Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Nov 2024

Broncos to Keep Things Tight

We’re sweet on the Broncos putting up a fight against the Chiefs and that compels us to back the underdogs against the spread. You can get -110 when it comes to the +7.5 that is available.

9 Wins for Chiefs in Last 10 H2H Matchups

Denver Broncos were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore Ravens claimed a 41-10 win. The Broncos gained 197 passing and 122 rushing yards, making 319 yards in total. They scored 1 touchdown and picked up 20 first downs.

Kansas City Chiefs have enjoyed eight straight wins, most recently beating Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30-24 (OT). It was a home success at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs 384 yards total gain included 260 passing and 124 rushing yards. They scored 4 touchdowns and picked up 28 first downs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Broncos who came out on top when they last played the Chiefs. At Empower Field at Mile High, a 24-9 win was recorded. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Chiefs win nine times.

Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

A spread of +7.5 looks an awesome number for the Broncos in this NFL battle. Take the odds of -110 that this betting line gets covered.

Our team of NFL handicappers monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Broncos vs Chiefs stats:

• The +7.5 line has been covered by Broncos in 8 of their last 9 games this season.
• The +7.5 line has been covered by Broncos in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -7.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 2 consecutive games.

Broncos +7.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the option to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

Best Bet

Broncos +7.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Broncos 17 - 21 Chiefs

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Chiefs to enjoy a 21-17 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Broncos vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Running Scared of Chiefs Win

Kansas City Chiefs are massive -385 favorites. They are regarded as 79% likely to win this game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Denver Broncos are the underdogs at +300 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

7.5 is the spread and 42.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 42.5, this outcome can be backed at -109.

The betting sites offer a wide range of team props and game lines for every National Football League clash. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Broncos

+300

Chiefs

-385

Point Spread

Broncos +7.5

-109

Chiefs -7.5

-112

Total Points

Under 42.5

-109

Over 42.5

-102

Player Props & Micro Betting

If you have a view on Passing Attempts, Interceptions or Receiving Yards, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player or quarterback to perform well and the best gambling sites provide lots of choice.

There are always opportunities to enjoy NFL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Broncos Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 40.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 41.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 18.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.50 pts and allowed 21.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 41.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 17.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 18.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 306.30 Yds. Allowed 301.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 114.10 Yds. Allowed 110.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 192.20 Yds. Allowed 190.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.30. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.60 Yds. Gained 46.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 359.40 Yds. Allowed 306.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 119.80 Yds. Allowed 86.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 239.60 Yds. Allowed 220.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.50. Allowed 17.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.30 Yds. Gained 56.50 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 295.40 Yds. Allowed 325.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.50 Yds. Allowed 119.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 176.90 Yds. Allowed 205.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.60. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 5.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.30 Yds. Gained 44.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 371.00 Yds. Allowed 295.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.80 Yds. Allowed 107.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 248.20 Yds. Allowed 187.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.30. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.20. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.70 Yds. Gained 50.10 Yds

Team News

NFL Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

AFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W

AFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFL Team	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L