Texans vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Texans vs Chiefs

The Houston Texans battle the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:20 on Sunday, December 7.

There’s a generous line of -3.5 when it comes to the Chiefs when they clash with the Texans. The -112 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

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Houston Texans have won their previous four games. A 20-16 triumph recently occurred on the road at Lucas Oil Stadium when playing Indianapolis Colts. The Texans moved the ball for 364 yards, breaking down to 256 passing and 108 rushing yards. They posted 24 first downs and crossed the goal line twice.

Kansas City Chiefs have won their last five home games. Most recently, they lost 31-28 on the road at AT&T Stadium against Dallas Cowboys. The Chiefs put up 362 yards, split between 243 passing and 119 rushing yards. They produced 19 first downs and crossed the goal line 4 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with the Chiefs claiming the win. Beating the Texans by a 23-14 scoreline. In the past 6 games between the teams, the Chiefs have won five.

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

232.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Patrick Mahomes

239.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Texans vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Texans vs Chiefs with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

The Chiefs are capable of covering the -3.5 line. We’re confident of a strong showing in this NFL showdown and a wager against the spread is the best play at -112.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our NFL predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Texans vs Chiefs stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 6 games at home this season.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 5 consecutive games against Texans.

Chiefs -3.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s regularly the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky wager but smaller odds.

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Our Game Prediction

Chiefs -3.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (02:25, 06 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: C.J. Stroud Under 232.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for C.J. Stroud (Texans) to finish with fewer than 232.5 passing yards stand at -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this an appealing wager.

Latest C.J. Stroud Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+1000

First

+4000

Passing Yards

Over 232.5

-112

Under 232.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-112

---

Kareem Hunt Under 32.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Kareem Hunt (Texans) at -114 to end with fewer than 32.5 rushing yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Rushing Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Kareem Hunt Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+140

First

+750

Rushing Yards

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Texans 21 - 28 Chiefs

There’s the chance to land huge odds when it comes to the Chiefs winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 28-21 triumph in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

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Texans vs Chiefs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Kansas City Chiefs are regarded as having a 72% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -256. Houston Texans are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +210.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 45.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 45.5 at -115.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, the best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many different options.

Moneyline

Texans

+210

Chiefs

-256

Point Spread

Texans +6.5

-110

Chiefs -6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 45.5

-115

Over 45.5

-105

Rashee Rice can be backed to score a TD at any stage at +105. There is the opportunity to back the market leader to grab the first touchdown at +550.

Touchdown

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+105

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+140

Woody Marks (Texans)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+170

Nico Collins (Texans)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+165

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+185

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+290

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+320

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+430

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+430

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+480

Nick Chubb (Texans)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+440

Christian Kirk (Texans)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+1000

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1300

Jaylin Noel (Texans)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+900

Cade Stover (Texans)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1100

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1200

Robert Tonyan (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

British Brooks (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Dare Ogunbowale (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Elijah Mitchell (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jakob Johnson (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Receiving Yards

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 70.5

-112

Under 70.5

-112

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 69.5

-112

Under 69.5

-112

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 38.5

-112

Under 38.5

-112

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Christian Kirk (Texans)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-112

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-112

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-112

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Nick Chubb (Texans)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-112

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 4.5

+132

Under 4.5

-167

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 239.5

-112

Under 239.5

-112

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 232.5

-112

Under 232.5

-112

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NFL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live team, score and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Can Chiefs Stay Hot at Home?

The Chiefs have reeled off five consecutive victories at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. They have gone 9-1 across their last 10 home games, averaging 26.70 points scored and 16.30 points allowed.

The Texans have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 19.70 points per contest while yielding 18.10.

The Chiefs beat the Texans 23-14 in their most recent meeting at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. In the past 5 head-to-head matchups at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs have secured four wins, while the Texans have one victory.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O41.5	U41.5
Chiefs Home Stats		9-1	43.00	26.70	16.30	5	5
Texans Away Stats		5-5	37.80	19.70	18.10	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O41.5 = Games Over 41.5 Points
• U41.5 = Games Under 41.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Houston Texans Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 37.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 41.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 16.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 41.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 41.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 339.00 Yds. Allowed 253.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.40 Yds. Allowed 85.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 229.60 Yds. Allowed 167.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 14.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.90 Yds. Gained 55.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 385.70 Yds. Allowed 307.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.10 Yds. Allowed 99.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 265.60 Yds. Allowed 207.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.10. Allowed 16.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.70 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 323.30 Yds. Allowed 289.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.50 Yds. Allowed 82.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 207.80 Yds. Allowed 207.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 16.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.50 Yds. Gained 51.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 364.40 Yds. Allowed 279.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.40 Yds. Allowed 101.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 244.00 Yds. Allowed 177.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.30. Allowed 15.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.30 Yds. Gained 54.30 Yds

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