NFL Betting Preview: Bears vs Commanders

The Chicago Bears go up against the Washington Commanders in this NFL Week 6 Monday Night Football clash at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Monday 13 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Back Commanders For a Convincing Win

The best betting angle could be the Commanders against the spread. You can land -102 that the market leaders are able to cover the -4.5 line and they are more than capable against the Bears.

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Commanders 18-15 Winners in Previous H2H Matchup

Chicago Bears have won back-to-back games. A 25-24 triumph recently occurred on the road at Allegiant Stadium when playing Las Vegas Raiders. The Bears totaled 271 yards, split between 202 passing and 69 rushing yards. They moved the chains 16 times and crossed the goal line twice.

Washington Commanders have landed two consecutive home wins. Their last game was a 27-10 road triumph at SoFi Stadium when meeting Los Angeles Chargers. The Commanders put up 389 yards, split between 226 passing and 163 rushing yards. They moved the chains 22 times and managed 3 touchdowns, including a passing score and 2 rushing TD's.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders triumphed 18-15 when they last played the Bears. This head-to-head was played at Northwest Stadium. The past 4 H2H clashes have seen both teams record two wins.

Quarterbacks

Caleb Williams

Jayden Daniels

Bears vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Bears vs Commanders with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Back the Commanders against the spread in order to get the best value. They should be able to cover an attractive -4.5 line at -102 for this NFL matchup.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate NFL predictions.

Key Bears vs Commanders stats:

The -4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
The -4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
The -4.5 line has been covered by Commanders in 3 consecutive games at home.
The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bears in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bears in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Commanders -4.5 Probability

The top NFL sportsbooks make it a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

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Best Bet

Commanders -4.5 @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 02:26, 12 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Anytime TD -161

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders) can be backed at odds of -161 to hit paydirt. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Touchdown Scorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Jacory Croskey-Merritt Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Jayden Daniels Over 221.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Jayden Daniels (Commanders) at -114 to rack up over 221.5 passing yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Jayden Daniels Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Passing Yards

Rushing Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Commanders -4.5

Totals Over 49.5

Anytime Touchdown Jacory Croskey-Merritt

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Commanders -4.5 on the spread, combined with Over 49.5 and Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders) to be a touchdown scorer.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different picks within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

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Correct Score Prediction

Bears

24 - 34 Commanders logo

Commanders

The Commanders might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 34-24 for a big possible return from your stake.

Bears vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Commanders Made Favorites by the Books

The sportsbooks have Washington Commanders at -208 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 68% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. The market suggests that Chicago Bears are least likely to win at +176.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 49.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you fancy Under 49.5, then the odds are -105.

You can find hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Football League matchup, with the top sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Favorite to Be First TD Scorer

Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +550. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -161.

Touchdown

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

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Receiving Yards

Rome Odunze (Bears)

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

DJ Moore (Bears)

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

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Rushing Yards

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Caleb Williams (Bears)

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Passing Yards

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Best Betting Offers

Northwest Stadium

Commanders Locked In at Home

The Commanders have reeled off five straight wins at Northwest Stadium. They are 8-2 in their last 10 home games, posting 31.50 points per contest while yielding 20.30.

The Bears own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 16.80 points on offense and surrendering 27.60 on defense.

The Commanders earned a 18-15 win against the Bears in the teams’ last meeting at Northwest Stadium. The last 3 head-to-heads at Northwest Stadium show the Bears with two wins, while the Commanders have one to their name.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
Commanders Home Stats		8-2	51.80	31.50	20.30	6	4
Bears Away Stats		2-8	44.40	16.80	27.60	2	8

W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

All
Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Bears

NFL: 28/09 Bears25 Raiders 24
NFL: 21/09 Cowboys14 Bears 31
NFL: 14/09 Bears21 Lions 52
NFL: 09/09 Vikings27 Bears 24
NFL: 05/01 Bears24 Packers 22

Commanders

NFL: 05/10 Commanders27 Chargers 10
NFL: 28/09 Commanders27 Falcons 34
NFL: 21/09 Raiders24 Commanders 41
NFL: 12/09 Commanders18 Packers 27
NFL: 07/09 Giants6 Commanders 21

Head to Head

Bears vs Commanders

NFL: 27/10 2024 Bears 15 Commanders 18
NFL: 06/10 2023 Bears 40 Commanders 20
NFL: 14/10 2022 Commanders 12 Bears 7
NFL: 24/09 2019 Bears 31 Commanders 15

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Chicago Bears Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
+4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
-4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 16.80 pts and allowed 27.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 52.80 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.80 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.50 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 284.50 Yds. Allowed 381.10 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 91.30 Yds. Allowed 154.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 193.20 Yds. Allowed 226.30 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.70. Allowed 20.90
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.50
Total Penalties: Committed 7.40. Committed by opponents 5.80
Penalty Yards: Lost 49.50 Yds. Gained 43.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 360.70 Yds. Allowed 373.90 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 147.40 Yds. Allowed 139.20 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 213.30 Yds. Allowed 234.70 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 22.10
Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.00
Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 6.90
Penalty Yards: Lost 54.50 Yds. Gained 51.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 272.90 Yds. Allowed 386.80 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 94.40 Yds. Allowed 164.50 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 178.50 Yds. Allowed 222.30 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.00. Allowed 20.40
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.40
Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.40
Penalty Yards: Lost 53.40 Yds. Gained 51.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 406.50 Yds. Allowed 284.80 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 182.00 Yds. Allowed 116.50 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 224.50 Yds. Allowed 168.30 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.80 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.90. Allowed 16.60
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.20
Total Penalties: Committed 7.60. Committed by opponents 7.00
Penalty Yards: Lost 64.40 Yds. Gained 53.80 Yds

