Falcons vs Saints Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Falcons vs Saints

The Atlanta Falcons battle the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, November 23.

The Saints look great value on the Moneyline and our prediction is that they will claim a victory over the Falcons. We’re happy to take the -133 that they win.

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Atlanta Falcons have lost in their previous five outings. In a recent home game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, they were turned over 30-27 (OT) by Carolina Panthers. The Falcons put up 348 yards, including 223 passing and 125 rushing yards. They moved the chains 23 times and produced 3 touchdowns.

New Orleans Saints have suffered back-to-back home defeats. In their last game, they beat Carolina Panthers 17-7 on the road at Bank of America Stadium. The Saints recorded 388 yards, split between 266 passing and 122 rushing yards. The offense converted for 17 first downs and scored one passing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Saints beat the Falcons when the teams last met. It was a 20-17 scoreline at Caesars Superdome. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Saints land seven wins.

Quarterbacks

Kirk Cousins

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tyler Shough

199.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Falcons vs Saints Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Falcons vs Saints betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to side with the Saints to record a victory in this NFL matchup. They should have the upper hand and the -133 for our pick on the Moneyline looks a good price.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our NFL handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Falcons vs Saints stats:

• Falcons have lost their last 5 games.
• Falcons have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Falcons have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• Saints have won 7 of their last 10 games against Falcons.

Saints Moneyline Probability

Based on the betting odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. However, our in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you can correctly predict that the Saints will win along with the number of points, then you are able to combine the two options and getting larger odds on the Result & Total lines.

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Our Game Prediction

Saints Moneyline @ -133 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chris Olave Anytime TD +180

You can back Chris Olave (Saints) at +180 to hit paydirt. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Touchdown Scorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Chris Olave Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+180

First

+850

Receiving Yards

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

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Darnell Mooney Over 47.5 Receiving Yards -114

Darnell Mooney (Saints) is priced at -114 to rack up over 47.5 receiving yards. We're confident in him covering the Player Receiving Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Darnell Mooney Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+280

First

+1100

Receiving Yards

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 23 - 24 Saints

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Saints to claim a 24-23 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Falcons vs Saints Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The Moneyline odds about New Orleans Saints triumphing is priced at -133 and you can get Atlanta Falcons at +114. This means the top sportsbooks give the road team a 47% chance of winning.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 39.5 right now. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those who wager Under 39.5 can get -105.

Take a well-rounded approach when placing your bets. The top NFL betting sites are packed with team props and game lines, so focus on finding the selection that reflects your read on the matchup.

Moneyline

Falcons

+114

Saints

-133

Point Spread

Falcons +1.5

-108

Saints -1.5

-112

Total Points

Under 39.5

-105

Over 39.5

-115

The First TD Scorer favorite is Bijan Robinson at +360. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last touchdown.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+360

Anytime TD

-149

Alvin Kamara (Saints)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+170

Chris Olave (Saints)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+180

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+190

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+240

Juwan Johnson (Saints)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+220

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+280

Devaughn Vele (Saints)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+350

Taysom Hill (Saints)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+360

Brandin Cooks (Saints)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+600

Devin Neal (Saints)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Tyler Shough (Saints)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

David Sills V (Falcons)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+650

Kevin Austin (Saints)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

Mason Tipton (Saints)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

KhaDarel Hodge (Falcons)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Foster Moreau (Saints)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Dante Pettis (Saints)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1700

Casey Washington (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Jack Stoll (Saints)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Zaire Mitchell-Paden (Saints)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Audric Estime (Saints)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Teagan Quitoriano (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Feleipe Franks (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Jamal Agnew (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Nathan Carter (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+5500

Receiving Yards

Chris Olave (Saints)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Juwan Johnson (Saints)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Devaughn Vele (Saints)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Alvin Kamara (Saints)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 82.5

-114

Under 82.5

-114

Alvin Kamara (Saints)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Tyler Shough (Saints)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-152

Passing Yards

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

Tyler Shough (Saints)

Over 199.5

-114

Under 199.5

-114

Saints Have Bossed Recent Head-to-Heads at Caesars Superdome

The Saints have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 18.00 points on average and giving up 20.50.

The Falcons have suffered four consecutive road defeats. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, posting 16.30 points per matchup while yielding 25.00.

The Saints beat the Falcons 20-17 when the teams last met at Caesars Superdome. In their past 6 head-to-head matchups at Caesars Superdome, the Saints have recorded four victories, while the Falcons have managed two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O39.5	U39.5
Saints Home Stats		3-7	38.50	18.00	20.50	4	6
Falcons Away Stats		2-8	41.30	16.30	25.00	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O39.5 = Games Over 39.5 Points
• U39.5 = Games Under 39.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

New Orleans Saints Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 39.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.50 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.30 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 38.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 39.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 15.50 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 18.00 pts and allowed 20.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 332.50 Yds. Allowed 326.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 119.90 Yds. Allowed 138.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.60 Yds. Allowed 188.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.70. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.50 Yds. Gained 47.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 296.60 Yds. Allowed 317.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 92.90 Yds. Allowed 123.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 203.70 Yds. Allowed 193.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.30 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.00. Allowed 20.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.50 Yds. Gained 53.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 332.10 Yds. Allowed 345.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.50 Yds. Allowed 139.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 201.10 Yds. Allowed 206.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.90 Yds. Gained 52.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 319.80 Yds. Allowed 345.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 104.10 Yds. Allowed 121.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 215.70 Yds. Allowed 223.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.60. Allowed 21.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.00 Yds. Gained 47.20 Yds

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