Jaguars vs Texans Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Jaguars vs Texans

The Jacksonville Jaguars go up against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 9. Our betting preview features expert NFL predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

There are odds of -105 about Over 37.5 points and this looks generous when the Texans face the Jaguars. The bar might have been set too low in terms of total.

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Jacksonville Jaguars have won back-to-back road games, triumphing 30-29 (OT) in their previous appearance. This was against Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium. The Jaguars totaled 367 yards, with 216 through the air and 151 on the ground. The offense picked up 26 first downs and produced 3 touchdowns, each one a rushing score.

Houston Texans lost their last game, being beaten at home to Denver Broncos 18-15 at NRG Stadium. The Texans put up 268 total yards, made up of 191 through the air and 77 on the ground. They allowed 15 first downs and picked up 15.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Jaguars won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 17-10 triumph when facing the Texans at EverBank Stadium. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Texans have won seven.

Quarterbacks

Trevor Lawrence

201.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Davis Mills

211.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Jaguars vs Texans Prediction & Picks

Prepare for Jaguars vs Texans with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

The two teams should be able to accumulate enough points for our pick to win. We’re predicting Over 37.5 and odds of -105 are available for this NFL battle.

To deliver the best possible NFL predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date stats available.

Key Jaguars vs Texans stats:

• The 37.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Jaguars games on the road.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Jaguars games on the road.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Jaguars games on the road.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Texans games at home.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Texans games at home.

Over 37.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs wager, it’s possible to combine this with the winning franchise. The Result & Total lines can provide a larger potential payout.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 37.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 07 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Trevor Lawrence Over 206.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) at -114 to go over 206.5 passing yards. We can back him in the QB Passing Yards market and hope the Over hits.

Latest Trevor Lawrence Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+480

First

+1800

Passing Yards

Over 201.5

-112

Under 201.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

---

Nico Collins Anytime TD +160

Nico Collins (Texans) can be backed at +160 to reach the goal line. The Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds look attractive based on the evidence, and we’ll back him to take it to the house.

Latest Nico Collins Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+160

First

+650

Receiving Yards

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Jaguars 17 - 23 Texans

Should you want a bet that can land a monster return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Back the Texans to win 23-17 and leverage a huge payout if this happens.

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Jaguars vs Texans Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Moneyline odds about Houston Texans triumphing is priced at -175 and you can get Jacksonville Jaguars at +145. The probability of the home team winning this game is 64% according to the sportsbooks.

3.5 is the spread and 45.5 is the total points line. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to wager Over 45.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re betting on the National Football League, we recommend visiting the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Jaguars

+145

Texans

-175

Point Spread

Jaguars +3.5

-110

Texans -3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 45.5

-110

Over 45.5

-110

The First TD Scorer favorite is Travis Etienne Jr. at +650. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last touchdown.

Touchdown

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+165

Nico Collins (Texans)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+160

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+260

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+300

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+290

Woody Marks (Texans)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+300

Nick Chubb (Texans)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+340

Christian Kirk (Texans)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+390

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+410

Hunter Long (Jaguars)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+460

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+480

Johnny Mundt (Jaguars)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+500

Dyami Brown (Jaguars)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+500

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+550

Tim Patrick (Jaguars)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+800

Jayden Higgins (Texans)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

Braxton Berrios (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

Harrison Bryant (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1000

Jaylin Noel (Texans)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

Quintin Morris (Jaguars)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1300

Dare Ogunbowale (Texans)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1500

Davis Mills (Texans)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+2200

Austin Trammell (Jaguars)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2500

Tim Jones (Jaguars)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+3000

British Brooks (Texans)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Cody Schrader (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

LeQuint Allen Jr. (Jaguars)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Nico Collins (Texans)

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Parker Washington (Jaguars)

Over 45.5

-112

Under 45.5

-112

Dalton Schultz (Texans)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Dyami Brown (Jaguars)

Over 32.5

-112

Under 32.5

-112

Christian Kirk (Texans)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Xavier Hutchinson (Texans)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Johnny Mundt (Jaguars)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Over 54.5

-112

Under 54.5

-112

Nick Chubb (Texans)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Woody Marks (Texans)

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Davis Mills (Texans)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-112

Passing Yards

Davis Mills (Texans)

Over 211.5

-112

Under 211.5

-112

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Over 201.5

-112

Under 201.5

-112

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Texans Have Picked Up Five Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Texans have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 21.30 points per contest and giving up 18.60.

The Jaguars own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 19.50 points per contest and giving up 27.10.

The Texans earned a 24-20 win against the Jaguars in the teams’ last meeting at NRG Stadium. Across the past 6 head-to-head meetings at NRG Stadium, the Texans have collected four wins, with the Jaguars owning two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O37.5	U37.5
Texans Home Stats		5-5	39.90	21.30	18.60	6	4
Jaguars Away Stats		3-7	46.60	19.50	27.10	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O37.5 = Games Over 37.5 Points
• U37.5 = Games Under 37.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Houston Texans Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 37.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 37.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.90 pts and allowed 22.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.50 pts and allowed 27.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 37.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 37.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 37.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.40 pts and allowed 15.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 21.30 pts and allowed 18.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 334.80 Yds. Allowed 345.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 124.70 Yds. Allowed 103.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.10 Yds. Allowed 242.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.70. Allowed 21.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.60. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 71.50 Yds. Gained 49.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 333.40 Yds. Allowed 261.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 118.80 Yds. Allowed 81.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 214.60 Yds. Allowed 179.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.40. Allowed 15.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.20. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 62.40 Yds. Gained 46.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 300.80 Yds. Allowed 398.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 104.60 Yds. Allowed 124.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 196.20 Yds. Allowed 273.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.30. Allowed 24.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.60 Yds. Gained 45.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 305.40 Yds. Allowed 296.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 94.20 Yds. Allowed 115.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 211.20 Yds. Allowed 181.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.10. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 2.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.40. Committed by opponents 5.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.50 Yds. Gained 40.80 Yds

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