Bears vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Oct 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Bears vs Commanders

The Chicago Bears go up against the Washington Commanders in this NFL Week 6 Monday Night Football clash at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Monday, October 13. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The best betting angle could be the Commanders against the spread. You can land -102 that the market leaders are able to cover the -4.5 line and they are more than capable against the Bears.

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Chicago Bears have won back-to-back games. A 25-24 triumph recently occurred on the road at Allegiant Stadium when playing Las Vegas Raiders. The Bears totaled 271 yards, split between 202 passing and 69 rushing yards. They moved the chains 16 times and crossed the goal line twice.

Washington Commanders have landed two consecutive home wins. Their last game was a 27-10 road triumph at SoFi Stadium when meeting Los Angeles Chargers. The Commanders put up 389 yards, split between 226 passing and 163 rushing yards. They moved the chains 22 times and managed 3 touchdowns, including a passing score and 2 rushing TD's.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders triumphed 18-15 when they last played the Bears. This head-to-head was played at Northwest Stadium. The past 4 H2H clashes have seen both teams record two wins.

Quarterbacks

Caleb Williams

228.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Jayden Daniels

218.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Bears vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Bears vs Commanders with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Back the Commanders against the spread in order to get the best value. They should be able to cover an attractive -4.5 line at -102 for this NFL matchup.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate NFL predictions.

Key Bears vs Commanders stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bears in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bears in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Commanders -4.5 Probability

The top NFL sportsbooks make it a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s the chance to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the wager. It means a riskier bet but a bigger return on the odds available.

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Our Game Prediction

Commanders -4.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (02:26, 12 October 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Anytime TD -161

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders) can be backed at odds of -161 to hit paydirt. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Touchdown Scorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Jacory Croskey-Merritt Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-135

First

+550

Receiving Yards

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 67.5

-112

Under 67.5

-112

---

Jayden Daniels Over 221.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Jayden Daniels (Commanders) at -114 to rack up over 221.5 passing yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Jayden Daniels Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+140

First

+900

Passing Yards

Over 218.5

-112

Under 218.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bears 24 - 34 Commanders

The Commanders might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 34-24 for a big possible return from your stake.

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Bears vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Washington Commanders at -196 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 66% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that Chicago Bears are least likely to win at +164.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 48.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Under 48.5, then the odds are -110.

You can find hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Football League matchup, with the top sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Bears

+164

Commanders

-196

Point Spread

Bears +4.5

-115

Commanders -4.5

-105

Total Points

Under 48.5

-110

Over 48.5

-110

Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +550. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -135.

Touchdown

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-135

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+130

Rome Odunze (Bears)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+130

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+150

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+140

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+240

DJ Moore (Bears)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+220

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+290

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Olamide Zaccheaus (Bears)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+390

Kyle Monangai (Bears)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+410

Caleb Williams (Bears)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+430

Noah Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+390

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+440

Cole Kmet (Bears)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+440

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+430

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+500

Colston Loveland (Bears)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Luther Burden III (Bears)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+550

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Tay Martin (Commanders)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1300

Durham Smythe (Bears)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Devin Duvernay (Bears)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Roschon Johnson (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Stephen Carlson (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Rome Odunze (Bears)

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 55.5

-112

Under 55.5

-112

DJ Moore (Bears)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-112

Olamide Zaccheaus (Bears)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Luther Burden III (Bears)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 67.5

-112

Under 67.5

-112

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 27.5

-112

Under 27.5

-112

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 7.5

-118

Under 7.5

-108

DJ Moore (Bears)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-112

Passing Yards

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 228.5

-112

Under 228.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 218.5

-112

Under 218.5

-112

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NFL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Commanders Locked In at Home

The Commanders have reeled off five straight wins at Northwest Stadium. They are 8-2 in their last 10 home games, posting 31.50 points per contest while yielding 20.30.

The Bears own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 16.80 points on offense and surrendering 27.60 on defense.

The Commanders earned a 18-15 win against the Bears in the teams’ last meeting at Northwest Stadium. The last 3 head-to-heads at Northwest Stadium show the Bears with two wins, while the Commanders have one to their name.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
Commanders Home Stats		8-2	51.80	31.50	20.30	6	4
Bears Away Stats		2-8	44.40	16.80	27.60	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
• U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Bears Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.80 pts and allowed 27.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.80 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.50 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 284.50 Yds. Allowed 381.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 91.30 Yds. Allowed 154.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.20 Yds. Allowed 226.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.70. Allowed 20.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.50 Yds. Gained 43.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 360.70 Yds. Allowed 373.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 147.40 Yds. Allowed 139.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 213.30 Yds. Allowed 234.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 22.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.50 Yds. Gained 51.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 272.90 Yds. Allowed 386.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 94.40 Yds. Allowed 164.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 178.50 Yds. Allowed 222.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.00. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.40 Yds. Gained 51.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 406.50 Yds. Allowed 284.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 182.00 Yds. Allowed 116.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 224.50 Yds. Allowed 168.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.80 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.90. Allowed 16.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.60. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.40 Yds. Gained 53.80 Yds

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