Buffalo Bills
American Football NFL GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium Sun 26 Jan 18:30
Kansas City Chiefs
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Team News
  7. Lineups
  8. Injuries
  9. Standings

Why We’re Expecting Bills to Win

We are eager to back the Bills to beat the Chiefs and that leads us to the Moneyline for our prediction. It’s difficult to turn down the +110 that they claim the win.

Bills Beat Chiefs in Pair’s Last Matchup

Buffalo Bills claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 27-25 triumph against Baltimore Ravens at Highmark Stadium made it back-to-back wins. The Bills had a gain of 147 rushing and 126 passing yards, totalling 273 yards. They scored 3 touchdowns. All 3 were rushing TD’s.

Kansas City Chiefs last game was a 23-14 victory over Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. That means it’s now been nine home wins on the spin. The Chiefs gained 50 rushing and 162 passing yards, making 212 yards in total. They scored 2 touchdowns. 1 rushing and 1 passing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Bills and the Chiefs saw the former win. It was a 30-21 scoreline at Highmark Stadium. Both teams have four wins on the board when we look at the 8-game H2H record.

Quarterbacks

Bills vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

We strongly fancy the chances of the Bills, with odds of +110 available on our pick. Place a bet that there will be a road win for this AFC Championship Game.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NFL picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Bills vs Chiefs stats:

  • Bills have won 8 of their last 10 games.
  • Bills have won 4 of their last 5 games.
  • Bills have won 2 consecutive games.

Bills Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 47.6% prospect of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 50-55% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Fancy the Bills to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the spread and consider them to cover one of the available lines.

Best Bet

Bills Moneyline @ +110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 00:26, 25 January 2025

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Bills
Anytime Touchdown Josh Allen
Receiving Yards Travis Kelce Under 67.5

We’ve lined up a same game parlay involving Bills to win, Josh Allen to score a touchdown and Travis Kelce (Chiefs) to have Under 67.5 receiving yards.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can hand-pick different outcomes and combine the odds together.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Bills Bills logo 31 - 27 Chiefs logo Chiefs

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Bills to enjoy a 31-27 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Bills vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Expecting Close Encounter

You can choose Kansas City Chiefs at -118 or alternatively Buffalo Bills who have betting odds of -100. According to the top sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 54%.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 49.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. If you’re going for Under 49.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

You can find hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Football League clash, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Josh Allen Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

Josh Allen is available at -145 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +500 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
Over 67.5
-110
Under 67.5
-110
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Khalil Shakir (Bills)
Over 58.5
-110
Under 58.5
-110
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Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)
Over 51.5
-110
Under 51.5
-110
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Marquise Brown (Chiefs)
Over 41.5
-110
Under 41.5
-110
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Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills logo Buffalo Bills Stats
Kansas City Chiefs logo Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Team News

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs Lineups

Kansas City Chiefs

Manager:
Andy Reid
2
Joshua Williams
7
Harrison Butker
8
DeAndre Hopkins
11
Carson Wentz
14
Matt Araiza
21
Jaden Hicks
29
Kareem Hunt
30
Christian Roland-Wallace
34
Samaje Perine
35
Jaylen Watson
41
James Winchester
42
Carson Steele
44
Cam Jones
50
Swayze Bozeman
54
Leo Chenal
60
Hunter Nourzad
70
D.J. Humphries
76
Kingsley Suamataia
81
Nikko Remigio
83
Noah Gray
84
Justin Watson
88
Peyton Hendershot
90
Charles Omenihu
91
Derrick Nnadi
97
Felix Anudike-Uzomah
98
Tershawn Wharton

Buffalo Bills

Manager:
Sean McDermott
1
Curtis Samuel
2
Tyler Bass
5
Kaiir Elam
8
Sam Martin
11
Mitch Trubisky
18
Amari Cooper
22
Ray Davis
26
Ty Johnson
27
Kareem Jackson
39
Cameron Lewis
40
Von Miller
41
Reggie Gilliam
42
Dorian Williams
44
Joe Andreessen
46
Ja'Marcus Ingram
48
Edefuan Ulofoshio
56
Javon Solomon
68
Tylan Grable
69
Reid Ferguson
70
Alec Anderson
77
Will Clapp
85
Quintin Morris
86
Dalton Kincaid
94
Dawuane Smoot
97
Jordan Phillips
98
Austin Johnson

Kansas City Chiefs Substitutes

  • 1 Xavier Worthy
  • 5 Marquise Brown
  • 6 Bryan Cook
  • 9 JuJu Smith-Schuster
  • 10 Isaih Pacheco
  • 13 Nazeeh Johnson
  • 15 Patrick Mahomes
  • 20 Justin Reid
  • 22 Trent McDuffie
  • 23 Drue Tranquill
  • 27 Chamarri Conner
  • 32 Nick Bolton
  • 51 Mike Danna
  • 52 Creed Humphrey
  • 56 George Karlaftis
  • 62 Joe Thuney
  • 65 Trey Smith
  • 66 Mike Caliendo
  • 69 Mike Pennel
  • 74 Jawaan Taylor
  • 87 Travis Kelce
  • 95 Chris Jones