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Team News

Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders Lineups

Washington Commanders

Manager:

Dan Quinn

Chicago Bears

Manager:

Ben Johnson

Washington Commanders Substitutes

Chicago Bears Substitutes

Chicago Bears Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Kiran Amegadjie

Elbow

Austin Booker

Knee

Zah Frazier

Personal

Deion Hankins

Quadriceps

Travis Homer

Calf

Grady Jarrett

Knee

Jaylon Johnson

Groin

Colston Loveland

Hip

Amen Ogbongbemiga

Undisclosed

Cairo Santos

Thigh

Terell Smith

Knee

Washington Commanders Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Noah Brown

Groin

Sam Cosmi

Knee - ACL

Austin Ekeler

Achilles

Will Harris

Lower Leg

Tyree Jackson

Undisclosed

Javontae Jean-Baptiste

Pectoral

Jonathan Jones

Hamstring

Terry McLaurin

Quadriceps

Lucas Niang

Knee - ACL

Chris Rodriguez

Calf

Deebo Samuel

Heel

Deatrich Wise

Quadriceps

Previous Chicago Bears Lineups

28 Sep NFL

Bears 25-24 Raiders

AFC East	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	4	1	0.800	153	113	40	3-1-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	3-1-0	4-1-0	1L
Patriots	3	2	0.600	125	101	24	1-2-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-2-0	3-2-0	2W
Dolphins	1	4	0.200	107	145	-38	1-1-0	0-3-0	1-2-0	1-3-0	1-4-0	1L
Jets	0	5	0.000	112	157	-45	0-3-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	0-5-0	5L

AFC North	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Steelers	3	1	0.750	96	98	-2	1-1-0	2-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	3-1-0	2W
Bengals	2	3	0.400	85	156	-71	1-1-0	1-2-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	2-3-0	3L
Ravens	1	4	0.200	141	177	-36	1-2-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-3-0	1-4-0	3L
Browns	1	4	0.200	73	123	-50	1-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	1-4-0	2L

AFC South	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	4	1	0.800	163	89	74	3-0-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	4-0-0	4-1-0	1W
Jaguars	4	1	0.800	127	100	27	3-0-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	3W
Texans	2	3	0.400	108	61	47	1-1-0	1-2-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	2-3-0	2W
Titans	1	4	0.200	73	141	-68	0-2-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	1-4-0	1W

AFC West	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Chargers	3	2	0.600	98	98	0	2-1-0	1-1-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3-2-0	2L
Broncos	3	2	0.600	117	84	33	2-0-0	1-2-0	0-1-0	2-2-0	3-2-0	2W
Chiefs	2	3	0.400	125	107	18	1-1-0	1-2-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	2-3-0	1L
Raiders	1	4	0.200	83	139	-56	0-2-0	1-2-0	0-1-0	1-2-0	1-4-0	4L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	4	2	0	0.667	142	143	-1	2-1-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	2L
Commanders	3	2	0	0.600	134	101	33	2-0-0	1-2-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	3-2-0	1W
Cowboys	2	2	1	0.400	151	154	-3	1-0-1	1-2-0	1-1-0	1-2-1	2-2-1	1W
Giants	2	4	0	0.333	121	144	-23	2-1-0	0-3-0	1-2-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1W

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Lions	4	1	0	0.800	174	112	62	2-0-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	4-1-0	4W
Packers	2	1	1	0.500	104	84	20	2-0-0	0-1-1	1-0-0	2-0-1	2-1-1	1D
Vikings	3	2	0	0.600	123	97	26	1-1-0	2-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Bears	2	2	0	0.500	101	117	-16	1-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	2-2-0	2W

NFC South	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	4	1	0.800	135	132	3	1-1-0	3-0-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	1W
Falcons	2	2	0.500	76	86	-10	1-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	2-2-0	2-2-0	1W
Panthers	2	3	0.400	102	119	-17	2-0-0	0-3-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-3-0	1W
Saints	1	4	0.200	92	135	-43	1-2-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	1-3-0	1-4-0	1W

NFC West	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
49ers	4	1	0.800	106	98	8	1-1-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	4-0-0	4-1-0	1W
Seahawks	3	2	0.600	146	105	41	1-2-0	2-0-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Rams	3	2	0.600	123	107	16	2-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Cardinals	2	3	0.400	103	96	7	1-2-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	2-2-0	2-3-0	3L

NFL Betting Preview: Bears vs Commanders

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bears vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Commanders -4.5 Probability

Best Bet

Player Prop Picks

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Bears vs Commanders Odds

Last 5 & H2H

Live Streaming

Team News

Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders Lineups

Washington Commanders

Chicago Bears

Washington Commanders Substitutes

Chicago Bears Substitutes

Chicago Bears Injuries

Washington Commanders Injuries

Previous Chicago Bears Lineups

Previous Washington Commanders Lineups

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