Bills vs Dolphins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Bills vs Dolphins

The Buffalo Bills square off against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 9. Our betting preview features expert NFL predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Our best prediction is that the Bills are going to cover the -9.5 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory when playing the Dolphins.

Confident in our spread pick? Read the full review of BetMGM, then grab our exclusive promo code before placing your bet.

Buffalo Bills have won their previous two games. The latest was a 28-21 home triumph at Highmark Stadium against Kansas City Chiefs. The Bills recorded 404 yards, breaking down to 263 passing and 141 rushing yards. They picked up 23 first downs to go with 4 trips to the end zone.

Miami Dolphins were beaten 28-6 at Hard Rock Stadium in their last game, being turned over at home to Baltimore Ravens. The Dolphins recorded 332 yards, breaking down to 245 passing and 87 rushing yards. They picked up 17 first downs and allowed 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Highmark Stadium, with the Bills claiming the win. Beating the Dolphins by a 31-21 scoreline. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Bills land nine wins.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

231.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Tua Tagovailoa

217.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Bills vs Dolphins Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Bills vs Dolphins, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

Go for the Bills against the spread in order to get the best value. The favorites should be able to cover the -9.5 line at -110 for this NFL battle.

Injuries are always factored in by the NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Bills vs Dolphins stats:

• The -9.5 line has been covered by Bills in 2 of their last 3 games on the road this season.

Bills -9.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your selection. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Game Prediction

Bills -9.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 07 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Under 217.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) to have less than 217.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, as the total looks too high.

Latest Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+2200

First

+10000

Passing Yards

Over 217.5

-112

Under 217.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-102

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Dalton Kincaid Under 42.5 Receiving Yards -114

Dalton Kincaid (Dolphins) is available at -114 to record fewer than 42.5 receiving yards. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line.

Latest Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+180

First

+1000

Receiving Yards

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bills 30 - 17 Dolphins

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score bet on the Bills. Backing them to win 30-17 means you can land a potential monster return.

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Bills vs Dolphins Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -227 about Buffalo Bills which reflects they have a 69% chance of winning this game. Miami Dolphins are the underdogs at +185 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 48.5. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those expecting a low total can back Under 48.5 at -115.

Take a well-rounded approach when placing your bets. The top NFL betting sites are packed with team props and game lines, so focus on finding the selection that reflects your read on the matchup.

Moneyline

Bills

-227

Dolphins

+185

Point Spread

Bills -5.5

-110

Dolphins +5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 48.5

-115

Over 48.5

-105

There is -189 available that James Cook scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +410 to record the first touchdown which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

James Cook (Bills)

First TD

+410

Anytime TD

-189

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-149

Josh Allen (Bills)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-141

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+160

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+180

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+210

Keon Coleman (Bills)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+250

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+280

Dawson Knox (Bills)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+350

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+350

Joshua Palmer (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Elijah Moore (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+650

Jackson Hawes (Bills)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Ty Johnson (Bills)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+550

Curtis Samuel (Bills)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+700

Julian Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+650

Tyrell Shavers (Bills)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Alec Ingold (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Dee Eskridge (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Ray Davis (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+700

Tahj Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Cedrick Wilson Jr. (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Reggie Gilliam (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Hayden Rucci (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

Over 66.5

-112

Under 66.5

-112

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

Over 47.5

-112

Under 47.5

-112

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Keon Coleman (Bills)

Over 33.5

-112

Under 33.5

-112

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 32.5

-112

Under 32.5

-112

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-112

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Dawson Knox (Bills)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

James Cook (Bills)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

Rushing Yards

James Cook (Bills)

Over 84.5

-112

Under 84.5

-112

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 65.5

-112

Under 65.5

-112

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-102

Passing Yards

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 231.5

-112

Under 231.5

-112

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 217.5

-112

Under 217.5

-112

There are lots of exciting NFL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Dolphins Have Won Five of Their Last Ten Home Games

The Dolphins are 5-5 in their last 10 home games, putting up 25.50 points on average and giving up 24.70.

The Bills own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 30.30 points scored and 23.40 points allowed.

The Bills beat the Dolphins 31-10 when they last met at Hard Rock Stadium. In 6 recent head-to-head matchups at Hard Rock Stadium, the Bills have notched five victories, while the Dolphins have recorded one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
Dolphins Home Stats		5-5	50.20	25.50	24.70	5	5
Bills Away Stats		6-4	53.70	30.30	23.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
• U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Miami Dolphins Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -9.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +9.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +9.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 30.30 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.00 pts and allowed 27.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.50 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 373.10 Yds. Allowed 327.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 158.60 Yds. Allowed 144.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 214.50 Yds. Allowed 183.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.60 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.70. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.90 Yds. Gained 42.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 295.70 Yds. Allowed 346.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 101.00 Yds. Allowed 142.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 194.70 Yds. Allowed 204.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.40. Allowed 20.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.90. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.00 Yds. Gained 55.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 396.00 Yds. Allowed 348.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 162.80 Yds. Allowed 109.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 233.20 Yds. Allowed 238.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.80 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.00. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.80. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 61.70 Yds. Gained 52.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 337.50 Yds. Allowed 348.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 102.20 Yds. Allowed 114.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 235.30 Yds. Allowed 234.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.40. Allowed 19.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 8.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.20 Yds. Gained 67.20 Yds

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