Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Chiefs vs Broncos

The Kansas City Chiefs battle the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, November 16.

We’re happy to get with the Broncos against the spread. -102 is available that they are able to cover +3.5 against the Chiefs and that looks more than reasonable.

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Kansas City Chiefs have suffered a defeat in back-to-back road games including a recent 28-21 loss. This occurred at Highmark Stadium against Buffalo Bills. The Chiefs recorded 305 total yards, made up of 226 through the air and 79 on the ground. They picked up 16 first downs and scored 2 touchdowns, both on the ground.

Denver Broncos have enjoyed seven straight wins, most recently beating Las Vegas Raiders 10-7. It was a home success at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos totaled 220 yards, split between 136 passing and 84 rushing yards. The offense scored once through the air and produced 10 first downs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Empower Field at Mile High, with the Broncos claiming the win. Beating the Chiefs by a 38-0 scoreline. It’s been eight Chiefs wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

261.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Bo Nix

218.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Chiefs vs Broncos with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a good opportunity to back the Broncos against the spread considering the underdogs should perform well in this NFL showdown. Snap up the -102 when it comes to them covering the +3.5.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Chiefs vs Broncos stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Broncos in 10 consecutive games.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Broncos in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 3 of their last 4 games on the road this season.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Broncos in 3 consecutive games against Chiefs.

Broncos +3.5 Probability

The top NFL sportsbooks make it a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Game Prediction

Broncos +3.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Mahomes Under 261.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) to finish with fewer than 261.5 passing yards are -114. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the QB Passing Yards line.

Latest Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+340

First

+1600

Passing Yards

Over 261.5

-112

Under 261.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 24.5

-112

Under 24.5

-112

---

Courtland Sutton Under 49.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Courtland Sutton (Broncos) to record fewer than 49.5 receiving yards are -114. There’s a strong case for opting for him to fall short of the required total in the Player Receiving Yards market.

Latest Courtland Sutton Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+1000

Receiving Yards

Over 47.5

-112

Under 47.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs 20 - 21 Broncos

A close matchup could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Broncos to secure a 21-20 win at massive odds and this correct score prediction should hopefully be a fun one.

Chiefs vs Broncos Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The sportsbooks have Kansas City Chiefs at -222 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 69% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. For those wanting to back Denver Broncos, you will find +184 about the underdogs.

The spread is currently 4.5, with the total points line at 44.5. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those that want to back Under 44.5 can find odds of -105 available.

If a National Football League wager is on your mind, visit the top sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available game lines and team props. Find the betting odds and lines which are the most appealing.

Moneyline

Chiefs

-222

Broncos

+184

Point Spread

Chiefs -4.5

-104

Broncos +4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 44.5

-105

Over 44.5

-115

Rashee Rice is available at +120 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +650 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+120

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+110

J.K. Dobbins (Broncos)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+120

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+115

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+145

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+180

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+210

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+230

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+240

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+340

Evan Engram (Broncos)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+400

Bo Nix (Broncos)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+450

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+420

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+480

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Pat Bryant (Broncos)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Jaleel McLaughlin (Broncos)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+800

Tyler Badie (Broncos)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+750

Adam Trautman (Broncos)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+800

Michael Bandy (Broncos)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1000

Trent Sherfield Sr. (Broncos)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1200

Lil'Jordan Humphrey (Broncos)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1300

Elijah Mitchell (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Jalen Royals (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Robert Tonyan (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Adam Prentice (Broncos)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Jared Wiley (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Marcedes Lewis (Broncos)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Receiving Yards

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 76.5

-112

Under 76.5

-112

Courtland Sutton (Broncos)

Over 47.5

-112

Under 47.5

-112

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

Troy Franklin (Broncos)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Evan Engram (Broncos)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Marvin Mims Jr. (Broncos)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-112

Brashard Smith (Chiefs)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

Pat Bryant (Broncos)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 8.5

-118

Under 8.5

-108

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Rushing Yards

RJ Harvey (Broncos)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 43.5

-112

Under 43.5

-112

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 24.5

-112

Under 24.5

-112

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Rashee Rice (Chiefs)

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-130

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 261.5

-112

Under 261.5

-112

Bo Nix (Broncos)

Over 218.5

-112

Under 218.5

-112

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Broncos Eye Another Home Win

The Broncos are 10-0 in their last 10 home games, scoring 31.10 points per contest and conceding 14.30.

The Chiefs are 4-6 in their last 10 games on the road, putting up 21.50 points on average and giving up 24.70.

The Broncos beat the Chiefs 38-0 in their most recent meeting at Empower Field at Mile High. In 6 meetings at Empower Field at Mile High, the Chiefs have four wins to their name, with the Broncos having two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Broncos Home Stats		10-0	45.40	31.10	14.30	3	7
Chiefs Away Stats		4-6	46.20	21.50	24.70	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Denver Broncos Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.70 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.50 pts and allowed 24.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 17.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.10 pts and allowed 14.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 360.60 Yds. Allowed 297.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 114.00 Yds. Allowed 107.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 246.60 Yds. Allowed 189.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.70. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.30 Yds. Gained 41.80 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 334.60 Yds. Allowed 270.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.60 Yds. Allowed 91.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 206.00 Yds. Allowed 179.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 17.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.30. Committed by opponents 8.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 73.60 Yds. Gained 58.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 315.70 Yds. Allowed 355.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 96.00 Yds. Allowed 129.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 219.70 Yds. Allowed 225.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.30. Allowed 21.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.80 Yds. Gained 37.10 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 375.40 Yds. Allowed 267.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.50 Yds. Allowed 79.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 246.90 Yds. Allowed 187.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.00 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.50. Allowed 15.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 8.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 60.80 Yds. Gained 62.60 Yds

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