Browns vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Oct 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Browns vs Steelers

The Cleveland Browns face off against the Pittsburgh Steelers in this NFL Week 6 matchup at Acrisure Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 12. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The Steelers and the Browns are certainly capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 38.5 as a value bet at -108.

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Cleveland Browns have now been defeated in back-to-back games, recently losing to Minnesota Vikings by a 21-17 scoreline at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The Browns finished with 322 yards, including 182 passing and 140 rushing yards. They managed 17 first downs and scored 2 touchdowns, both through the air.

Pittsburgh Steelers have won their last two games, most recently triumphing 24-21 at Croke Park against Minnesota Vikings. The Steelers put up 313 total yards, made up of 182 through the air and 131 on the ground. They produced 19 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns, one coming through the air and 2 on the ground.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Acrisure Stadium, with the Steelers claiming the win. Beating the Browns by a 27-14 scoreline. The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

Quarterbacks

Dillon Gabriel

188.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Aaron Rodgers

210.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Browns vs Steelers Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Browns vs Steelers tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s juice available when it comes to backing Over 38.5 points in this NFL matchup and that’s the betting angle we’re pursuing. Our pick is priced up at -108 which looks worth taking.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date stats for sharper predictions.

Key Browns vs Steelers stats:

• The 38.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Browns games on the road.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Browns games on the road.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Browns games on the road.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Steelers games.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Steelers games.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Steelers games at home.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 38.5 Probability

According to the best NFL sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. However, our cappers have this figure between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 38.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 10 October 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaylen Warren Anytime TD +105

Jaylen Warren (Steelers) can be backed at odds of +105 to hit paydirt. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Touchdown Scorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Jaylen Warren Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+110

First

+500

Receiving Yards

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 45.5

-112

Under 45.5

-112

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Quinshon Judkins Over 77.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Quinshon Judkins (Browns) at -114 to reach over 77.5 rushing yards. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this Player Rushing Yards wager.

Latest Quinshon Judkins Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+110

First

+500

Receiving Yards

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-102

Rushing Yards

Over 77.5

-112

Under 77.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Browns 13 - 28 Steelers

There’s the chance to land huge odds when it comes to the Steelers winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 28-13 triumph in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

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Browns vs Steelers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 75% chance of securing victory, Pittsburgh Steelers are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -294. Cleveland Browns are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +235.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 42.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. If you're keen on Over 42.5, this selection is available at -110.

There are hundreds of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Football League and we recommend visiting the best sportsbooks to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Browns

+235

Steelers

-294

Point Spread

Browns +6.5

-115

Steelers -6.5

-105

Total Points

Under 42.5

-110

Over 42.5

-110

Favorite Jaylen Warren is priced at +500 to be the first player to score a touchdown. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score a TD at anytime at odds of +110.

Touchdown

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

+110

Quinshon Judkins (Browns)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

+110

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+180

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+230

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+260

Jerry Jeudy (Browns)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+350

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+400

David Njoku (Browns)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+460

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+600

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+550

Isaiah Bond (Browns)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+490

Harold Fannin Jr. (Browns)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Dillon Gabriel (Browns)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+650

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+800

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+850

Jerome Ford (Browns)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+650

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+900

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1700

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2500

Dylan Sampson (Browns)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Jamari Thrash (Browns)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Gage Larvadain (Browns)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Malachi Corley (Browns)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Blake Whiteheart (Browns)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+6500

Receiving Yards

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

Over 56.5

-112

Under 56.5

-112

Jerry Jeudy (Browns)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

David Njoku (Browns)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Isaiah Bond (Browns)

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

Harold Fannin Jr. (Browns)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-112

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Quinshon Judkins (Browns)

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-102

Rushing Yards

Quinshon Judkins (Browns)

Over 77.5

-112

Under 77.5

-112

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 45.5

-112

Under 45.5

-112

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Dillon Gabriel (Browns)

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-108

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-112

Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 210.5

-112

Under 210.5

-112

Dillon Gabriel (Browns)

Over 188.5

-112

Under 188.5

-112

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Steelers Have Owned Recent Head-to-Heads at Acrisure Stadium

The Steelers have come up short in three consecutive outings at Acrisure Stadium. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 22.30 points on average and giving up 18.30.

The Browns have been on the losing end in ten straight road games. They are 0-10 in their last 10 road games, averaging 14.80 points scored and 31.10 points allowed.

The most recent Acrisure Stadium meeting saw the Steelers claim a 27-14 win over the Browns. In their last 7 head-to-head matchups at Acrisure Stadium, the Steelers have taken six wins compared to one for the Browns.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O38.5	U38.5
Steelers Home Stats		6-4	40.60	22.30	18.30	6	4
Browns Away Stats		0-10	45.90	14.80	31.10	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O38.5 = Games Over 38.5 Points
• U38.5 = Games Under 38.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cleveland Browns Stats

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 36.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 38.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 11.30 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 14.80 pts and allowed 31.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 38.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.40 pts and allowed 24.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 21.30 pts and allowed 19.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 278.60 Yds. Allowed 286.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 104.00 Yds. Allowed 104.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 174.60 Yds. Allowed 182.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.20. Allowed 16.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.40. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.80 Yds. Gained 52.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 263.60 Yds. Allowed 381.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 91.80 Yds. Allowed 137.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 171.80 Yds. Allowed 243.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.20. Allowed 23.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 37.10 Yds. Gained 49.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 306.60 Yds. Allowed 349.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 94.10 Yds. Allowed 141.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.50 Yds. Allowed 208.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 3.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.60. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.30 Yds. Gained 46.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 311.40 Yds. Allowed 342.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 124.30 Yds. Allowed 93.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 187.10 Yds. Allowed 249.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.20. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.70. Committed by opponents 8.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 35.20 Yds. Gained 63.90 Yds

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