Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Broncos vs Chiefs

The Denver Broncos square off against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday, December 25.

The Chiefs have been given a big number on the spread. We recommend taking the -102 that the underdogs cover the +12.5 against the Broncos.

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Denver Broncos have won five straight road games. Most recently, they lost 34-20 at home to Jacksonville Jaguars at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos generated 445 total yards, made up of 344 passing and 101 rushing yards. The offense moved the chains 21 times along with two touchdowns.

Kansas City Chiefs have been beaten in their last four games. On the road at Nissan Stadium, Tennessee Titans recently beat them 26-9. The Chiefs finished with 133 yards, including 82 passing and 51 rushing yards. They allowed 22 first downs and picked up 9.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Broncos have won the last two meetings against the Chiefs. They achieved winning scorelines of 38-0 and 22-19 at Empower Field at Mile High. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Chiefs win seven times.

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

227.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Chris Oladokun

151.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Broncos vs Chiefs betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s back the Chiefs at +12.5 to outrun their odds on the spread. They are a good shout at -102 to stay relatively close to the favorites in this NFL showdown.

Our NFL picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Broncos vs Chiefs stats:

• The +12.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Broncos in 13 consecutive games on the road.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Broncos in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 8 of their last 10 games against Broncos.

Chiefs +12.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Our Game Prediction

Chiefs +12.5 @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Courtland Sutton Anytime TD +135

Courtland Sutton (Broncos) is available at +135 to reach the end zone. We believe this is the best of the player props, with attractive odds available when it comes to betting him to score a touchdown at any time.

Latest Courtland Sutton Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+135

First

+500

Receiving Yards

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

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Troy Franklin Under 35.5 Receiving Yards -114

Troy Franklin (Chiefs) can be backed at -114 to record fewer than 35.5 receiving yards. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards total.

Latest Troy Franklin Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+230

First

+800

Receiving Yards

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Broncos 23 - 20 Chiefs

The Broncos are available at huge odds to secure a 23-20 win and they might have the edge. This should be a close battle and there won’t be much between the teams.

Broncos vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Denver Broncos are red-hot -1250 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 93% chance of winning this game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Kansas City Chiefs are trading at +750.

12.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 36.5 right now. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 36.5 selection is available to back at -110.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to the National Football League and we recommend heading to the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the matchup.

Moneyline

Broncos

-1250

Chiefs

+750

Point Spread

Broncos -12.5

-120

Chiefs +12.5

-102

Total Points

Under 36.5

-110

Over 36.5

-110

Those interested in favorite RJ Harvey to score the first touchdown are able to get +390. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -115.

Touchdown

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

First TD

+390

Anytime TD

-115

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

+135

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+230

Evan Engram (Broncos)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+320

Bo Nix (Broncos)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+420

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+420

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+470

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Broncos)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+500

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+450

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+500

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+550

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+650

Tyler Badie (Broncos)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+850

Adam Trautman (Broncos)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Nate Adkins (Broncos)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Dameon Pierce (Chiefs)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Cody Schrader (Broncos)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1400

Adam Prentice (Broncos)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1400

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1500

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Robert Tonyan (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Receiving Yards

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

Over 61.5

-114

Under 61.5

-114

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Evan Engram (Broncos)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Broncos)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Rushing Yards

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Passing Yards

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 227.5

-114

Under 227.5

-114

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs)

Over 151.5

-114

Under 151.5

-114

Chiefs Have Bossed Recent Head-to-Heads at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

The Chiefs have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 24.40 points per matchup and giving up 16.30.

The Broncos have strung together five straight wins on the road. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 20.90 points per contest and giving up 23.30.

When the teams last met at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs beat the Broncos 16-14. The Chiefs have taken all 6 of the recent head-to-head meetings at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O36.5	U36.5
Chiefs Home Stats		7-3	40.70	24.40	16.30	6	4
Broncos Away Stats		5-5	44.20	20.90	23.30	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O36.5 = Games Over 36.5 Points
• U36.5 = Games Under 36.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Broncos Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 36.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 21.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 36.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.20 pts and allowed 18.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 350.60 Yds. Allowed 293.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 107.10 Yds. Allowed 91.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 243.50 Yds. Allowed 202.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.50. Allowed 18.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.40 Yds. Gained 46.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 333.90 Yds. Allowed 304.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 104.60 Yds. Allowed 93.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 229.30 Yds. Allowed 211.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.00. Allowed 16.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.60 Yds. Gained 57.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 313.00 Yds. Allowed 349.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.50 Yds. Allowed 111.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 203.50 Yds. Allowed 238.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.60. Allowed 22.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 4.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.80 Yds. Gained 32.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 348.40 Yds. Allowed 275.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.90 Yds. Allowed 101.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.50 Yds. Allowed 173.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.00. Allowed 15.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.90 Yds. Gained 55.70 Yds

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