Points the Play in Falcons at Commanders

We think that 46.5 is a generous total for Over backers when the Commanders meet the Falcons. Take the -115 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

Commanders Too Strong for Falcons in Last H2H

Atlanta Falcons beat New York Giants in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 34-7 home win at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons 329 yards total gain included 202 passing and 127 rushing yards. They scored 4 touchdowns and picked up 22 first downs.

Washington Commanders have enjoyed three straight wins, most recently beating Philadelphia Eagles 36-33. It was a home success at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders gained a total of 368 yards, comprising 254 passing and 114 rushing yards. They scored 5 touchdowns. All 5 were passing TD’s.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders triumphed 24-16 when they last played the Falcons. This head-to-head was played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. In the past 3 H2H games, the Commanders have won every time.

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix Jr.

Jayden Daniels

Falcons vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

We’re confident that Over 46.5 is the value play at -115. We’re expecting these NFL rivals to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Falcons vs Commanders stats:

The 46.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Commanders games at home.
The 46.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Commanders games.
The 46.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Commanders games at home this season.

Over 46.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, we have this figure at close to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to go Over on the Totals at bigger odds, then you can combine this pick with other selections in a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the potential return.

Best Bet

Over 46.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Published 01:26, 28 December 2024

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 46.5

Anytime Touchdown Drake London

Passing Yards Michael Penix Jr. Over 207.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Over 46.5 points, an Drake London touchdown and Michael Penix Jr. tossing Over 207.5 yards.

The same game parlay option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Bet Boosts

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Falcons

20 - 30 Commanders logo

Commanders

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Commanders to enjoy a 30-20 winning scoreline.

Falcons vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Commanders Trading at Shorter Odds Than Falcons

Washington Commanders have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability due to their -185 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Atlanta Falcons are trading at +156.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 46.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 46.5, the odds are -105.

The betting sites offer a wide range of team props and game lines for every National Football League clash. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Bijan Robinson Favorite to Score First Touchdown

Bijan Robinson can be backed to score a TD at any stage at -130. There is the opportunity to back the market leader to grab the first touchdown at +500.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

View More View Less

Receiving Yards

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Drake London (Falcons)

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

View More View Less

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

View More View Less

Passing Yards

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

All
Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Falcons

NFL: 22/12 Giants7 Falcons 34
NFL: 17/12 Falcons15 Raiders 9
NFL: 08/12 Falcons21 Vikings 42
NFL: 01/12 Chargers17 Falcons 13
NFL: 17/11 Falcons6 Broncos 38

Commanders

NFL: 22/12 Eagles33 Commanders 36
NFL: 15/12 Commanders20 Saints 19
NFL: 01/12 Titans19 Commanders 42
NFL: 24/11 Cowboys34 Commanders 26
NFL: 15/11 Commanders18 Eagles 26

Head to Head

Falcons vs Commanders

NFL: 15/10 2023 Commanders 24 Falcons 16
NFL: 27/11 2022 Falcons 13 Commanders 19
NFL: 03/10 2021 Commanders 34 Falcons 30

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
+4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
-4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 45.00 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 46.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 46.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.10 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 51.00 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 46.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 46.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.40 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 364.70 Yds. Allowed 335.20 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 138.20 Yds. Allowed 93.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 226.00 Yds. Allowed 241.40 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.70. Allowed 18.70
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.20
Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 7.20
Penalty Yards: Lost 48.00 Yds. Gained 54.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 364.00 Yds. Allowed 320.30 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 139.90 Yds. Allowed 140.50 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 224.10 Yds. Allowed 179.80 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.90. Allowed 19.00
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.30
Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.00
Penalty Yards: Lost 56.90 Yds. Gained 54.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 355.80 Yds. Allowed 369.40 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 130.00 Yds. Allowed 125.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 225.30 Yds. Allowed 243.60 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.50. Allowed 20.80
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.20
Penalty Yards: Lost 49.70 Yds. Gained 48.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 365.10 Yds. Allowed 307.80 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 151.00 Yds. Allowed 131.60 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 214.10 Yds. Allowed 176.20 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.40. Allowed 18.60
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.30
Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.40
Penalty Yards: Lost 54.10 Yds. Gained 48.40 Yds

Team News

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders Lineups

Washington Commanders

Manager:

Dan Quinn

10

Tress Way

12

Luke McCaffrey

13

K.J. Osborn

18

Marcus Mariota

22

Darrick Forrest

25

Benjamin St-Juste

26

Jeremy McNichols

32

Mykal Walker

35

Percy Butler

36

Christopher Rodriguez Jr.

