Texans vs Jaguars Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Texans vs Jaguars

The Houston Texans battle the Jacksonville Jaguars in this NFL Week 3 matchup at EverBank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 21. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The Unders looks the way to go when the Jaguars meet the Texans. The line looks too high at 43.5 and odds of -105 could favor bettors who go below that total.

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Houston Texans have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a 20-19 scoreline at NRG Stadium. The Texans recorded 266 yards, breaking down to 182 passing and 84 rushing yards. They produced 12 first downs and found the end zone on two occasions.

Jacksonville Jaguars lost on the road in their last game. Cincinnati Bengals won 31-27 at Paycor Stadium. The Jaguars put up 423 yards, including 261 passing and 162 rushing yards. The offense converted for 21 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns, with all 3 coming by pass.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Texans have beaten the Jaguars in the last two meetings. They won 24-20 at NRG Stadium and triumphed 23-20 at EverBank Stadium. The Texans have triumphed in eight of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

224.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Trevor Lawrence

228.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Texans vs Jaguars Prediction & Picks

Step into Texans vs Jaguars with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

We’re confident about the number of points to be scored when the teams take to the field in this NFL matchup. Therefore, the pick is Under 43.5 points which is available at -105.

Injuries are always factored in by the NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Texans vs Jaguars stats:

• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Texans games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Texans games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Texans games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Jaguars games at home.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Jaguars games.
• The 43.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Jaguars games at home.

Under 43.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

If you’re wanting to bet Under on the Totals, then you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line to where you feel a winning return can still be found.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Game Prediction

Under 43.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 19 September 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: C.J. Stroud Under 224.5 Passing Yards -114

C.J. Stroud (Texans) is available at -114 to end with fewer than 224.5 passing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.

Latest C.J. Stroud Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+490

First

+2200

Passing Yards

Over 224.5

-112

Under 224.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

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Trevor Lawrence Under 11.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Trevor Lawrence (Texans) at -114 to end with fewer than 11.5 rushing yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Rushing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Trevor Lawrence Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+470

First

+2200

Passing Yards

Over 228.5

-112

Under 228.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Texans 17 - 20 Jaguars

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 20-17 win for the Jaguars. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

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Texans vs Jaguars Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Jacksonville Jaguars are on offer at -130 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Houston Texans available at +110. This means the top sportsbooks give the road team a 48% chance of winning.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 43.5 right now. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. There’s the chance to back Under 43.5 at -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for every National Football League matchup. The best betting apps offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Texans

+110

Jaguars

-130

Point Spread

Texans +1.5

-108

Jaguars -1.5

-112

Total Points

Under 43.5

-110

Over 43.5

-110

Nick Chubb is the market leader at +600 to be the First TD Scorer. Should you think he will score the final touchdown, then a similar price can be found.

Touchdown

Nick Chubb (Texans)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

+115

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+125

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+155

Nico Collins (Texans)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+145

Travis Hunter (Jaguars)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+250

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+280

Dyami Brown (Jaguars)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+300

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+320

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+400

Christian Kirk (Texans)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+430

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+490

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+470

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Woody Marks (Texans)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Jaylin Noel (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+950

LeQuint Allen Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

Dare Ogunbowale (Texans)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1000

British Brooks (Texans)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1000

Tim Patrick (Jaguars)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1200

Harrison Bryant (Texans)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1700

Braxton Berrios (Texans)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1700

Johnny Mundt (Jaguars)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Hunter Long (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Jakob Johnson (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+5500

Quintin Morris (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 69.5

-112

Under 69.5

-112

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

Over 62.5

-112

Under 62.5

-112

Travis Hunter (Jaguars)

Over 38.5

-112

Under 38.5

-112

Christian Kirk (Texans)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Dyami Brown (Jaguars)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Brenton Strange (Jaguars)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-112

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

Nick Chubb (Texans)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 55.5

-112

Under 55.5

-112

Nick Chubb (Texans)

Over 49.5

-112

Under 49.5

-112

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Passing Yards

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 228.5

-112

Under 228.5

-112

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 224.5

-112

Under 224.5

-112

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NFL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Texans Have Owned Recent Head-to-Heads at EverBank Stadium

The Jaguars have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 20.80 points scored and 19.50 points allowed.

The Texans have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 20.50 points per contest and giving up 20.80.

The last EverBank Stadium meeting saw the Texans beat the Jaguars 23-20. Over the last 5 head-to-head matchups at EverBank Stadium, the Texans have claimed victory in all of them.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Jaguars Home Stats		4-6	40.30	20.80	19.50	3	7
Texans Away Stats		4-6	41.30	20.50	20.80	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Texans Stats

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.80 pts and allowed 20.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.50 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 18.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 295.90 Yds. Allowed 321.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 108.90 Yds. Allowed 108.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 187.00 Yds. Allowed 213.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.00. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.10 Yds. Gained 39.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 312.00 Yds. Allowed 373.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.90 Yds. Allowed 129.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 205.10 Yds. Allowed 244.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.40. Allowed 23.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 4.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.50 Yds. Gained 36.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 318.60 Yds. Allowed 309.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 136.20 Yds. Allowed 87.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 182.40 Yds. Allowed 221.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.80. Allowed 18.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.00 Yds. Gained 49.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 350.10 Yds. Allowed 330.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.10 Yds. Allowed 116.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 222.00 Yds. Allowed 214.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 19.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.90 Yds. Gained 39.90 Yds

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