Buffalo Bills
American Football NFL Hard Rock Stadium Sun 9 Nov 13:00
Miami Dolphins
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Live Stream
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Standings

NFL Betting Preview: Bills vs Dolphins

The Buffalo Bills square off against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 9. Our betting preview features expert NFL predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Back Bills Against The Spread

Our best prediction is that the Bills are going to cover the -9.5 on the spread. You can get -110 that there’s a bigger margin of victory when playing the Dolphins.

Confident in our spread pick? Read the full review of BetMGM, then grab our exclusive promo code before placing your bet.

Bills Are 9 From 10 on the H2H

Buffalo Bills have won their previous two games. The latest was a 28-21 home triumph at Highmark Stadium against Kansas City Chiefs. The Bills recorded 404 yards, breaking down to 263 passing and 141 rushing yards. They picked up 23 first downs to go with 4 trips to the end zone.

Miami Dolphins were beaten 28-6 at Hard Rock Stadium in their last game, being turned over at home to Baltimore Ravens. The Dolphins recorded 332 yards, breaking down to 245 passing and 87 rushing yards. They picked up 17 first downs and allowed 18.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Highmark Stadium, with the Bills claiming the win. Beating the Dolphins by a 31-21 scoreline. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Bills land nine wins.

Quarterbacks

Bills vs Dolphins Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Bills vs Dolphins, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

Go for the Bills against the spread in order to get the best value. The favorites should be able to cover the -9.5 line at -110 for this NFL battle.

Injuries are always factored in by the NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Bills vs Dolphins stats:

  • The -9.5 line has been covered by Bills in 2 of their last 3 games on the road this season.

Bills -9.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell points when it comes to your selection. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Best Bet

Bills -9.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 19:26, 07 November 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Under 217.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

The odds for Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) to have less than 217.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, as the total looks too high.

Latest Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Odds

Dalton Kincaid Under 42.5 Receiving Yards -114 BetMGM logo

Dalton Kincaid (Dolphins) is available at -114 to record fewer than 42.5 receiving yards. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line.

Latest Dalton Kincaid Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Bills -9.5
Totals Under 49.5
Passing Yards Tua Tagovailoa Under 217.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Bills -9.5, Under 49.5 and Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) to have Under 217.5 passing yards.

We recommend a same game parlay as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a single event. Many bettors like to create a personalised football bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Bills Bills logo 30 - 17 Dolphins logo Dolphins

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score bet on the Bills. Backing them to win 30-17 means you can land a potential monster return.

Bills vs Dolphins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bills Big Favorites With the Books

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -556 about Buffalo Bills which reflects they have a 85% chance of winning this game. Miami Dolphins are the underdogs at +420 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 9.5 and the total points line is currently 49.5. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those expecting a low total can back Under 49.5 at -102.

Take a well-rounded approach when placing your bets. The top NFL betting sites are packed with team props and game lines, so focus on finding the selection that reflects your read on the matchup.

James Cook Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

There is -196 available that James Cook scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +400 to record the first touchdown which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)
First TD
+500
Anytime TD
-161
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Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)
First TD
+1100
Anytime TD
+160
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Receiving Yards

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)
Over 66.5
-114
Under 66.5
-114
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Khalil Shakir (Bills)
Over 47.5
-114
Under 47.5
-114
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Dalton Kincaid (Bills)
Over 42.5
-114
Under 42.5
-114
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Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Best Betting Offers
Hard Rock Stadium
Hard Rock Stadium

Dolphins Have Won Five of Their Last Ten Home Games

The Dolphins are 5-5 in their last 10 home games, putting up 25.50 points on average and giving up 24.70.

The Bills own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 30.30 points scored and 23.40 points allowed.

The Bills beat the Dolphins 31-10 when they last met at Hard Rock Stadium. In 6 recent head-to-head matchups at Hard Rock Stadium, the Bills have notched five victories, while the Dolphins have recorded one.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O49.5 U49.5
Dolphins logo Dolphins Home Stats 5-5 50.20 25.50 24.70 5 5
Bills logo Bills Away Stats 6-4 53.70 30.30 23.40 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
  • U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills logo Buffalo Bills Stats
Miami Dolphins logo Miami Dolphins Stats
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Live Streaming

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Team News

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Tyler Bass
Hip
Christian Benford
Groin
DeWayne Carter
Achilles
A.J. Epenesa
Concussion
Tylan Grable
Concussion
Damar Hamlin
Pectoral
Michael Hoecht
Achilles
Taron Johnson
Groin
Cameron Johnston
Foot
DaQuan Jones
Calf
Ed Oliver
Biceps
Wande Owens
Undisclosed
Joshua Palmer
Knee
Taylor Rapp
Knee
T.J. Sanders
Knee
Dorian Strong
Neck
Shaq Thompson
Hamstring

Miami Dolphins Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Terron Armstead
Undisclosed
Artie Burns
Knee - ACL
Yodny Cajuste
Undisclosed
Jalin Conyers
Leg
James Daniels
Pectoral
Ashtyn Davis
Quadriceps
Rasul Douglas
Foot
Storm Duck
Knee
Liam Eichenberg
Undisclosed
Dee Eskridge
Shoulder
Obinna Eze
Undisclosed
Ollie Gordon
Ankle
Julian Hill
Ankle
Tyreek Hill
Knee - ACL
Germain Ifedi
Undisclosed
Austin Jackson
Toe
Kader Kohou
Knee - ACL
Jason Maitre
Undisclosed
Alexander Mattison
Neck
Ifeatu Melifonwu
Thumb
Andrew Meyer
Undisclosed
Chop Robinson
Concussion
Jason Sanders
Hip
Darren Waller
Pectoral

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

02 Nov NFL
Chiefs 21-28 Bills
26 Oct NFL
Bills 40-9 Panthers
13 Oct NFL
Bills 14-24 Falcons
05 Oct NFL
Patriots 23-20 Bills
28 Sep NFL
Saints 19-31 Bills
18 Sep NFL
Dolphins 21-31 Bills
14 Sep NFL
Bills 30-10 Jets
07 Sep NFL
Ravens 40-41 Bills
26 Jan NFL Playoffs
Bills 29-32 Chiefs
19 Jan NFL Playoffs
Ravens 25-27 Bills

Previous Miami Dolphins Lineups

30 Oct NFL
Ravens 28-6 Dolphins
26 Oct NFL
Dolphins 34-10 Falcons
19 Oct NFL
Dolphins 6-31 Browns
12 Oct NFL
Chargers 29-27 Dolphins
05 Oct NFL
Dolphins 24-27 Panthers
29 Sep NFL
Jets 21-27 Dolphins
18 Sep NFL
Dolphins 21-31 Bills
14 Sep NFL
Patriots 33-27 Dolphins
07 Sep NFL
Dolphins 8-33 Colts
05 Jan NFL
Dolphins 20-32 Jets

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L