Lions vs Bears Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Lions vs Bears

The Detroit Lions battle the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, January 4.

It’s great to see the Bears with a -3 line on the spread at -104 as we’re expecting a bigger margin of victory in their meeting against the Lions.

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Detroit Lions have been defeated in their previous three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 23-10 loss against Minnesota Vikings at US Bank Stadium. The Lions finished with 231 total yards, breaking down to 163 passing and 68 rushing yards. The offense converted for 16 first downs and scored one passing TD.

Chicago Bears have enjoyed six straight home wins. In their last game, they lost on the road to San Francisco 49ers 42-38 at Levi's Stadium. The Bears put up 440 total yards, made up of 330 through the air and 110 on the ground. They managed 26 first downs and scored 5 touchdowns, split between 2 by pass and 2 by run.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lions triumphed 52-21 when they last played the Bears. This head-to-head was played at Ford Field. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen seven Lions wins.

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff

254.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Caleb Williams

236.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Lions vs Bears Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Lions vs Bears betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with the Bears on the spread at -3. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and -104 can be backed for this NFL matchup.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our NFL handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Lions vs Bears stats:

• The -3 line has been covered by Bears in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Bears in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Lions in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Lions in 5 of their last 8 games on the road this season.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Lions in 3 consecutive games.

Bears -3 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Selling points can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative spread pick, you can alternatively buy points.

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Our Game Prediction

Bears -3 @ -104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jared Goff Under 254.5 Passing Yards -114

Jared Goff (Lions) is available at -114 to have less than 254.5 passing yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.

Latest Jared Goff Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 254.5

-114

Under 254.5

-114

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Jahmyr Gibbs Under 60.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Jahmyr Gibbs (Bears) to end with fewer than 60.5 rushing yards stand at -114. He could struggle to reach the Player Rushing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Lions 17 - 28 Bears

There’s the chance to bet on the Bears in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 28-17 victory in their favor.

Lions vs Bears Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With a 61% chance of securing victory, Chicago Bears are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -159. Detroit Lions are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +134.

There is a spread of 3 and total points has a line of 50.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. If you fancy Under 50.5, then the odds are -105.

The best NFL sportsbooks offer a wide range of team props and game lines for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Lions

+134

Bears

-159

Point Spread

Lions +3

-118

Bears -3

-104

Total Points

Under 50.5

-105

Over 50.5

-115

Receiving Yards

Luther Burden III (Bears)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

DJ Moore (Bears)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Passing Yards

Jared Goff (Lions)

Over 254.5

-114

Under 254.5

-114

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 236.5

-114

Under 236.5

-114

Can Bears Stay Hot at Home?

The Bears have put together six wins in a row at Soldier Field. They have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, putting up 23.60 points on average and giving up 19.20.

The Lions have dropped three consecutive away games. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games on the road, posting 27.60 points per contest while yielding 26.40.

In their last matchup at Soldier Field, the Lions came out on top 34-17 against the Bears. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings at Soldier Field, each team has earned three victories.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
Bears Home Stats		6-4	42.80	23.60	19.20	4	6
Lions Away Stats		5-5	54.00	27.60	26.40	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Lions Stats

Chicago Bears Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.10 pts and allowed 25.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.60 pts and allowed 26.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.30 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 19.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 378.90 Yds. Allowed 352.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 114.70 Yds. Allowed 130.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 264.20 Yds. Allowed 221.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.80. Allowed 19.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.80 Yds. Gained 50.20 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 392.80 Yds. Allowed 361.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 161.00 Yds. Allowed 133.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.80 Yds. Allowed 227.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.60. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.10 Yds. Gained 43.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 373.80 Yds. Allowed 335.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.20 Yds. Allowed 105.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 251.60 Yds. Allowed 230.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.10. Allowed 20.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.30 Yds. Gained 34.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 352.80 Yds. Allowed 344.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 123.00 Yds. Allowed 127.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 229.80 Yds. Allowed 217.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.50. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.90 Yds. Gained 40.10 Yds

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