Bills vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Jan 2025

We are eager to back the Bills to beat the Chiefs and that leads us to the Moneyline for our prediction. It’s difficult to turn down the +110 that they claim the win.

Buffalo Bills claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 27-25 triumph against Baltimore Ravens at Highmark Stadium made it back-to-back wins. The Bills had a gain of 147 rushing and 126 passing yards, totalling 273 yards. They scored 3 touchdowns. All 3 were rushing TD’s.

Kansas City Chiefs last game was a 23-14 victory over Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. That means it’s now been nine home wins on the spin. The Chiefs gained 50 rushing and 162 passing yards, making 212 yards in total. They scored 2 touchdowns. 1 rushing and 1 passing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between the Bills and the Chiefs saw the former win. It was a 30-21 scoreline at Highmark Stadium. Both teams have four wins on the board when we look at the 8-game H2H record.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

231.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Patrick Mahomes

258.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Bills vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

We strongly fancy the chances of the Bills, with odds of +110 available on our pick. Place a bet that there will be a road win for this AFC Championship Game.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making NFL picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Bills vs Chiefs stats:

• Bills have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Bills have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Bills have won 2 consecutive games.

Bills Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 47.6% prospect of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 50-55% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Fancy the Bills to win but want more juice in the odds? Why not take a look at the spread and consider them to cover one of the available lines.

Our Game Prediction

Bills Moneyline @ +110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Bills 31 - 27 Chiefs

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Bills to enjoy a 31-27 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Bills vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

You can choose Kansas City Chiefs at -118 or alternatively Buffalo Bills who have betting odds of -100. According to the top sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 54%.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 49.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. If you’re going for Under 49.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

You can find hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Football League clash, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Bills

-100

Chiefs

-118

Point Spread

Bills +1.5

-118

Chiefs -1.5

-104

Total Points

Under 49.5

-112

Over 49.5

-108

Josh Allen is available at -145 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +500 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Josh Allen (Bills)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-145

James Cook (Bills)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+120

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+120

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+165

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+200

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+195

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+260

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+280

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+350

DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+340

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+2300

Anytime TD

+500

Keon Coleman (Bills)

First TD

+2300

Anytime TD

+450

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+2600

Anytime TD

+500

Amari Cooper (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Buffalo Bills Defense (Bills)

First TD

+3100

Anytime TD

+600

Mack Hollins (Bills)

First TD

+3400

Anytime TD

+700

Ty Johnson (Bills)

First TD

+3700

Anytime TD

+700

Dawson Knox (Bills)

First TD

+3700

Anytime TD

+700

Curtis Samuel (Bills)

First TD

+3900

Anytime TD

+750

Kansas City Chiefs Defense (Chiefs)

First TD

+3900

Anytime TD

+700

Ray Davis (Bills)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+700

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+4400

Anytime TD

+950

Samaje Perine (Chiefs)

First TD

+4600

Anytime TD

+900

Justyn Ross (Chiefs)

First TD

+8500

Anytime TD

+1200

Justin Watson (Chiefs)

First TD

+9500

Anytime TD

+1500

Quintin Morris (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Peyton Hendershot (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3800

Reggie Gilliam (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4300

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3400

Carson Steele (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+5000

Receiving Yards

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 67.5

-110

Under 67.5

-110

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

Over 58.5

-110

Under 58.5

-110

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 51.5

-110

Under 51.5

-110

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 41.5

-110

Under 41.5

-110

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

Over 32.5

-110

Under 32.5

-110

DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs)

Over 21.5

-110

Under 21.5

-110

Keon Coleman (Bills)

Over 21.5

-110

Under 21.5

-110

Amari Cooper (Bills)

Over 18.5

-110

Under 18.5

-110

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 17.5

-110

Under 17.5

-110

Dawson Knox (Bills)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-110

Curtis Samuel (Bills)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-110

James Cook (Bills)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-110

Mack Hollins (Bills)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-110

Ty Johnson (Bills)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-110

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 6.5

-105

Under 6.5

-115

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-110

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-115

Rushing Yards

James Cook (Bills)

Over 55.5

-110

Under 55.5

-110

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 49.5

-110

Under 49.5

-110

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 34.5

-110

Under 34.5

-110

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 30.5

-110

Under 30.5

-110

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 22.5

-110

Under 22.5

-110

Ty Johnson (Bills)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-115

Ray Davis (Bills)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-110

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-110

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 258.5

-110

Under 258.5

-110

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 231.5

-110

Under 231.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.30 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.50 pts and allowed 19.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.80 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 383.20 Yds. Allowed 344.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 151.50 Yds. Allowed 110.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.70 Yds. Allowed 233.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.00 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.20. Allowed 21.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.40. Committed by opponents 2.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.90 Yds. Gained 51.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 296.20 Yds. Allowed 343.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 86.10 Yds. Allowed 120.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.10 Yds. Allowed 222.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.50. Allowed 20.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.20. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.60. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.00 Yds. Gained 50.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 371.40 Yds. Allowed 375.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 134.50 Yds. Allowed 114.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 236.90 Yds. Allowed 260.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.00. Allowed 20.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.50 Yds. Gained 63.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 345.20 Yds. Allowed 328.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 100.40 Yds. Allowed 103.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 244.80 Yds. Allowed 225.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.60. Allowed 19.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.60 Yds. Gained 61.60 Yds

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