Falcons vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Dec 2024

We think that 46.5 is a generous total for Over backers when the Commanders meet the Falcons. Take the -115 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

Atlanta Falcons beat New York Giants in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 34-7 home win at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons 329 yards total gain included 202 passing and 127 rushing yards. They scored 4 touchdowns and picked up 22 first downs.

Washington Commanders have enjoyed three straight wins, most recently beating Philadelphia Eagles 36-33. It was a home success at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders gained a total of 368 yards, comprising 254 passing and 114 rushing yards. They scored 5 touchdowns. All 5 were passing TD’s.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders triumphed 24-16 when they last played the Falcons. This head-to-head was played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. In the past 3 H2H games, the Commanders have won every time.

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix Jr.

202.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Jayden Daniels

221.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Falcons vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

We’re confident that Over 46.5 is the value play at -115. We’re expecting these NFL rivals to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Falcons vs Commanders stats:

• The 46.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Commanders games at home.
• The 46.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Commanders games.
• The 46.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Commanders games at home this season.

Over 46.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, we have this figure at close to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you want to go Over on the Totals at bigger odds, then you can combine this pick with other selections in a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the potential return.

Our Game Prediction

Over 46.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Falcons 20 - 30 Commanders

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Commanders to enjoy a 30-20 winning scoreline.

Falcons vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Washington Commanders have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability due to their -185 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Atlanta Falcons are trading at +156.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 46.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 46.5, the odds are -105.

The betting sites offer a wide range of team props and game lines for every National Football League clash. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Falcons

+156

Commanders

-185

Point Spread

Falcons +3.5

-120

Commanders -3.5

-102

Total Points

Under 46.5

-115

Over 46.5

-105

Bijan Robinson can be backed to score a TD at any stage at -130. There is the opportunity to back the market leader to grab the first touchdown at +500.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-130

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-100

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+110

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+135

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+155

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+240

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+250

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+320

Ray-Ray McCloud III (Falcons)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+370

Olamide Zaccheaus (Commanders)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+390

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+2100

Anytime TD

+450

Jamison Crowder (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+430

Dyami Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+2300

Anytime TD

+350

Washington Commanders Defense (Commanders)

First TD

+3100

Anytime TD

+700

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

Atlanta Falcons Defense (Falcons)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+4900

Anytime TD

+750

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+800

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+8500

Anytime TD

+1400

K.J. Osborn (Commanders)

First TD

+8500

Anytime TD

+1600

Ross Dwelley (Falcons)

First TD

+9000

Anytime TD

+1100

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+9000

Anytime TD

+1100

Avery Williams (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2300

KhaDarel Hodge (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Chris Blair (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Casey Washington (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Receiving Yards

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 65.5

-110

Under 65.5

-110

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 61.5

-110

Under 61.5

-110

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Over 45.5

-110

Under 45.5

-110

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 34.5

-110

Under 34.5

-110

Olamide Zaccheaus (Commanders)

Over 34.5

-110

Under 34.5

-110

Ray-Ray McCloud III (Falcons)

Over 26.5

-110

Under 26.5

-110

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 22.5

-110

Under 22.5

-110

Jamison Crowder (Commanders)

Over 22.5

-110

Under 22.5

-110

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 18.5

-110

Under 18.5

-110

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 83.5

-110

Under 83.5

-110

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders)

Over 63.5

-110

Under 63.5

-110

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 48.5

-110

Under 48.5

-110

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 29.5

-110

Under 29.5

-110

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-110

Passing Yards

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 221.5

-110

Under 221.5

-110

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 202.5

-110

Under 202.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 46.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.10 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 46.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.40 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 364.70 Yds. Allowed 335.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 138.20 Yds. Allowed 93.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 226.00 Yds. Allowed 241.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.70. Allowed 18.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.00 Yds. Gained 54.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 364.00 Yds. Allowed 320.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 139.90 Yds. Allowed 140.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 224.10 Yds. Allowed 179.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.90. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.90 Yds. Gained 54.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 355.80 Yds. Allowed 369.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.00 Yds. Allowed 125.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 225.30 Yds. Allowed 243.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.50. Allowed 20.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.70 Yds. Gained 48.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 365.10 Yds. Allowed 307.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 151.00 Yds. Allowed 131.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 214.10 Yds. Allowed 176.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.40. Allowed 18.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.10 Yds. Gained 48.40 Yds

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