Jaguars vs Bills Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Sep 2024

Expect Bills to Dominate Jaguars

We’re bullish about the Bills against the spread at -5. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin when playing the Jaguars and you can get -110.

25-20 Win for Jaguars in Last H2H Clash

Jacksonville Jaguars have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Cleveland Browns by a 18-13 scoreline at EverBank Stadium. The Jaguars gained 196 passing and 127 rushing yards, making 323 yards in total. They picked up 18 first downs and scored 1 rushing TD.

Buffalo Bills won last time out by a 31-10 scoreline. On the road against Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium, they made it back-to-back wins. The Bills gained 139 passing and 108 rushing yards, making 247 yards in total. They scored 4 TD’s. 1 passing and 2 rushing touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Jaguars who came out on top when they last played the Bills. At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a 25-20 win was recorded.

Jaguars vs Bills Prediction & Picks

The Bills at -5 could be the best bet to have on the spread. Odds of -110 are available and our pick would mean a solid win for the favorites in this NFL matchup.

Our NFL picks are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest data.

Key Jaguars vs Bills stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Bills in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -5 line has been covered by Bills in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5 line has been covered by Bills in 2 consecutive games.

Bills -5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The sportsbooks give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

Best Bet

Bills -5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Jaguars 24 - 30 Bills

There’s the chance to land huge odds when it comes to the Bills winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 30-24 triumph in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

Jaguars vs Bills Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bills Betting Favorites on the Moneyline

Buffalo Bills are regarded as having a 69% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -222. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Jacksonville Jaguars are trading at +180.

There is a spread of 4.5 and total points has a line of 46.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Under 46.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of game lines and team props for every National Football League game. The betting sites have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Jaguars

+180

Bills

-222

Point Spread

Jaguars +4.5

-108

Bills -4.5

-105

Total Points

Under 46.5

-105

Over 46.5

-109

Player Props & Micro Betting

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player and quarterback props such as First Touchdown Scorer, Player Passing Attempts, Passing Yards, Interceptions and Kicking Points. The gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Buffalo Bills Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.10 pts and allowed 21.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.70 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.90 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 341.00 Yds. Allowed 338.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 94.20 Yds. Allowed 118.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 246.80 Yds. Allowed 220.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.90. Allowed 18.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.40 Yds. Gained 57.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 360.70 Yds. Allowed 306.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 151.60 Yds. Allowed 118.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 209.10 Yds. Allowed 188.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.60. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.00. Committed by opponents 4.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 38.90 Yds. Gained 34.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 354.40 Yds. Allowed 354.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.00 Yds. Allowed 91.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 249.40 Yds. Allowed 262.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.90. Allowed 19.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.10 Yds. Gained 56.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 359.40 Yds. Allowed 299.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 147.80 Yds. Allowed 115.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 211.60 Yds. Allowed 183.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.60. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.00 Yds. Gained 45.50 Yds

Team News

NFL Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

AFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W

AFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFL Team	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L