Lions vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Lions vs Commanders

The Detroit Lions square off against the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, November 9. Our betting preview features expert NFL predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Over 48.5 points seems like a realistic outcome when the Commanders go up against the Lions. We’re taking odds of -118 on the basis that the total line is too low.

Backing our Totals angle? Get the latest BetMGM promo code and check our comprehensive site review. It’s a smart move before placing your bet.

Detroit Lions lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Minnesota Vikings 27-24 at Ford Field. The Lions moved the ball for 305 yards, breaking down to 240 passing and 65 rushing yards. The offense moved the chains 15 times and produced 3 touchdowns in total, with 2 through the air and one rushing TD.

Washington Commanders have lost their last four games, most recently suffering a 38-14 home defeat to Seattle Seahawks at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders recorded 290 total yards, made up of 133 through the air and 157 on the ground. They moved the chains 19 times and crossed the goal line twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Ford Field, with the Commanders claiming the win. Beating the Lions by a 45-31 scoreline. The past 4 games H2H record shows that both teams have two wins.

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff

248.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Marcus Mariota

205.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Lions vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Take on Lions vs Commanders with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 48.5. There’s a strong chance that the NFL rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -118.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NFL handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Lions vs Commanders stats:

• The 48.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lions games on the road.
• The 48.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Lions games.
• The 48.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Commanders games at home.
• The 48.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Commanders games at home.
• The 48.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Commanders games at home.
• The 48.5 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Over 48.5 Probability

Based on the betting odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for a bigger return on your Total bet? Consider the Result & Total lines where you combine the winning franchise and Over a certain number of points.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction

Over 48.5 Points @ -118 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (22:26, 07 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD -145

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions) is priced at -145 to hit the end zone. The Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds are appealing from all angles and we’re willing to take a chance on him.

Latest Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-141

First

+480

Receiving Yards

Over 77.5

-112

Under 77.5

-112

---

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 35.5 Rushing Yards -114

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders) is priced at -114 to go over 35.5 rushing yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Rushing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Jacory Croskey-Merritt Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+200

First

+1400

Rushing Yards

Over 33.5

-112

Under 33.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lions 31 - 24 Commanders

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score bet. A play on the Lions to claim a 31-24 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Lions vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

At betting odds of +102 with the sportsbooks, Detroit Lions are regarded as 50% likely to win this game. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get -122 about Washington Commanders.

The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 49.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 49.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

There’s a wide variety of game lines and team props available and we recommend checking out the best NFL betting sites to find the markets that align with your take on the matchup.

Moneyline

Lions

+102

Commanders

-122

Point Spread

Lions +1.5

-110

Commanders -1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 49.5

-105

Over 49.5

-115

Amon-Ra St. Brown is favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +480. If you want to back him to score the last TD, you can get similar odds.

Touchdown

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)

First TD

+480

Anytime TD

-141

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-145

David Montgomery (Lions)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+115

Sam LaPorta (Lions)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+145

Jameson Williams (Lions)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+155

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+200

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+210

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+220

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+310

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+380

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+430

Isaac TeSlaa (Lions)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+500

Brock Wright (Lions)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+650

Kalif Raymond (Lions)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+700

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1300

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1100

Robbie Chosen (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Ross Dwelley (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Dominic Lovett (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jared Goff (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Sione Vaki (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Craig Reynolds (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)

Over 77.5

-112

Under 77.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 56.5

-112

Under 56.5

-112

Jameson Williams (Lions)

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Sam LaPorta (Lions)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

Over 27.5

-112

Under 27.5

-112

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

Chris Moore (Commanders)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

David Montgomery (Lions)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

Isaac TeSlaa (Lions)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Over 71.5

-112

Under 71.5

-112

David Montgomery (Lions)

Over 47.5

-112

Under 47.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 33.5

-112

Under 33.5

-112

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-112

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 27.5

-112

Under 27.5

-112

Passing Yards

Jared Goff (Lions)

Over 248.5

-112

Under 248.5

-112

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 205.5

-112

Under 205.5

-112

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Commanders Have Six Wins From Past Ten Home Game

The Commanders have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, putting up 27.90 points per contest and giving up 24.60.

The Lions have gone 8-2 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 28.40 points on offense and surrendering 23.40 on defense.

In their last matchup at Northwest Stadium, the Commanders came out on top 19-16 against the Lions.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
Commanders Home Stats		6-4	52.50	27.90	24.60	8	2
Lions Away Stats		8-2	51.80	28.40	23.40	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Lions Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.10 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 52.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.40 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 372.10 Yds. Allowed 310.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 138.00 Yds. Allowed 105.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 234.10 Yds. Allowed 204.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.80 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.80. Allowed 19.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.00 Yds. Gained 32.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 331.50 Yds. Allowed 385.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 135.80 Yds. Allowed 134.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 195.70 Yds. Allowed 251.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 3.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 59.80 Yds. Gained 62.80 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 363.50 Yds. Allowed 342.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 129.40 Yds. Allowed 92.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 234.10 Yds. Allowed 250.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.60 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.20. Allowed 19.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.00 Yds. Gained 41.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 382.90 Yds. Allowed 325.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 167.20 Yds. Allowed 119.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 215.70 Yds. Allowed 205.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.50. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.60. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 68.50 Yds. Gained 55.50 Yds

Top American Football Pages