Falcons vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Falcons vs Patriots

The Atlanta Falcons battle the New England Patriots in this NFL Week 9 clash at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 2. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The -110 for Under 45.5 points to be scored by the two teams looks like great value. Our prediction is that the Patriots and the Falcons might not collectively reach this total.

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Atlanta Falcons suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 34-10 in their previous game. This was at home to Miami Dolphins at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons generated 213 total yards, made up of 168 passing and 45 rushing yards. The offense produced 11 first downs and reached the end zone once.

New England Patriots won their last game 32-13, making it five victories on the bounce. This was a home win at Gillette Stadium against Cleveland Browns. The Patriots finished with 422 total yards, made up of 245 through the air and 177 on the ground. The offense scored 3 touchdowns and moved the chains 23 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Patriots won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 25-0 triumph when facing the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix Jr.

225.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Drake Maye

227.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Falcons vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Falcons vs Patriots tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks too big at 45.5 and we can take advantage. Go under this number at -110 and hope that there aren’t too many fireworks in this NFL battle.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert NFL picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate predictions possible.

Key Falcons vs Patriots stats:

• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 7 Falcons games this season.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Falcons games.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Falcons games.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Patriots games.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 8 Patriots games this season.
• The 45.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Patriots games.

Under 45.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under bet on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is popular way of betting on multiple outcomes in a single game.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 45.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 31 October 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stefon Diggs Anytime TD +140

You can place a bet on Stefon Diggs (Patriots) to hit paydirt at +140. He looks like a value bet to punch it in and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer pick.

Latest Stefon Diggs Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+150

First

+850

Receiving Yards

Over 47.5

-112

Under 47.5

-112

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Drake Maye Under 30.5 Rushing Yards -114

Drake Maye (Falcons) is priced at -114 to have less than 30.5 rushing yards. There’s a strong case for opting for him to fall short of the required total in the Player Rushing Yards market.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+310

First

+1500

Passing Yards

Over 227.5

-112

Under 227.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 14 - 27 Patriots

The Patriots can be wagered in lots of different ways and this includes the correct score lines. There’s the chance to back them to win 27-14 for a big potential return.

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Falcons vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

New England Patriots have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability due to their -161 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Atlanta Falcons are least likely to win at +136.

There is a spread of 3 and total points has a line of 44.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Under 44.5, then the odds are -105.

If you’re betting on the National Football League, we recommend visiting the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Falcons

+136

Patriots

-161

Point Spread

Falcons +3

-110

Patriots -3

-110

Total Points

Under 44.5

-105

Over 44.5

-115

Bijan Robinson can be backed to score a touchdown at anytime at -130. He is the favorite to score the first TD at odds of +480.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+480

Anytime TD

-130

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-110

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-115

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+150

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+150

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+270

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+290

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+310

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+310

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+480

Terrell Jennings (Patriots)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+400

Casey Washington (Falcons)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

David Sills V (Falcons)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+950

KhaDarel Hodge (Falcons)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1200

D'Ernest Johnson (Patriots)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1100

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Jamal Agnew (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Teagan Quitoriano (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Feleipe Franks (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jack Westover (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Nathan Carter (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Dylan Drummond (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Receiving Yards

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 63.5

-112

Under 63.5

-112

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

Over 47.5

-112

Under 47.5

-112

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

Over 36.5

-112

Under 36.5

-112

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Over 36.5

-112

Under 36.5

-112

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 62.5

-112

Under 62.5

-112

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 50.5

-112

Under 50.5

-112

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Terrell Jennings (Patriots)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-112

Passing Yards

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 227.5

-112

Under 227.5

-112

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 225.5

-112

Under 225.5

-112

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for NFL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Patriots Have Dropped Six of Their Last Ten Home Games

The Patriots have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 22.30 points on offense and surrendering 23.90 on defense.

The Falcons own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 18.40 points scored and 24.10 points allowed.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O45.5	U45.5
Patriots Home Stats		4-6	46.20	22.30	23.90	6	4
Falcons Away Stats		4-6	42.50	18.40	24.10	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
• U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 42.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.40 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.30 pts and allowed 20.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 360.40 Yds. Allowed 300.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 134.30 Yds. Allowed 130.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 226.10 Yds. Allowed 169.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.10. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.60 Yds. Gained 58.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 331.50 Yds. Allowed 309.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 107.40 Yds. Allowed 88.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 224.10 Yds. Allowed 220.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.00. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 62.00 Yds. Gained 52.50 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 356.00 Yds. Allowed 337.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 142.10 Yds. Allowed 117.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 213.40 Yds. Allowed 219.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.00. Allowed 19.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.20 Yds. Gained 56.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 326.60 Yds. Allowed 317.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.10 Yds. Allowed 114.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 211.50 Yds. Allowed 202.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.80. Allowed 19.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.20. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.40 Yds. Gained 46.20 Yds

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