Texans vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Jan 2025

The Texans should give a good account of themselves against the Chiefs and the prediction is to bet the underdogs against the spread. The +8.5 looks attractive and -112 is available.

Houston Texans made it back-to-back wins after a 32-12 home success over Los Angeles Chargers at NRG Stadium. The Texans total gain of 429 yards was split between 168 rushing and 261 passing yards. They scored 3 TD’s. 1 passing and 1 rushing touchdown.

Kansas City Chiefs have enjoyed eight straight home wins. In their last game, they lost on the road to Denver Broncos 38-0 at Empower Field at Mile High. The Chiefs had a gain of 27 rushing and 71 passing yards, totalling 98 yards. They picked up 5 first downs and allowed 29.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 27-19 in favor of the Chiefs when they last played the Texans, with the matchup taking place at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. It’s been four Chiefs wins in the past 5 games beween these teams.

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Patrick Mahomes

255.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Texans vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

We are happy to get with the Texans against the spread in this AFC Divisional Round matchup. -112 is available that the underdogs are able to cover +8.5 and that looks very reasonable.

We use the injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible NFL picks. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Texans vs Chiefs stats:

• The +8.5 line has been covered by Texans in 5 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Texans in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Texans in 7 consecutive games on the road this season.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 5 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 7 of their last 8 games at home this season.
• The -8.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 5 consecutive games at home.
• The +8.5 line has been covered by Texans in 2 consecutive games against Chiefs.

Texans +8.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your wager exceeds expectations.

Our Game Prediction

Texans +8.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Texans 17 - 20 Chiefs

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Chiefs claiming a 20-17 victory. This correct score prediction is available at monster odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

Texans vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Kansas City Chiefs have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -556 favorites for this game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 85% chance of winning. Houston Texans are the underdogs at +420 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 8.5, with the total points line at 41.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. If you’re going for Under 41.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

If you’re wagering on the National Football League, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Texans

+420

Chiefs

-556

Point Spread

Texans +8.5

-104

Chiefs -8.5

-118

Total Points

Under 41.5

-110

Over 41.5

-110

Travis Kelce is favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +700. If you want to back him to score the last TD, you can get similar odds.

Touchdown

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+155

Joe Mixon (Texans)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+145

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+160

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+175

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+200

Nico Collins (Texans)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+190

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+280

DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+310

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+350

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+550

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+2100

Anytime TD

+550

John Metchie III (Texans)

First TD

+2400

Anytime TD

+550

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

First TD

+3100

Anytime TD

+700

Robert Woods (Texans)

First TD

+3100

Anytime TD

+700

Kansas City Chiefs Defense (Chiefs)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+3400

Anytime TD

+1000

Samaje Perine (Chiefs)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Diontae Johnson (Texans)

First TD

+3700

Anytime TD

+900

Justin Watson (Chiefs)

First TD

+3800

Anytime TD

+1000

Houston Texans Defense (Texans)

First TD

+4300

Anytime TD

+1100

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1400

Dameon Pierce (Texans)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Cade Stover (Texans)

First TD

+9500

Anytime TD

+1400

Peyton Hendershot (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2400

Dare Ogunbowale (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2100

Carson Steele (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Irv Smith Jr. (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3200

Jared Wayne (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2600

J.J. Taylor (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2100

Andrew Beck (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3400

Receiving Yards

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 82.5

-110

Under 82.5

-110

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 51.5

-110

Under 51.5

-110

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 51.5

-110

Under 51.5

-110

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 41.5

-110

Under 41.5

-110

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 37.5

-110

Under 37.5

-110

John Metchie III (Texans)

Over 34.5

-110

Under 34.5

-110

DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs)

Over 33.5

-110

Under 33.5

-110

Robert Woods (Texans)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Joe Mixon (Texans)

Over 17.5

-110

Under 17.5

-110

Diontae Johnson (Texans)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-110

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Samaje Perine (Chiefs)

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-110

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-133

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-110

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-105

Rushing Yards

Joe Mixon (Texans)

Over 52.5

-110

Under 52.5

-110

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 41.5

-110

Under 41.5

-110

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 31.5

-110

Under 31.5

-110

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 24.5

-110

Under 24.5

-110

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-110

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

+108

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 255.5

-110

Under 255.5

-110

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 223.5

-110

Under 223.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Texans Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 37.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 41.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 16.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 41.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 339.00 Yds. Allowed 253.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.40 Yds. Allowed 85.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 229.60 Yds. Allowed 167.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 14.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.90 Yds. Gained 55.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 385.70 Yds. Allowed 307.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.10 Yds. Allowed 99.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 265.60 Yds. Allowed 207.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.10. Allowed 16.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.70 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 323.30 Yds. Allowed 289.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.50 Yds. Allowed 82.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 207.80 Yds. Allowed 207.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 16.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.50 Yds. Gained 51.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 364.40 Yds. Allowed 279.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.40 Yds. Allowed 101.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 244.00 Yds. Allowed 177.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.30. Allowed 15.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.30 Yds. Gained 54.30 Yds

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