Buffalo Bills Substitutes

  • 0 Keon Coleman
  • 3 Damar Hamlin
  • 4 James Cook
  • 7 Taron Johnson
  • 10 Khalil Shakir
  • 13 Mack Hollins
  • 17 Josh Allen
  • 24 Cole Bishop
  • 31 Rasul Douglas
  • 43 Terrel Bernard
  • 47 Christian Benford
  • 50 Gregory Rousseau
  • 57 A.J. Epenesa
  • 58 Matt Milano
  • 64 O'Cyrus Torrence
  • 66 Connor McGovern
  • 73 Dion Dawkins
  • 76 David Edwards
  • 79 Spencer Brown
  • 88 Dawson Knox
  • 91 Ed Oliver
  • 92 DaQuan Jones

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Christian Benford
Concussion
Shane Buechele
Neck
Travis Clayton
Shoulder
Tommy Doyle
Knee
Taylor Rapp
Hip
Brandon Shell
Undisclosed
Baylon Spector
Calf

Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Jack Cochrane
Ankle
Jody Fortson
Knee - ACL
Mecole Hardman
Knee
Jaaron Hayek
Shoulder
McKade Mettauer
Knee - MCL
Skyy Moore
Abdomen
Rashee Rice
Knee
Spencer Shrader
Hamstring
BJ Thompson
Chest
Marlon Tuipulotu
Undisclosed
Jared Wiley
Knee - ACL

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

19 Jan NFL Playoffs
Ravens 25-27 Bills
12 Jan NFL Playoffs
Broncos 7-31 Bills
05 Jan NFL
Bills 16-23 Patriots
29 Dec NFL
Jets 14-40 Bills
22 Dec NFL
Patriots 21-24 Bills
15 Dec NFL
Bills 48-42 Lions
08 Dec NFL
Bills 42-44 Rams
01 Dec NFL
49ers 10-35 Bills
17 Nov NFL
Chiefs 21-30 Bills
10 Nov NFL
Bills 30-20 Colts

Previous Kansas City Chiefs Lineups

18 Jan NFL Playoffs
Texans 14-23 Chiefs
05 Jan NFL
Chiefs 0-38 Broncos
25 Dec NFL
Chiefs 29-10 Steelers
21 Dec NFL
Texans 19-27 Chiefs
15 Dec NFL
Chiefs 21-7 Browns
08 Dec NFL
Chargers 17-19 Chiefs
29 Nov NFL
Raiders 17-19 Chiefs
24 Nov NFL
Chiefs 30-27 Panthers
17 Nov NFL
Chiefs 21-30 Bills
10 Nov NFL
Broncos 14-16 Chiefs

