Buffalo Bills
American Football NFL Mercedes-Benz Stadium Mon 13 Oct 19:15
Atlanta Falcons
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Live Stream
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Standings

NFL Betting Preview: Bills vs Falcons

The Buffalo Bills battle the Atlanta Falcons in this NFL Week 6 Monday Night Football matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:15 on Monday 13 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Points on the Menu

We’re expecting Over 49.5 points to be scored by the Falcons and the Bills combined. There’s an attractive -118 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.

Expecting big plays all over the field? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our expert site review before locking in your pick.

29-15 Bills Win When Teams Last Clashed

Buffalo Bills lost their previous game, being beaten at home to New England Patriots 23-20 at Highmark Stadium. The Bills moved the ball for 363 yards, with 245 through the air and 118 on the ground. The offense managed 25 first downs to go along with two touchdowns.

Atlanta Falcons won their last game which was at home. It was a 34-27 triumph at Mercedes-Benz Stadium against Washington Commanders. The Falcons finished with 435 total yards, made up of 307 through the air and 128 on the ground. They picked up 24 first downs to go with 4 trips to the end zone.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bills triumphed 29-15 when they last played the Falcons. This head-to-head was played at Highmark Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Bills vs Falcons Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Bills vs Falcons with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 49.5 points in this NFL matchup and that’s the betting angle we’re pursuing. Our pick is priced up at -118 which looks worth taking.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making NFL picks. Up-to-date team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Bills vs Falcons stats:

  • The 49.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Bills games.
  • The 49.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Bills games this season.

Over 49.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

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Best Bet

Over 49.5 Points @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 01:26, 12 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Allen Anytime TD -100 BetMGM logo

The odds for Josh Allen (Bills) to score a TD are -100. He looks like a value bet to punch it in and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer pick.

Latest Josh Allen Player Prop Odds

Michael Penix Jr. Over 223.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons) at -114 to go beyond 223.5 passing yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest Michael Penix Jr. Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 49.5
Spread Falcons +4.5
Anytime Touchdown Josh Allen

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 49.5, along with Falcons +4.5 on the spread and a touchdown to be scored by Josh Allen (Bills).

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular football game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Bills Bills logo 24 - 28 Falcons logo Falcons

A close matchup could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Falcons to secure a 28-24 win at massive odds and this correct score prediction should hopefully be a fun one.

Bills vs Falcons Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bills Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

The sportsbooks have Buffalo Bills at -204 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 67% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. For those wanting to back Atlanta Falcons, you will find +172 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 4.5 and total points is 49.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 49.5, the odds are -118.

Bettors have no shortage of options with the extensive range of game lines and team props available for every matchup. Head to the best NFL sportsbooks and uncover the wagers that offer the best value.

Bijan Robinson Favorite to Score First Touchdown

Bijan Robinson is available at -185 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +440 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)
First TD
+440
Anytime TD
-185
BetMGM Logo
Drake London (Falcons)
First TD
+900
Anytime TD
+145
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Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Best Betting Offers
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Falcons Record Shows Five Wins in Last Ten at Home

The Falcons own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, scoring 25.90 points per contest and conceding 24.90.

The Bills are 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 27.90 points per contest and conceding 25.90.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O49.5 U49.5
Falcons logo Falcons Home Stats 5-5 50.80 25.90 24.90 4 6
Bills logo Bills Away Stats 5-5 53.80 27.90 25.90 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
  • U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills logo Buffalo Bills Stats
Atlanta Falcons logo Atlanta Falcons Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Live Streaming

Enjoy NFL live streaming on your mobile, laptop or tablet. It’s great to watch the latest games through your online sportsbook account, with customers able to access high definition streams.

It’s great to enjoy thousands of sporting events on an annual basis. Watch the action and get audio commentary too.

Team News

Buffalo Bills @ Atlanta Falcons Lineups

Atlanta Falcons

Manager:
Raheem Morris

Buffalo Bills

Manager:
Sean McDermott

Atlanta Falcons Substitutes

Buffalo Bills Substitutes

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Tyler Bass
Hip
DeWayne Carter
Achilles
Tylan Grable
Concussion
Maxwell Hairston
Knee
Damar Hamlin
Pectoral
Michael Hoecht
Suspension
Cameron Johnston
Foot
Dalton Kincaid
Oblique
Matt Milano
Pectoral
Larry Ogunjobi
Suspension
Wande Owens
Undisclosed
Curtis Samuel
Neck
T.J. Sanders
Knee
Dorian Strong
Neck

