Texans vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Texans vs Chiefs

The Houston Texans battle the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:20 on Sunday, December 7.

There’s a generous line of -3.5 when it comes to the Chiefs when they clash with the Texans. The -112 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

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Houston Texans have won their previous four games. A 20-16 triumph recently occurred on the road at Lucas Oil Stadium when playing Indianapolis Colts. The Texans moved the ball for 364 yards, breaking down to 256 passing and 108 rushing yards. They posted 24 first downs and crossed the goal line twice.

Kansas City Chiefs have won their last five home games. Most recently, they lost 31-28 on the road at AT&T Stadium against Dallas Cowboys. The Chiefs put up 362 yards, split between 243 passing and 119 rushing yards. They produced 19 first downs and crossed the goal line 4 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with the Chiefs claiming the win. Beating the Texans by a 23-14 scoreline. In the past 6 games between the teams, the Chiefs have won five.

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

232.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Patrick Mahomes

234.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Texans vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Texans vs Chiefs with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

The Chiefs are capable of covering the -3.5 line. We’re confident of a strong showing in this NFL showdown and a wager against the spread is the best play at -112.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our NFL predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Texans vs Chiefs stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 6 games at home this season.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 5 consecutive games against Texans.

Chiefs -3.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but smaller odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Chiefs -3.5 @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: C.J. Stroud Under 232.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for C.J. Stroud (Texans) to finish with fewer than 232.5 passing yards stand at -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this an appealing wager.

Latest C.J. Stroud Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+1100

First

+4000

Passing Yards

Over 232.5

-114

Under 232.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

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Kareem Hunt Under 32.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Kareem Hunt (Texans) at -114 to end with fewer than 32.5 rushing yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Rushing Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Kareem Hunt Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+130

First

+700

Rushing Yards

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Texans 21 - 28 Chiefs

There’s the chance to land huge odds when it comes to the Chiefs winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 28-21 triumph in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

Texans vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Kansas City Chiefs are regarded as having a 65% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -185. Houston Texans are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +156.

The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 41.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 41.5 at -104.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, the best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many different options.

Moneyline

Texans

+156

Chiefs

-185

Point Spread

Texans +3.5

-108

Chiefs -3.5

-112

Total Points

Under 41.5

-104

Over 41.5

-118

Rashee Rice can be backed to score a TD at any stage at +120. There is the opportunity to back the market leader to grab the first touchdown at +650.

Touchdown

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+120

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+130

Woody Marks (Texans)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+150

Nico Collins (Texans)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+165

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+220

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+290

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+300

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+350

Nick Chubb (Texans)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+400

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+380

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+430

Christian Kirk (Texans)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+550

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+750

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+900

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1100

Robert Tonyan (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

Jaylin Noel (Texans)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+850

Cade Stover (Texans)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

British Brooks (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Dare Ogunbowale (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Elijah Mitchell (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Jakob Johnson (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Receiving Yards

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 70.5

-114

Under 70.5

-114

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 69.5

-114

Under 69.5

-114

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Christian Kirk (Texans)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Nick Chubb (Texans)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 234.5

-114

Under 234.5

-114

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 232.5

-114

Under 232.5

-114

Can Chiefs Stay Hot at Home?

The Chiefs have reeled off five consecutive victories at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. They have gone 9-1 across their last 10 home games, averaging 26.70 points scored and 16.30 points allowed.

The Texans have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 19.70 points per contest while yielding 18.10.

The Chiefs beat the Texans 23-14 in their most recent meeting at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. In the past 5 head-to-head matchups at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs have secured four wins, while the Texans have one victory.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O41.5	U41.5
Chiefs Home Stats		9-1	43.00	26.70	16.30	5	5
Texans Away Stats		5-5	37.80	19.70	18.10	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O41.5 = Games Over 41.5 Points
• U41.5 = Games Under 41.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Texans Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 37.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 41.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 16.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 41.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 339.00 Yds. Allowed 253.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.40 Yds. Allowed 85.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 229.60 Yds. Allowed 167.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 14.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.90 Yds. Gained 55.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 385.70 Yds. Allowed 307.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.10 Yds. Allowed 99.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 265.60 Yds. Allowed 207.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.10. Allowed 16.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.70 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 323.30 Yds. Allowed 289.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.50 Yds. Allowed 82.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 207.80 Yds. Allowed 207.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 16.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.50 Yds. Gained 51.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 364.40 Yds. Allowed 279.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.40 Yds. Allowed 101.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 244.00 Yds. Allowed 177.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.30. Allowed 15.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.30 Yds. Gained 54.30 Yds

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