38

Kevon Seymour

39

Jeremy Reaves

47

Zane Gonzalez

57

Nick Bellore

60

Michael Deiter

64

Sheldon Day

69

Tyler Ott

73

Trent Scott

75

Chris Paul

82

Ben Sinnott

87

John Bates

89

Brycen Tremayne

90

Javontae Jean-Baptiste

93

Jonathan Allen

96

Jalyn Holmes

99

Clelin Ferrell

Atlanta Falcons

Manager:

Raheem Morris

13

Bradley Pinion

17

Arnold Ebiketie

18

Kirk Cousins

19

Chris Blair

22

Clark Phillips

25

Tyler Allgeier

26

Avery Williams

27

Richie Grant

34

Ray-Ray McCloud

35

Natrone Brooks

37

Riley Patterson

38

Lamar Jackson

40

JD Bertrand

42

Josh Woods

49

Liam McCullough

51

DeAngelo Malone

53

Nate Landman

64

Ryan Neuzil

68

Kyle Hinton

77

Storm Norton

85

Ross Dwelley

89

Charlie Woerner

91

Demone Harris

93

Kentavius Street

96

Zach Harrison

98

Ruke Orhorhoro

Washington Commanders Substitutes

0 Mike Sainristil
1 Noah Igbinoghene
4 Frankie Luvu
5 Jayden Daniels
6 Dante Fowler Jr.
8 Brian Robinson Jr.
11 Jeremy Chinn
14 Olamide Zaccheaus
17 Terry McLaurin
20 Jartavius Martin
24 Michael Davis
54 Bobby Wagner
63 Tyler Biadasz
67 Nick Allegretti
74 Brandon Coleman
76 Samuel Cosmi
78 Cornelius Lucas
80 Jamison Crowder
86 Zach Ertz
92 Dorance Armstrong Jr.
94 Daron Payne
95 Jer'Zhan Newton

Atlanta Falcons Substitutes

0 Lorenzo Carter
1 Darnell Mooney
3 Jessie Bates III
5 Drake London
7 Bijan Robinson
8 Kyle Pitts
9 Michael Penix Jr.
12 Khadarel Hodge
15 Matthew Judon
20 Dee Alford
21 Mike Hughes
24 A.J. Terrell
31 Justin Simmons
55 Kaden Elliss
63 Chris Lindstrom
65 Matthew Bergeron
67 Drew Dalman
70 Jake Matthews
76 Kaleb McGary
90 David Onyemata
97 Grady Jarrett
99 Eddie Goldman

Atlanta Falcons Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Micah Abernathy

Knee

Troy Andersen

Knee

Robert Burns

Undisclosed

Ta'Quon Graham

Pectoral

Antonio Hamilton

Quadriceps

Harrison Hand

Knee

DeMarcco Hellams

Ankle

Kevin King

Concussion

Younghoe Koo

Hip

Jase McClellan

Knee

Rondale Moore

Knee

James Smith-Williams

Lower Leg

Bralen Trice

Knee - ACL

Tyler Vrabel

Personal

Washington Commanders Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Jonathan Allen

Pectoral

Dyami Brown

Hamstring

Noah Brown

Torso

Austin Ekeler

Concussion

Marshon Lattimore

Hamstring

Jordan Magee

Hamstring

Marcus Mariota

Personal

Tyler Owens

Ankle

Norell Pollard

Undisclosed

Austin Seibert

Groin

Andrew Wylie

Groin

Colson Yankoff

Hamstring

Previous Atlanta Falcons Lineups

22 Dec NFL

Giants 7-34 Falcons

Confirmed Lineups

16 Dec NFL

Falcons 15-9 Raiders

Confirmed Lineups

08 Dec NFL

Falcons 21-42 Vikings

Confirmed Lineups

01 Dec NFL

Chargers 17-13 Falcons

Confirmed Lineups

17 Nov NFL

Falcons 6-38 Broncos

Confirmed Lineups

10 Nov NFL

Falcons 17-20 Saints

Confirmed Lineups

03 Nov NFL

Cowboys 21-27 Falcons

Confirmed Lineups

27 Oct NFL

Falcons 31-26 Buccaneers

Confirmed Lineups

20 Oct NFL

Seahawks 34-14 Falcons

Confirmed Lineups

13 Oct NFL

Falcons 38-20 Panthers

Confirmed Lineups

Previous Washington Commanders Lineups

22 Dec NFL

Eagles 33-36 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

15 Dec NFL

Commanders 20-19 Saints

Confirmed Lineups

01 Dec NFL

Titans 19-42 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

24 Nov NFL

Cowboys 34-26 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

14 Nov NFL

Commanders 18-26 Eagles

Confirmed Lineups

10 Nov NFL

Steelers 28-27 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

03 Nov NFL

Commanders 27-22 Giants

Confirmed Lineups

27 Oct NFL

Bears 15-18 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

20 Oct NFL

Panthers 7-40 Commanders

Confirmed Lineups

13 Oct NFL

Commanders 23-30 Ravens

Confirmed Lineups

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC Conference	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC Conference	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFL Team	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cowboys	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Giants	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Eagles	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-