Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Chiefs vs Cowboys

The Kansas City Chiefs battle the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 on Thursday, November 27.

The Cowboys at +3.5 looks a great number for the underdogs when they face the Chiefs. Take the odds of -122 that this line gets covered.

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Kansas City Chiefs have lost three straight road games. Their most recent appearance was a 23-20 (OT) home win over Indianapolis Colts at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs finished with 494 yards, including 346 passing and 148 rushing yards. The offense scored one rushing TD and collected 33 first downs.

Dallas Cowboys made it back-to-back wins in their last game. Landing a 24-21 home victory against Philadelphia Eagles at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys moved the ball for 473 yards, split between 348 passing and 125 rushing yards. They converted for 25 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns in total, with 2 through the air and one rushing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Chiefs who came out on top when they last played the Cowboys. At GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, a 19-9 win was recorded.

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

267.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Dak Prescott

252.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction & Picks

Our expert Chiefs vs Cowboys tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The Cowboys should give a good account of themselves in this NFL showdown and the pick is to back them on the spread. The +3.5 looks very attractive and -122 is available.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible NFL picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Chiefs vs Cowboys stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Cowboys in 4 of their last 5 games at home this season.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Cowboys in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Cowboys in 2 consecutive games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 5 games on the road this season.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 3 consecutive games.

Cowboys +3.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.9% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There's always the option to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Game Prediction

Cowboys +3.5 @ -122 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Travis Kelce Anytime TD +120

The odds for Travis Kelce (Chiefs) to hit paydirt are +120. Based on all the information, we'll head to the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market where we can back him to punch it in at attractive odds.

Latest Travis Kelce Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+120

First

+750

Receiving Yards

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

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Javonte Williams Under 68.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Javonte Williams (Cowboys) at -114 to finish with fewer than 68.5 rushing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Rushing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Javonte Williams Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-161

First

+480

Receiving Yards

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs 20 - 23 Cowboys

For a fun wager, consider backing the Cowboys to claim a 23-20 victory. Although it’s a speculative bet, we are expecting things to be close between the two teams.

Chiefs vs Cowboys Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Kansas City Chiefs are regarded as having a 64% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -179. The market suggests that Dallas Cowboys are least likely to win at +152.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 52.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. Those who wager Under 52.5 can get -110.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every National Football League showdown, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Chiefs

-179

Cowboys

+152

Point Spread

Chiefs -3.5

-100

Cowboys +3.5

-122

Total Points

Under 52.5

-110

Over 52.5

-110

There is -161 available that Javonte Williams scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +480.

Touchdown

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

First TD

+480

Anytime TD

-161

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-135

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+120

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+135

George Pickens (Cowboys)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+155

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+125

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+200

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+220

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+250

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+380

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+450

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

KaVontae Turpin (Cowboys)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+650

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Jalen Tolbert (Cowboys)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+600

Malik Davis (Cowboys)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+800

Ryan Flournoy (Cowboys)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+600

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+650

Robert Tonyan (Chiefs)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+700

Luke Schoonmaker (Cowboys)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+850

Brevyn Spann-Ford (Cowboys)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+950

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+750

Hunter Luepke (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1400

Elijah Mitchell (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jonathan Mingo (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

Over 78.5

-114

Under 78.5

-114

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 74.5

-114

Under 74.5

-114

George Pickens (Cowboys)

Over 73.5

-114

Under 73.5

-114

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

KaVontae Turpin (Cowboys)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 29.5

-114

Under 29.5

-114

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 267.5

-114

Under 267.5

-114

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 252.5

-114

Under 252.5

-114

Cowboys Have Taken Five Wins From Last Ten Home Outings

The Chiefs have lost three straight on the road. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 21.30 points on offense and surrendering 23.90 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O52.5	U52.5
Cowboys Home Stats		5-4	54.20	26.70	27.50	3	7
Chiefs Away Stats		4-6	45.20	21.30	23.90	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
• U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Dallas Cowboys Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 games
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 52.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.60 pts and allowed 17.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.30 pts and allowed 23.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 59.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 52.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.00 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 27.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 378.90 Yds. Allowed 282.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.30 Yds. Allowed 98.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 258.60 Yds. Allowed 184.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.90. Allowed 15.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.30 Yds. Gained 46.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 395.30 Yds. Allowed 385.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.60 Yds. Allowed 121.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 274.70 Yds. Allowed 263.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.40. Allowed 22.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.30. Committed by opponents 8.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 68.70 Yds. Gained 67.80 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 320.90 Yds. Allowed 352.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 94.40 Yds. Allowed 124.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 226.50 Yds. Allowed 228.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.30. Allowed 21.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.70. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 66.00 Yds. Gained 42.20 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 385.10 Yds. Allowed 376.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 117.50 Yds. Allowed 114.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 267.60 Yds. Allowed 262.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.60. Allowed 21.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.20. Committed by opponents 9.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 65.20 Yds. Gained 78.30 Yds

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