Colts vs Texans Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Colts vs Texans

The Indianapolis Colts go up against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, January 4.

We’re expecting Over 38.5 points to be scored by the Texans and the Colts combined. There’s an attractive -115 for our prediction and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over.

Indianapolis Colts have been defeated in six straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Jacksonville Jaguars by a 23-17 scoreline at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts put up 204 yards, split between 135 passing and 69 rushing yards. They picked up 16 first downs and managed 2 touchdowns, combining a passing score with one on the ground.

Houston Texans won last time out by a 20-16 scoreline. On the road against Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium, they made it eight wins on the spin. The Texans put up 362 yards, split between 244 passing and 118 rushing yards. The offense moved the chains 16 times and scored 2 touchdowns, both through the air.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Texans won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 20-16 victory was registered against the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. In the past 10 clashes between these teams, there has been one draw. The Texans have won five games and the Colts four.

Quarterbacks

Riley Leonard

160.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

C.J. Stroud

206.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Colts vs Texans Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Colts vs Texans betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We think the best betting angle can be found with the totals for this NFL battle. Our pick is that there will be Over 38.5 points and that is available at -115.

Injuries are always factored in by the NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Colts vs Texans stats:

• The 38.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Colts games on the road.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in 18 of the last 20 Colts games.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Colts games.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Texans games at home.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 8 Texans games at home this season.
• The 38.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Texans games at home.

Over 38.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you want to get larger odds on your Over bet, there’s a smart way of doing this. The sportsbooks will allow you to move the line on the Totals.

Searching for betting perks? Explore our bonus guide for the freshest sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and offers today.

Our Game Prediction

Over 38.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 2, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 211.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for C.J. Stroud (Texans) to go over 211.5 passing yards are -114. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this QB Passing Yards wager.

Latest C.J. Stroud Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+330

First

+1500

Passing Yards

Over 206.5

-112

Under 206.5

-112

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Dalton Schultz Over 39.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Dalton Schultz (Colts) at -114 to reach over 39.5 receiving yards. We're confident in him covering the Player Receiving Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Dalton Schultz Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+170

First

+650

Receiving Yards

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Colts 14 - 31 Texans

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to back the Texans on the correct score lines. For example, a 31-14 win in their favor is available at massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Colts vs Texans Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -667 about Houston Texans which reflects they have a 87% chance of winning this game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Indianapolis Colts are trading at +490.

The spread currently stands at 10.5 and the total points line is 38.5. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you're keen on Over 38.5, this selection is available at -104.

When it comes to the National Football League, the best sportsbooks deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the bet that fits your view of the matchup.

Moneyline

Colts

+490

Texans

-667

Point Spread

Colts +10.5

-104

Texans -10.5

-118

Total Points

Under 38.5

-118

Over 38.5

-104

There’s the chance to back Woody Marks at +380 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.

Touchdown

Woody Marks (Texans)

First TD

+380

Anytime TD

-135

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+170

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+210

Christian Kirk (Texans)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+260

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+330

Riley Leonard (Colts)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+550

Receiving Yards

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 62.5

-112

Under 62.5

-112

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

Over 50.5

-112

Under 50.5

-112

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 52.5

-112

Under 52.5

-112

Passing Yards

C.J. Stroud (Texans)

Over 206.5

-112

Under 206.5

-112

Riley Leonard (Colts)

Over 160.5

-112

Under 160.5

-112

There are lots of exciting NFL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Can Texans Keep Rolling at Home?

The Texans are riding four consecutive victories at NRG Stadium. They have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 24.20 points scored and 18.50 points allowed.

The Colts have been on the losing end in four straight road games. They have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 24.50 points per contest and giving up 27.50.

The Texans beat the Colts 23-20 in their most recent meeting at NRG Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O38.5	U38.5
Texans Home Stats		7-3	42.70	24.20	18.50	7	3
Colts Away Stats		3-7	52.00	24.50	27.50	9	1

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O38.5 = Games Over 38.5 Points
• U38.5 = Games Under 38.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Indianapolis Colts Stats

Houston Texans Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 38.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.20 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 27.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 41.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 38.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 17.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.20 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 326.00 Yds. Allowed 363.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.50 Yds. Allowed 102.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.50 Yds. Allowed 261.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.20. Allowed 22.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.80 Yds. Gained 48.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 339.40 Yds. Allowed 271.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 108.10 Yds. Allowed 94.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.30 Yds. Allowed 176.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 15.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.00 Yds. Gained 47.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 323.10 Yds. Allowed 357.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 107.60 Yds. Allowed 93.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 215.50 Yds. Allowed 264.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.30 Yds. Gained 60.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 334.40 Yds. Allowed 288.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.70 Yds. Allowed 115.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 220.70 Yds. Allowed 172.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.10. Allowed 16.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.30 Yds. Gained 45.40 Yds

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