Atlanta Falcons Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Troy Andersen
Knee
Billy Bowman
Knee
Natrone Brooks
Concussion
Jordan Fuller
Knee
Ta'Quon Graham
Calf
Emory Jones
Concussion
LaCale London
Triceps
Kaleb McGary
Leg
Darnell Mooney
Hamstring
Storm Norton
Ankle
Clark Phillips
Triceps
Bralen Trice
Knee
Malik Verdon
Undisclosed
Tyrone Wheatley
Undisclosed

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

05 Oct NFL
Patriots 23-20 Bills
28 Sep NFL
Saints 19-31 Bills
18 Sep NFL
Dolphins 21-31 Bills
14 Sep NFL
Bills 30-10 Jets
07 Sep NFL
Ravens 40-41 Bills
26 Jan NFL Playoffs
Bills 29-32 Chiefs
19 Jan NFL Playoffs
Ravens 25-27 Bills
12 Jan NFL Playoffs
Broncos 7-31 Bills
05 Jan NFL
Bills 16-23 Patriots
29 Dec NFL
Jets 14-40 Bills

Previous Atlanta Falcons Lineups

28 Sep NFL
Commanders 27-34 Falcons
21 Sep NFL
Falcons 0-30 Panthers
14 Sep NFL
Falcons 22-6 Vikings
07 Sep NFL
Buccaneers 23-20 Falcons
05 Jan NFL
Panthers 44-38 Falcons
29 Dec NFL
Falcons 24-30 Commanders
22 Dec NFL
Giants 7-34 Falcons
16 Dec NFL
Falcons 15-9 Raiders
08 Dec NFL
Falcons 21-42 Vikings
01 Dec NFL
Chargers 17-13 Falcons

