Bills vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Bills vs Steelers

The Buffalo Bills go up against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, November 30.

We’re expecting a spirited performance from the Steelers which leads us to backing the underdogs against the spread when meeting the Bills. They should be able to cover the +3 line where -108 can be found.

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Buffalo Bills have suffered a defeat in back-to-back road games including a recent 23-19 loss. This occurred at NRG Stadium against Houston Texans. The Bills recorded 326 total yards, made up of 183 through the air and 143 on the ground. They produced 14 first downs and found the end zone on two occasions.

Pittsburgh Steelers have secured back-to-back home victories. Their last game was on the road and a 31-28 loss occurred against Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. The Steelers moved the ball for 345 yards, with 159 through the air and 186 on the ground. The offense picked up 22 first downs and produced 4 touchdowns, including a passing score and 2 rushing TD's.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bills have won the last two meetings against the Steelers. They achieved winning scorelines of 38-3 and 31-17 at Highmark Stadium. In the past 5 H2H meetings, the Bills have won four.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

237.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Aaron Rodgers

201.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Bills vs Steelers Prediction & Picks

Our expert Bills vs Steelers tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that the Steelers can push for a victory in this NFL matchup and the +3 about the underdogs on the spread makes appeal. Take -108 that they cover the line.

We keep a close eye on team news and our expert NFL handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Bills vs Steelers stats:

• The +3 line has been covered by Steelers in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +3 line has been covered by Steelers in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +3 line has been covered by Steelers in 2 consecutive games.
• The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Bills in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Bills in 3 of their last 5 games on the road this season.
• The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Bills in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Steelers +3 Probability

If you go by the top betting sites, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your point spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Game Prediction

Steelers +3 @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Allen Anytime TD +125

Josh Allen (Bills) is available at +125 to reach the goal line. We believe there’s merit in backing him for an Anytime Touchdown Scorer prop wager, meaning we need him to punch it in.

Latest Josh Allen Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+125

First

+750

Passing Yards

Over 237.5

-114

Under 237.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

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Aaron Rodgers Under 201.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Aaron Rodgers (Steelers) to end with fewer than 201.5 passing yards stand at -114. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+2200

First

+10000

Passing Yards

Over 201.5

-114

Under 201.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 0.5

+154

Under 0.5

-208

Correct Score Prediction

Bills 27 - 28 Steelers

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Steelers to enjoy a 28-27 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Bills vs Steelers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The Buffalo Bills odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -175 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 64% chance of winning. Pittsburgh Steelers are the underdogs at +146 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is calculated to be 3, while total points comes in at 45.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you want to bet Under 45.5, there are odds of -110.

Bettors have no shortage of options with the extensive range of game lines and team props available for every matchup. Head to the best NFL sportsbooks and uncover the wagers that offer the best value.

Moneyline

Bills

-175

Steelers

+146

Point Spread

Bills -3

-112

Steelers +3

-108

Total Points

Under 45.5

-110

Over 45.5

-110

James Cook is priced at +600 when it comes to First TD Scorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -100 to score a touchdown at anytime.

Touchdown

James Cook (Bills)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-100

Josh Allen (Bills)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+125

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+140

Khalil Shakir (Bills)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+170

Dalton Kincaid (Bills)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+170

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+185

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+330

Dawson Knox (Bills)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+320

Gabe Davis (Bills)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+330

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+370

Joshua Palmer (Bills)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+330

Tyrell Shavers (Bills)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+340

Keon Coleman (Bills)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+340

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+390

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+390

Jackson Hawes (Bills)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Curtis Samuel (Bills)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Elijah Moore (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Brandin Cooks (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Ty Johnson (Bills)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+550

Ray Davis (Bills)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ke'Shawn Williams (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Reggie Gilliam (Bills)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

James Cook (Bills)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Rushing Yards

James Cook (Bills)

Over 82.5

-114

Under 82.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 0.5

+154

Under 0.5

-208

Passing Yards

Josh Allen (Bills)

Over 237.5

-114

Under 237.5

-114

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 201.5

-114

Under 201.5

-114

Steelers Have Picked Up Six Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Steelers own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 22.40 points per contest while yielding 20.30.

The Bills have a 4-6 record in their last 10 road games, scoring 28.10 points per contest and conceding 25.70.

The Bills defeated the Steelers 9-3 when the teams last met at Acrisure Stadium. The last 3 head-to-heads at Acrisure Stadium show the Bills with two wins, while the Steelers have one to their name.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O45.5	U45.5
Steelers Home Stats		6-4	42.70	22.40	20.30	4	6
Bills Away Stats		4-6	53.80	28.10	25.70	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
• U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bills Stats

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.00 pts and allowed 21.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 25.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.00 pts and allowed 23.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 20.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 370.30 Yds. Allowed 305.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 151.10 Yds. Allowed 140.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 219.20 Yds. Allowed 165.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.90. Allowed 18.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 4.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.90 Yds. Gained 41.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 294.30 Yds. Allowed 361.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 101.50 Yds. Allowed 98.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 192.80 Yds. Allowed 263.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.50. Allowed 21.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.40. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.40 Yds. Gained 53.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 385.80 Yds. Allowed 348.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 154.50 Yds. Allowed 124.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.30 Yds. Allowed 224.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.10. Allowed 21.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.90 Yds. Gained 41.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 290.50 Yds. Allowed 346.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.30 Yds. Allowed 87.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 184.20 Yds. Allowed 259.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.80. Allowed 20.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 2.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.70 Yds. Gained 57.90 Yds

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