2 0 0.714 207 146 61 3-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Steelers 4 3 0 0.571 175 175 0 2-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Bengals 3 5 0 0.375 174 253 -79 2-2-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 1L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 1 0 0.875 270 154 116 5-0-0 2-1-0 2-0-0 6-0-0 4-1-0 4W
Jaguars 4 3 0 0.571 146 155 -9 3-2-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Texans 3 4 0 0.429 153 103 50 2-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Titans 1 7 0 0.125 110 230 -120 0-3-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-6-0 1-4-0 3L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Broncos 6 2 0 0.750 207 151 56 4-0-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 5-0-0 5W
Chargers 5 3 0 0.625 188 173 15 3-2-0 2-1-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 2-3-0 1W
Chiefs 5 3 0 0.625 214 131 83 4-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Raiders 2 5 0 0.286 103 180 -77 1-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 1-4-0 1L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Cowboys 3 4 1 0.375 246 250 -4 2-0-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-3-1 2-2-1 1L
Commanders 3 5 0 0.375 187 198 -11 2-1-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 3L
Giants 2 6 0 0.250 173 215 -42 2-1-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 2-3-0 2L
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 5 1 1 0.714 193 150 43 3-0-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-0-1 3-1-1 3W
Lions 5 2 0 0.714 215 151 64 3-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Bears 4 3 0 0.571 168 185 -17 2-1-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1L
Vikings 3 4 0 0.429 155 162 -7 1-2-0 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 2-3-0 2L
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 4 4 0 0.500 154 192 -38 3-1-0 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Falcons 3 4 0 0.429 120 154 -34 2-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2L
Saints 1 7 0 0.125 128 209 -81 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Seahawks 5 2 0 0.714 193 136 57 2-2-0 3-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 2W
Rams 5 2 0 0.714 175 117 58 2-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 2W
49ers 5 3 0 0.625 160 164 -4 2-1-0 3-2-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 2-3-0 1L
Cardinals 2 5 0 0.286 153 154 -1 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 0-5-0 5L
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 1 0 0.875 270 154 116 5-0-0 2-1-0 2-0-0 6-0-0 4-1-0 4W
Patriots 6 2 0 0.750 213 146 67 2-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 5W
Broncos 6 2 0 0.750 207 151 56 4-0-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 5-0-0 5W
Steelers 4 3 0 0.571 175 175 0 2-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Bills 5 2 0 0.714 207 146 61 3-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Chargers 5 3 0 0.625 188 173 15 3-2-0 2-1-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 2-3-0 1W
Chiefs 5 3 0 0.625 214 131 83 4-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Jaguars 4 3 0 0.571 146 155 -9 3-2-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Texans 3 4 0 0.429 153 103 50 2-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bengals 3 5 0 0.375 174 253 -79 2-2-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 1L
Raiders 2 5 0 0.286 103 180 -77 1-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 1-4-0 1L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Titans 1 7 0 0.125 110 230 -120 0-3-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-6-0 1-4-0 3L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 5 1 1 0.714 193 150 43 3-0-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-0-1 3-1-1 3W
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Seahawks 5 2 0 0.714 193 136 57 2-2-0 3-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 2W
Lions 5 2 0 0.714 215 151 64 3-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Rams 5 2 0 0.714 175 117 58 2-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 2W
49ers 5 3 0 0.625 160 164 -4 2-1-0 3-2-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 2-3-0 1L
Bears 4 3 0 0.571 168 185 -17 2-1-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1L
Panthers 4 4 0 0.500 154 192 -38 3-1-0 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Cowboys 3 4 1 0.375 246 250 -4 2-0-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-3-1 2-2-1 1L
Falcons 3 4 0 0.429 120 154 -34 2-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2L
Vikings 3 4 0 0.429 155 162 -7 1-2-0 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 2-3-0 2L
Commanders 3 5 0 0.375 187 198 -11 2-1-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 3L
Cardinals 2 5 0 0.286 153 154 -1 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 0-5-0 5L
Giants 2 6 0 0.250 173 215 -42 2-1-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 2-3-0 2L
Saints 1 7 0 0.125 128 209 -81 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 1 0 0.875 270 154 116 5-0-0 2-1-0 2-0-0 6-0-0 4-1-0 4W
Packers 5 1 1 0.714 193 150 43 3-0-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-0-1 3-1-1 3W
Broncos 6 2 0 0.750 207 151 56 4-0-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 5-0-0 5W
Patriots 6 2 0 0.750 213 146 67 2-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 5W
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Bills 5 2 0 0.714 207 146 61 3-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Lions 5 2 0 0.714 215 151 64 3-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Rams 5 2 0 0.714 175 117 58 2-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Seahawks 5 2 0 0.714 193 136 57 2-2-0 3-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 2W
Chiefs 5 3 0 0.625 214 131 83 4-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Chargers 5 3 0 0.625 188 173 15 3-2-0 2-1-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 2-3-0 1W
49ers 5 3 0 0.625 160 164 -4 2-1-0 3-2-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 2-3-0 1L
Bears 4 3 0 0.571 168 185 -17 2-1-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1L
Jaguars 4 3 0 0.571 146 155 -9 3-2-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Steelers 4 3 0 0.571 175 175 0 2-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Panthers 4 4 0 0.500 154 192 -38 3-1-0 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Cowboys 3 4 1 0.375 246 250 -4 2-0-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-3-1 2-2-1 1L
Falcons 3 4 0 0.429 120 154 -34 2-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2L
Texans 3 4 0 0.429 153 103 50 2-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Vikings 3 4 0 0.429 155 162 -7 1-2-0 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 2-3-0 2L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 3 5 0 0.375 174 253 -79 2-2-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 1L
Commanders 3 5 0 0.375 187 198 -11 2-1-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 3L
Cardinals 2 5 0 0.286 153 154 -1 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 0-5-0 5L
Raiders 2 5 0 0.286 103 180 -77 1-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 1-4-0 1L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Giants 2 6 0 0.250 173 215 -42 2-1-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 2-3-0 2L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Saints 1 7 0 0.125 128 209 -81 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Titans 1 7 0 0.125 110 230 -120 0-3-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-6-0 1-4-0 3L