Broncos vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Broncos vs Commanders

The Denver Broncos square off against the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:20 on Sunday, November 30.

The Broncos can cover the -5.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing them at -110 to get the better of the Commanders.

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Denver Broncos made it eight consecutive wins after a 22-19 home success over Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos generated 342 yards, including 283 passing and 59 rushing yards. They picked up 16 first downs and scored one rushing TD.

Washington Commanders have lost their last six games. Miami Dolphins recently won 16-13 (OT) at Santiago Bernabeu. The Commanders moved the ball for 379 yards, split between 207 passing and 172 rushing yards. The offense produced 22 first downs and scored one touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders beat the Broncos when the teams last met. It was a 35-33 scoreline at Empower Field at Mile High.

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

226.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Marcus Mariota

191.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Broncos vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Our expert Broncos vs Commanders betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

It’s fantastic to see the Broncos given a -5.5 line on the spread at -110 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in this NFL matchup.

We only publish our NFL predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Broncos vs Commanders stats:

• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 2 consecutive games at home.

Broncos -5.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential payout.

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Our Game Prediction

Broncos -5.5 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Bo Nix Over 226.5 Passing Yards -114

Bo Nix (Broncos) is priced at -114 to accumulate over 226.5 passing yards. The line for him on the Overs is highly appealing, with QB Passing Yards bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Bo Nix Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+440

First

+1800

Passing Yards

Over 226.5

-114

Under 226.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

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Troy Franklin Anytime TD +145

Troy Franklin (Broncos) can be backed at +145 to score in the red zone. The Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds are appealing from all angles and we’re willing to take a chance on him.

Latest Troy Franklin Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+145

First

+750

Receiving Yards

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Broncos 27 - 20 Commanders

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a huge potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Broncos to achieve a 27-20 victory at monster odds.

Broncos vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With a 73% chance of securing victory, Denver Broncos are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -270. Washington Commanders are the underdogs at +220 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 43.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Under 43.5, then the odds are -110.

Whether you're placing bets before kickoff or during the game, the best NFL sportsbooks delivers a massive range of game lines and team props. The betting sites give you endless ways to get involved with plenty of exciting alternatives.

Moneyline

Broncos

-270

Commanders

+220

Point Spread

Broncos -5.5

-110

Commanders +5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 43.5

-110

Over 43.5

-110

Favorite RJ Harvey is now available at +600 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last TD.

Touchdown

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

+105

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+145

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+170

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Evan Engram (Broncos)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+260

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+260

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+300

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+360

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+350

Bo Nix (Broncos)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+440

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+370

Pat Bryant (Broncos)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+480

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Adam Trautman (Broncos)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Nate Adkins (Broncos)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Robbie Chosen (Commanders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+900

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1000

Tyler Badie (Broncos)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1100

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Broncos)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1300

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1200

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Adam Prentice (Broncos)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 43.5

-114

Under 43.5

-114

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Pat Bryant (Broncos)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Evan Engram (Broncos)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Rushing Yards

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Passing Yards

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 226.5

-114

Under 226.5

-114

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 191.5

-114

Under 191.5

-114

Commanders With Three Consecutive Home Losses

The Commanders are riding a skid of three straight defeats at Northwest Stadium. They have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 28.30 points per contest and giving up 27.50.

The Broncos have strung together three consecutive victories away from home. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 20.10 points on average and giving up 22.50.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Commanders Home Stats		5-5	55.80	28.30	27.50	9	1
Broncos Away Stats		4-6	42.60	20.10	22.50	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Denver Broncos Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 41.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 42.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.70 pts and allowed 18.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.10 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.50 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.30 pts and allowed 27.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 337.10 Yds. Allowed 288.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 119.40 Yds. Allowed 90.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 217.70 Yds. Allowed 198.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.70. Allowed 18.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.70. Committed by opponents 7.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 76.60 Yds. Gained 52.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 320.00 Yds. Allowed 402.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.40 Yds. Allowed 143.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 189.60 Yds. Allowed 258.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.00. Allowed 21.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.40 Yds. Gained 60.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 295.70 Yds. Allowed 352.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 99.70 Yds. Allowed 105.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 196.00 Yds. Allowed 246.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.10. Allowed 21.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 4.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.80 Yds. Gained 31.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 363.60 Yds. Allowed 349.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 159.70 Yds. Allowed 122.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 203.90 Yds. Allowed 226.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.70 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.60. Allowed 19.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.90. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 71.60 Yds. Gained 49.60 Yds

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