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Patriots 4 2 0 0.667 150 120 30 1-2-0 3-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Bills 4 2 0 0.667 167 137 30 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Dolphins 1 5 0 0.167 134 174 -40 1-2-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Jets 0 6 0 0.000 123 170 -47 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 0-5-0 6L
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Steelers 4 1 0 0.800 119 107 12 2-1-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 3W
Bengals 2 4 0 0.333 103 183 -80 1-1-0 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-4-0 4L
Ravens 1 5 0 0.167 144 194 -50 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 4L
Browns 1 5 0 0.167 82 146 -64 1-2-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 3L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 5 1 0 0.833 194 116 78 4-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 2W
Jaguars 4 2 0 0.667 139 120 19 3-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Texans 2 3 0 0.400 108 61 47 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 2W
Titans 1 5 0 0.167 83 161 -78 0-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 1-4-0 1L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Chargers 4 2 0 0.667 127 125 2 2-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0 4-0-0 3-2-0 1W
Broncos 4 2 0 0.667 130 95 35 2-0-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 3-2-0 3W
Chiefs 3 3 0 0.500 155 124 31 2-1-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Raiders 2 4 0 0.333 103 149 -46 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 2-2-0 1-4-0 1W
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 4 2 0 0.667 142 143 -1 2-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Commanders 3 3 0 0.500 158 126 32 2-1-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1L
Cowboys 2 3 1 0.333 178 184 -6 1-0-1 1-3-0 1-1-0 1-3-1 2-2-1 1L
Giants 2 4 0 0.333 121 144 -23 2-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1W
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 3 1 1 0.600 131 102 29 3-0-0 0-1-1 1-0-0 2-0-1 3-1-1 1W
Lions 4 2 0 0.667 191 142 49 2-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Vikings 3 2 0 0.600 123 97 26 1-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bears 3 2 0 0.600 126 141 -15 1-1-0 2-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 3W
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 5 1 0 0.833 165 151 14 2-1-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 2W
Falcons 3 2 0 0.600 100 100 0 2-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Panthers 3 3 0 0.500 132 146 -14 3-0-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Saints 1 5 0 0.167 111 160 -49 1-3-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1L
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
49ers 4 2 0 0.667 125 128 -3 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Seahawks 4 2 0 0.667 166 117 49 1-2-0 3-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Rams 4 2 0 0.667 140 110 30 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Cardinals 2 4 0 0.333 130 127 3 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 1-4-0 4L
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 5 1 0 0.833 194 116 78 4-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 2W
Steelers 4 1 0 0.800 119 107 12 2-1-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 3W
Chargers 4 2 0 0.667 127 125 2 2-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0 4-0-0 3-2-0 1W
Patriots 4 2 0 0.667 150 120 30 1-2-0 3-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Bills 4 2 0 0.667 167 137 30 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Jaguars 4 2 0 0.667 139 120 19 3-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Broncos 4 2 0 0.667 130 95 35 2-0-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 3-2-0 3W
Chiefs 3 3 0 0.500 155 124 31 2-1-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Texans 2 3 0 0.400 108 61 47 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 2 4 0 0.333 103 183 -80 1-1-0 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-4-0 4L
Raiders 2 4 0 0.333 103 149 -46 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 2-2-0 1-4-0 1W
Ravens 1 5 0 0.167 144 194 -50 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 4L
Dolphins 1 5 0 0.167 134 174 -40 1-2-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Browns 1 5 0 0.167 82 146 -64 1-2-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 3L
Titans 1 5 0 0.167 83 161 -78 0-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 0 6 0 0.000 123 170 -47 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 0-5-0 6L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 5 1 0 0.833 165 151 14 2-1-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 2W
Packers 3 1 1 0.600 131 102 29 3-0-0 0-1-1 1-0-0 2-0-1 3-1-1 1W
49ers 4 2 0 0.667 125 128 -3 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Eagles 4 2 0 0.667 142 143 -1 2-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Seahawks 4 2 0 0.667 166 117 49 1-2-0 3-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Lions 4 2 0 0.667 191 142 49 2-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Rams 4 2 0 0.667 140 110 30 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Falcons 3 2 0 0.600 100 100 0 2-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Vikings 3 2 0 0.600 123 97 26 1-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Commanders 3 3 0 0.500 158 126 32 2-1-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1L
Panthers 3 3 0 0.500 132 146 -14 3-0-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Bears 3 2 0 0.600 126 141 -15 1-1-0 2-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 3W
Cowboys 2 3 1 0.333 178 184 -6 1-0-1 1-3-0 1-1-0 1-3-1 2-2-1 1L
Cardinals 2 4 0 0.333 130 127 3 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 1-4-0 4L
Giants 2 4 0 0.333 121 144 -23 2-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1W
Saints 1 5 0 0.167 111 160 -49 1-3-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 5 1 0 0.833 194 116 78 4-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 4-0-0 4-1-0 2W
Buccaneers 5 1 0 0.833 165 151 14 2-1-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 2W
Steelers 4 1 0 0.800 119 107 12 2-1-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 3W
Packers 3 1 1 0.600 131 102 29 3-0-0 0-1-1 1-0-0 2-0-1 3-1-1 1W
Bills 4 2 0 0.667 167 137 30 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
Broncos 4 2 0 0.667 130 95 35 2-0-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 3-2-0 3W
Lions 4 2 0 0.667 191 142 49 2-0-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Jaguars 4 2 0 0.667 139 120 19 3-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Chargers 4 2 0 0.667 127 125 2 2-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0 4-0-0 3-2-0 1W
Rams 4 2 0 0.667 140 110 30 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Patriots 4 2 0 0.667 150 120 30 1-2-0 3-0-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Eagles 4 2 0 0.667 142 143 -1 2-1-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 2L
49ers 4 2 0 0.667 125 128 -3 1-1-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1L
Seahawks 4 2 0 0.667 166 117 49 1-2-0 3-0-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Falcons 3 2 0 0.600 100 100 0 2-1-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 2W
Bears 3 2 0 0.600 126 141 -15 1-1-0 2-1-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 3W
Vikings 3 2 0 0.600 123 97 26 1-1-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 3 3 0 0.500 132 146 -14 3-0-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Chiefs 3 3 0 0.500 155 124 31 2-1-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Commanders 3 3 0 0.500 158 126 32 2-1-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1L
Cowboys 2 3 1 0.333 178 184 -6 1-0-1 1-3-0 1-1-0 1-3-1 2-2-1 1L
Texans 2 3 0 0.400 108 61 47 1-1-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-3-0 2W
Cardinals 2 4 0 0.333 130 127 3 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 2-2-0 1-4-0 4L
Bengals 2 4 0 0.333 103 183 -80 1-1-0 1-3-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-4-0 4L
Raiders 2 4 0 0.333 103 149 -46 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 2-2-0 1-4-0 1W
Giants 2 4 0 0.333 121 144 -23 2-1-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-3-0 2-3-0 1W
Ravens 1 5 0 0.167 144 194 -50 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 4L
Browns 1 5 0 0.167 82 146 -64 1-2-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 3L
Dolphins 1 5 0 0.167 134 174 -40 1-2-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Saints 1 5 0 0.167 111 160 -49 1-3-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 1-4-0 1L
Titans 1 5 0 0.167 83 161 -78 0-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 0 6 0 0.000 123 170 -47 0-4-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-4-0 0-5-0 6L