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bills 4 1 0 0.800 153 113 40 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Patriots 3 2 0 0.600 125 101 24 1-2-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Dolphins 1 4 0 0.200 107 145 -38 1-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 0 5 0 0.000 112 157 -45 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 0-5-0 5L
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Steelers 3 1 0 0.750 96 98 -2 1-1-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 3-1-0 2W
Bengals 2 3 0 0.400 85 156 -71 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 3L
Ravens 1 4 0 0.200 141 177 -36 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 3L
Browns 1 4 0 0.200 73 123 -50 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 2L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 4 1 0 0.800 163 89 74 3-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 1W
Jaguars 4 1 0 0.800 127 100 27 3-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3W
Texans 2 3 0 0.400 108 61 47 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 2W
Titans 1 4 0 0.200 73 141 -68 0-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Chargers 3 2 0 0.600 98 98 0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 3-2-0 2L
Broncos 3 2 0 0.600 117 84 33 2-0-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Chiefs 2 3 0 0.400 125 107 18 1-1-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 2-3-0 1L
Raiders 1 4 0 0.200 83 139 -56 0-2-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 1-4-0 4L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 4 2 0 0.667 142 143 -1 2-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Commanders 3 2 0 0.600 134 101 33 2-0-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Cowboys 2 2 1 0.400 151 154 -3 1-0-1 1-2-0 1-1-0 1-2-1 2-2-1 1W
Giants 2 4 0 0.333 121 144 -23 2-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1W
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Lions 4 1 0 0.800 174 112 62 2-0-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 4W
Packers 2 1 1 0.500 104 84 20 2-0-0 0-1-1 1-0-0 2-0-1 2-1-1 1D
Vikings 3 2 0 0.600 123 97 26 1-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bears 2 2 0 0.500 101 117 -16 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 2W
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 4 1 0 0.800 135 132 3 1-1-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Falcons 2 2 0 0.500 76 86 -10 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 1W
Panthers 2 3 0 0.400 102 119 -17 2-0-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 1W
Saints 1 4 0 0.200 92 135 -43 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1W
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
49ers 4 1 0 0.800 106 98 8 1-1-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 1W
Seahawks 3 2 0 0.600 146 105 41 1-2-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Rams 3 2 0 0.600 123 107 16 2-1-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Cardinals 2 3 0 0.400 103 96 7 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 3L
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 4 1 0 0.800 163 89 74 3-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 1W
Bills 4 1 0 0.800 153 113 40 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Steelers 3 1 0 0.750 96 98 -2 1-1-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 3-1-0 2W
Chargers 3 2 0 0.600 98 98 0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 3-2-0 2L
Jaguars 4 1 0 0.800 127 100 27 3-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3W
Broncos 3 2 0 0.600 117 84 33 2-0-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Patriots 3 2 0 0.600 125 101 24 1-2-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Bengals 2 3 0 0.400 85 156 -71 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 3L
Texans 2 3 0 0.400 108 61 47 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 2W
Chiefs 2 3 0 0.400 125 107 18 1-1-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 2-3-0 1L
Raiders 1 4 0 0.200 83 139 -56 0-2-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 1-4-0 4L
Ravens 1 4 0 0.200 141 177 -36 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 3L
Dolphins 1 4 0 0.200 107 145 -38 1-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1L
Browns 1 4 0 0.200 73 123 -50 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Titans 1 4 0 0.200 73 141 -68 0-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Jets 0 5 0 0.000 112 157 -45 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 0-5-0 5L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 4 2 0 0.667 142 143 -1 2-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
49ers 4 1 0 0.800 106 98 8 1-1-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 1W
Buccaneers 4 1 0 0.800 135 132 3 1-1-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Lions 4 1 0 0.800 174 112 62 2-0-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 4W
Packers 2 1 1 0.500 104 84 20 2-0-0 0-1-1 1-0-0 2-0-1 2-1-1 1D
Seahawks 3 2 0 0.600 146 105 41 1-2-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Vikings 3 2 0 0.600 123 97 26 1-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Commanders 3 2 0 0.600 134 101 33 2-0-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Rams 3 2 0 0.600 123 107 16 2-1-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Falcons 2 2 0 0.500 76 86 -10 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 1W
Bears 2 2 0 0.500 101 117 -16 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 2W
Cowboys 2 2 1 0.400 151 154 -3 1-0-1 1-2-0 1-1-0 1-2-1 2-2-1 1W
Cardinals 2 3 0 0.400 103 96 7 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 3L
Panthers 2 3 0 0.400 102 119 -17 2-0-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 1W
Saints 1 4 0 0.200 92 135 -43 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Giants 2 4 0 0.333 121 144 -23 2-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1W
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bills 4 1 0 0.800 153 113 40 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Lions 4 1 0 0.800 174 112 62 2-0-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 4W
Colts 4 1 0 0.800 163 89 74 3-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 1W
Jaguars 4 1 0 0.800 127 100 27 3-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3W
49ers 4 1 0 0.800 106 98 8 1-1-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 1W
Buccaneers 4 1 0 0.800 135 132 3 1-1-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Steelers 3 1 0 0.750 96 98 -2 1-1-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 3-1-0 2W
Eagles 4 2 0 0.667 142 143 -1 2-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Packers 2 1 1 0.500 104 84 20 2-0-0 0-1-1 1-0-0 2-0-1 2-1-1 1D
Broncos 3 2 0 0.600 117 84 33 2-0-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Chargers 3 2 0 0.600 98 98 0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 3-2-0 2L
Rams 3 2 0 0.600 123 107 16 2-1-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Vikings 3 2 0 0.600 123 97 26 1-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Patriots 3 2 0 0.600 125 101 24 1-2-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Seahawks 3 2 0 0.600 146 105 41 1-2-0 2-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Commanders 3 2 0 0.600 134 101 33 2-0-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Falcons 2 2 0 0.500 76 86 -10 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 1W
Bears 2 2 0 0.500 101 117 -16 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 2W
Cowboys 2 2 1 0.400 151 154 -3 1-0-1 1-2-0 1-1-0 1-2-1 2-2-1 1W
Cardinals 2 3 0 0.400 103 96 7 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 3L
Panthers 2 3 0 0.400 102 119 -17 2-0-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 1W
Bengals 2 3 0 0.400 85 156 -71 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 3L
Texans 2 3 0 0.400 108 61 47 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 2W
Chiefs 2 3 0 0.400 125 107 18 1-1-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 2-3-0 1L
Giants 2 4 0 0.333 121 144 -23 2-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1W
Ravens 1 4 0 0.200 141 177 -36 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 3L
Browns 1 4 0 0.200 73 123 -50 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Raiders 1 4 0 0.200 83 139 -56 0-2-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 1-4-0 4L
Dolphins 1 4 0 0.200 107 145 -38 1-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1L
Saints 1 4 0 0.200 92 135 -43 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Titans 1 4 0 0.200 73 141 -68 0-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Jets 0 5 0 0.000 112 157 -45 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 0-5-0 5L