Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Broncos vs Chiefs

The Denver Broncos square off against the Kansas City Chiefs in this NFL Christmas Day matchup at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday, December 25.

The Chiefs have been given a big number on the spread. We recommend taking the -102 that the underdogs cover the +12.5 against the Broncos.

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Denver Broncos have won five straight road games. Most recently, they lost 34-20 at home to Jacksonville Jaguars at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos generated 445 total yards, made up of 344 passing and 101 rushing yards. The offense moved the chains 21 times along with two touchdowns.

Kansas City Chiefs have been beaten in their last four games. On the road at Nissan Stadium, Tennessee Titans recently beat them 26-9. The Chiefs finished with 133 yards, including 82 passing and 51 rushing yards. They allowed 22 first downs and picked up 9.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Broncos have won the last two meetings against the Chiefs. They achieved winning scorelines of 38-0 and 22-19 at Empower Field at Mile High. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Chiefs win seven times.

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

229.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Chris Oladokun

149.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Broncos vs Chiefs betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s back the Chiefs at +12.5 to outrun their odds on the spread. They are a good shout at -102 to stay relatively close to the favorites in this NFL showdown.

Our NFL picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Broncos vs Chiefs stats:

• The +12.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 20 consecutive games at home.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Broncos in 13 consecutive games on the road.
• The -12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Broncos in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +12.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 8 of their last 10 games against Broncos.

Chiefs +12.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

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Our Game Prediction

Chiefs +12.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (02:25, 24 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Courtland Sutton Anytime TD +135

Courtland Sutton (Broncos) is available at +135 to reach the end zone. We believe this is the best of the player props, with attractive odds available when it comes to betting him to score a touchdown at any time.

Latest Courtland Sutton Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+145

First

+550

Receiving Yards

Over 61.5

-112

Under 61.5

-112

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Troy Franklin Under 35.5 Receiving Yards -114

Troy Franklin (Chiefs) can be backed at -114 to record fewer than 35.5 receiving yards. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Receiving Yards total.

Latest Troy Franklin Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+800

Receiving Yards

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Broncos 23 - 20 Chiefs

The Broncos are available at huge odds to secure a 23-20 win and they might have the edge. This should be a close battle and there won’t be much between the teams.

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Broncos vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Denver Broncos are red-hot +166 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 38% chance of winning this game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Kansas City Chiefs are trading at -196.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 44.5 right now. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 44.5 selection is available to back at -105.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to the National Football League and we recommend heading to the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the matchup.

Moneyline

Broncos

+166

Chiefs

-196

Point Spread

Broncos +4.5

-115

Chiefs -4.5

-105

Total Points

Under 44.5

-115

Over 44.5

-105

Those interested in favorite RJ Harvey to score the first touchdown are able to get +300. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -161.

Touchdown

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

First TD

+300

Anytime TD

-161

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+145

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+210

Evan Engram (Broncos)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+330

Bo Nix (Broncos)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+340

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Broncos)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+460

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+370

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+380

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+420

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+430

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+550

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Nate Adkins (Broncos)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Adam Trautman (Broncos)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

Tyler Badie (Broncos)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1600

Dameon Pierce (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Cody Schrader (Broncos)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Adam Prentice (Broncos)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Robert Tonyan (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+6500

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+6500

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Receiving Yards

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

Over 61.5

-112

Under 61.5

-112

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Evan Engram (Broncos)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Broncos)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-112

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Rushing Yards

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 54.5

-112

Under 54.5

-112

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-112

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Passing Yards

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 229.5

-112

Under 229.5

-112

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs)

Over 149.5

-112

Under 149.5

-112

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Chiefs Have Bossed Recent Head-to-Heads at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

The Chiefs have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 24.40 points per matchup and giving up 16.30.

The Broncos have strung together five straight wins on the road. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 20.90 points per contest and giving up 23.30.

When the teams last met at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs beat the Broncos 16-14. The Chiefs have taken all 6 of the recent head-to-head meetings at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O36.5	U36.5
Chiefs Home Stats		7-3	40.70	24.40	16.30	6	4
Broncos Away Stats		5-5	44.20	20.90	23.30	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O36.5 = Games Over 36.5 Points
• U36.5 = Games Under 36.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Broncos Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 36.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 21.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 36.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.20 pts and allowed 18.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 350.60 Yds. Allowed 293.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 107.10 Yds. Allowed 91.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 243.50 Yds. Allowed 202.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.50. Allowed 18.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.40 Yds. Gained 46.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 333.90 Yds. Allowed 304.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 104.60 Yds. Allowed 93.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 229.30 Yds. Allowed 211.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.00. Allowed 16.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.60 Yds. Gained 57.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 313.00 Yds. Allowed 349.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.50 Yds. Allowed 111.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 203.50 Yds. Allowed 238.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.60. Allowed 22.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 4.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.80 Yds. Gained 32.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 348.40 Yds. Allowed 275.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.90 Yds. Allowed 101.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.50 Yds. Allowed 173.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.00. Allowed 15.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.90 Yds. Gained 55.70 Yds

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