Bills vs Jaguars Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Jan 2026

NFL Playoff Wild Card Weekend Betting Preview: Bills vs Jaguars

No. 6 Buffalo Bills square off against No. 3 Jacksonville Jaguars in this AFC Wild Card Weekend matchup at EverBank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, January 11.

Take the Jaguars at -110 on the Moneyline to get the better of the Bills. We believe that Jacksonville have a strong chance of claiming an outright victory.

The Buffalo Bills (12-5, 2nd in AFC East) come into this Wild Card game on the back of three consecutive road wins, following a 35–8 home victory over the New York Jets at Highmark Stadium. The Bills put up 470 total yards, made up of 259 through the air and 211 on the ground. They picked up 30 first downs and found the end zone 5 times.

The Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4, 1st in AFC South) won their last regular season game 41–7, extending their winning streak to eight with a home victory over the Tennessee Titans at EverBank Stadium. The Jaguars moved the ball for 319 yards, with 255 through the air and 64 on the ground. The offense generated 24 first downs and produced 5 touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Highmark Stadium, where the Bills claimed a dominant 47–10 victory over the Jaguars. However, Jacksonville has won two of the last three meetings between the sides.

Bills vs Jaguars Prediction & Picks

This expert Bills vs Jaguars betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

There are attractive odds about the home team and our pick is for the Jags to win this Wild Card showdown. They can get the better of their opponents in various departments and you can get -110.

Team news plays a key role in our NFL predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Bills vs Jaguars stats:

• Jags have won 8 consecutive games.
• Jags have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Jags have won 13 of their last 17 games this season.
• Jags have won 2 of their last 3 games against Bills.

Jags Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

The Result & Total lines not only give you the opportunity to back the Jags for the victory but also combine this selection with a prediction for how many points will be scored.

Your next bet could start with a welcome bonus. Explore our expert guide to the newest sign-up and betting offers.

Our Game Prediction

Jaguars Moneyline @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 9, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Trevor Lawrence Over 235.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) at -114 to rack up over 235.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.

Latest Trevor Lawrence Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+180

First

+1100

Passing Yards

Over 234.5

-112

Under 234.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

---

Parker Washington Over 50.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on Parker Washington (Jaguars) at -114 to go beyond 50.5 receiving yards. We feel confident that he’ll cover the Player Receiving Yards line, which looks generous.

Latest Parker Washington Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+1100

Receiving Yards

Over 51.5

-112

Under 51.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bills 20 - 23 Jaguars

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Jags claiming a 23-20 victory. This correct score prediction is available at monster odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bills vs Jaguars Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There are betting odds of -123 that Jacksonville Jaguars land victory, with Buffalo Bills alternatively at +106. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this game is 49%.

The spread is calculated to be 1.5, while total points comes in at 51.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 51.5 can find odds of -115 available.

The top NFL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to this popular league. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Bills

+106

Jaguars

-123

Point Spread

Bills +1.5

-108

Jaguars -1.5

-112

Total Points

Under 51.5

-115

Over 51.5

-105

There is -135 available that Travis Etienne Jr. scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +490.

Touchdown

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+490

Anytime TD

-135

James Cook (Bills)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-145

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+180

Jakobi Meyers (Jaguars)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+200

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+210

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+230

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+220

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+270

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+280

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+280

Dawson Knox (Bills)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+360

Brandin Cooks (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+490

Gabe Davis (Bills)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+550

Tyrell Shavers (Bills)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Joshua Palmer (Bills)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+500

Ty Johnson (Bills)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+650

Keon Coleman (Bills)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+750

Jackson Hawes (Bills)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1100

Tim Patrick (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1000

LeQuint Allen Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1400

Quintin Morris (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1300

Ray Davis (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+700

Hunter Long (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Johnny Mundt (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Reggie Gilliam (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Keleki Latu (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

DeeJay Dallas (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Dyami Brown (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Franklin Gore Jr. (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

Over 51.5

-112

Under 51.5

-112

Jakobi Meyers (Jaguars)

Over 51.5

-112

Under 51.5

-112

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

James Cook (Bills)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Dawson Knox (Bills)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Brandin Cooks (Bills)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Tyrell Shavers (Bills)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Ty Johnson (Bills)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

Gabe Davis (Bills)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

Rushing Yards

James Cook (Bills)

Over 80.5

-112

Under 80.5

-112

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 63.5

-112

Under 63.5

-112

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

There are lots of exciting NFL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Will Jags Extend Their Home Winning Streak?

The Jaguars have secured four straight wins at EverBank Stadium. Jacksonville own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 28.00 points on average and giving up 16.00.

The Bills have strung together three road victories in a row. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, scoring 24.50 points per contest and conceding 20.90.

The most recent EverBank Stadium meeting saw the Jaguars claim a 9-6 win over the Bills.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Jaguars Home Stats		7-3	44.00	28.00	16.00	3	7
Bills Away Stats		5-5	45.40	24.50	20.90	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.40 pts and allowed 21.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 20.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.80 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.30 pts and allowed 16.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 371.70 Yds. Allowed 279.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 156.30 Yds. Allowed 126.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 215.40 Yds. Allowed 153.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.70 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.20. Allowed 16.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 4.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.70 Yds. Gained 39.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 339.00 Yds. Allowed 280.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 111.80 Yds. Allowed 81.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 227.30 Yds. Allowed 198.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.80 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.20. Allowed 18.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.20 Yds. Gained 60.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 341.90 Yds. Allowed 299.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 169.10 Yds. Allowed 140.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 172.80 Yds. Allowed 158.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.10. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 5.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.20 Yds. Gained 42.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 336.60 Yds. Allowed 285.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.70 Yds. Allowed 100.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 222.90 Yds. Allowed 185.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.90. Allowed 17.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.20 Yds. Gained 57.20 Yds

Top American Football Pages