Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Ravens vs Chiefs

The Baltimore Ravens go up against the Kansas City Chiefs in this NFL Week 4 matchup at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, September 28. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Our best prediction is that the Ravens are going to cover the -2.5 on the spread. You can get -118 that there’s a bigger margin of victory when playing the Chiefs.

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Baltimore Ravens were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Detroit Lions by a 38-30 scoreline at M&T Bank Stadium. The Ravens generated 318 yards, including 233 passing and 85 rushing yards. They produced 21 first downs and crossed the goal line 4 times.

Kansas City Chiefs won their last game 22-9. This was a road victory at MetLife Stadium against New York Giants. The Chiefs finished with 306 total yards, breaking down to 201 passing and 105 rushing yards. The offense managed 22 first downs and found the end zone on two occasions.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Chiefs have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Ravens. At M&T Bank Stadium, the scoreline was 17-10 and then we saw 27-20 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The previous 5 games featuring these teams have resulted in four Chiefs victories.

Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson

227.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Patrick Mahomes

240.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

We’ve broken down Ravens vs Chiefs from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Game Prediction

The Ravens should enjoy a comfortable victory and a wager against the spread could be the best way forward in this NFL showdown. Back our pick off -2.5 to cover the line at -118.

Our expert NFL predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Ravens vs Chiefs stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by Ravens in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by Ravens in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 2 of their last 3 games this season.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ravens -2.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this figure at close to 60% based on our in-depth research. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how risky or safe you want to play things.

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Our Game Prediction

Ravens -2.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Mahomes Under 238.5 Passing Yards -114

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) is priced at -114 to finish with fewer than 238.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+390

First

+1900

Passing Yards

Over 240.5

-112

Under 240.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 27.5

-112

Under 27.5

-112

---

Travis Kelce Under 39.5 Receiving Yards -114

Travis Kelce (Ravens) is available at -114 to record fewer than 39.5 receiving yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this Player Receiving Yards bet an appealing option.

Latest Travis Kelce Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+185

First

+1200

Receiving Yards

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Ravens 31 - 21 Chiefs

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score bet. A play on the Ravens to claim a 31-21 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

Ravens vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The Baltimore Ravens odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are +105 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 49% chance of winning. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get -125 about Kansas City Chiefs.

The spread is currently 1.5, with the total points line at 48.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 48.5 can find odds of -108 available.

There are hundreds of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Football League and we recommend visiting the best sportsbooks to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Ravens

+105

Chiefs

-125

Point Spread

Ravens +1.5

-112

Chiefs -1.5

-108

Total Points

Under 48.5

-108

Over 48.5

-112

The Anytime Touchdown betting indicates that Derrick Henry has odds of %anytime_odds%. He is available at %first_odds% to score the first TD which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

Derrick Henry (Ravens)

First TD

+480

Anytime TD

-145

Zay Flowers (Ravens)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+145

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+165

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+220

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+185

Lamar Jackson (Ravens)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+230

Mark Andrews (Ravens)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+240

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+220

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+220

Rashod Bateman (Ravens)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+260

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+390

Isaiah Likely (Ravens)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+360

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+460

DeAndre Hopkins (Ravens)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Justice Hill (Ravens)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+550

Tylan Wallace (Ravens)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1300

Devontez Walker (Ravens)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Charlie Kolar (Ravens)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

LaJohntay Wester (Ravens)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Robert Tonyan (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Keaton Mitchell (Ravens)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1400

Rasheen Ali (Ravens)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Jason Brownlee (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Receiving Yards

Zay Flowers (Ravens)

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Rashod Bateman (Ravens)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Mark Andrews (Ravens)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Isaiah Likely (Ravens)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-112

DeAndre Hopkins (Ravens)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Justice Hill (Ravens)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-112

Derrick Henry (Ravens)

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Derrick Henry (Ravens)

Over 80.5

-112

Under 80.5

-112

Lamar Jackson (Ravens)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 33.5

-112

Under 33.5

-112

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 27.5

-112

Under 27.5

-112

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Justice Hill (Ravens)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 240.5

-112

Under 240.5

-112

Lamar Jackson (Ravens)

Over 227.5

-112

Under 227.5

-112

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NFL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Chiefs Standing on Nine Wins From Last Ten Home Matches

The Chiefs are 9-1 in their last 10 home games, averaging 23.50 points scored and 19.20 points allowed.

The Ravens have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 31.10 points on average and giving up 24.80.

The Chiefs beat the Ravens 27-20 in their most recent meeting at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
Chiefs Home Stats		9-1	42.70	23.50	19.20	3	7
Ravens Away Stats		6-4	55.90	31.10	24.80	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baltimore Ravens Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.80 pts and allowed 20.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 31.10 pts and allowed 24.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.40 pts and allowed 21.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 19.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 397.70 Yds. Allowed 304.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 187.00 Yds. Allowed 104.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.70 Yds. Allowed 199.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.10 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.50. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 5.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.10 Yds. Gained 39.60 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 297.50 Yds. Allowed 336.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 91.00 Yds. Allowed 135.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 206.50 Yds. Allowed 201.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.90. Allowed 20.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.10 Yds. Gained 45.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 431.50 Yds. Allowed 354.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 198.80 Yds. Allowed 90.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.70 Yds. Allowed 264.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.00 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.50. Allowed 21.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.20. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 68.20 Yds. Gained 46.50 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 330.60 Yds. Allowed 304.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.80 Yds. Allowed 100.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 224.80 Yds. Allowed 203.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.60. Allowed 18.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.80. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 39.20 Yds. Gained 60.80 Yds

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