NFL Betting Preview: Chiefs vs Jaguars

The Kansas City Chiefs clash with the Jacksonville Jaguars in this NFL Week 5 Monday Night Football matchup at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Monday 6 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Can Jaguars Make it a Close Game?

The Jaguars look easy to back at -104 considering they’ve been given a spread of +3. This looks a good number when squaring off against the Chiefs.

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Chiefs Too Strong for Jaguars in Last H2H

Kansas City Chiefs beat Baltimore Ravens in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 37-20 home win at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs finished with 382 total yards, made up of 264 through the air and 118 on the ground. They scored 4 touchdowns and picked up 24 first downs.

Jacksonville Jaguars have triumphed in back-to-back games. The latest of these was on the road where San Francisco 49ers were beaten 26-21 at Levi's Stadium. The Jaguars finished with 325 yards, including 174 passing and 151 rushing yards. The offense scored 3 touchdowns and moved the chains 18 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Chiefs won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 17-9 triumph when facing the Jaguars at EverBank Stadium. The Chiefs have won on the past 4 times these teams have gone H2H.

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

Trevor Lawrence

Chiefs vs Jaguars Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Chiefs vs Jaguars betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

We’re really sweet on the Jaguars putting up a fight in this NFL showdown and that compels us to bet the underdogs against the spread. You can get -104 when it comes to the +3 that is available.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible NFL picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Chiefs vs Jaguars stats:

The +3 line has been covered by Jaguars in 4 of their last 5 games.
The +3 line has been covered by Jaguars in 7 of their last 10 games.
The +3 line has been covered by Jaguars in 3 consecutive games at home.
The -3 line hasn’t been covered by Chiefs in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Jaguars +3 Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 51% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

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Best Bet

Jaguars +3 @ -104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 02:26, 05 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Xavier Worthy Anytime TD +155

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs) is available at +155 to reach the end zone. It’s worth a gamble on him to be Anytime Touchdown Scorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Xavier Worthy Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Patrick Mahomes Under 245.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) to record fewer than 245.5 passing yards stand at -114. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.

Latest Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Passing Yards

Rushing Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Jaguars +3

Totals Under 46.5

Anytime Touchdown Xavier Worthy

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Jaguars +3, Under 46.5 points and Xavier Worthy (Chiefs) to record a touchdown.

A same game parlay allows football bettors to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can go through the available betting lines and select the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each pick are then combined together.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs

17 - 20 Jaguars logo

Jaguars

We’re expecting this to be a close battle and we’ll take the Jaguars to win 20-17. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Chiefs vs Jaguars Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Chiefs Moneyline Favorites

Kansas City Chiefs have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 66% probability due to their -196 Moneyline betting odds. Jacksonville Jaguars are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +164.

The spread is currently 3, with the total points line at 45.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you want to bet Under 45.5, there are odds of -110.

Consider every angle when placing your National Football League wagers. The top betting apps have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Travis Etienne Jr. Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

Favorite Travis Etienne Jr. is available at +650 to be the First TD Scorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in this player to score the final touchdown.

Touchdown

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

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Receiving Yards

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Brian Thomas Jr (Jaguars)

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

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Rushing Yards

Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars)

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

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Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Last 5 Games

Chiefs

NFL: 28/09 Ravens20 Chiefs 37
NFL: 22/09 Chiefs22 Giants 9
NFL: 14/09 Eagles20 Chiefs 17
NFL: 06/09 Chiefs21 Chargers 27
NFL Playoffs: 10/02 Chiefs22 Eagles 40

Jaguars

NFL: 28/09 Jaguars26 49ers 21
NFL: 21/09 Texans10 Jaguars 17
NFL: 14/09 Jaguars27 Bengals 31
NFL: 07/09 Panthers10 Jaguars 26
NFL: 05/01 Jaguars23 Colts 26

Head to Head

Chiefs vs Jaguars

NFL: 17/09 2023 Chiefs 17 Jaguars 9
NFL: 21/01 2023 Jaguars 20 Chiefs 27
NFL: 13/11 2022 Jaguars 17 Chiefs 27
NFL: 08/09 2019 Chiefs 40 Jaguars 26

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Jacksonville Jaguars Stats

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

-3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
-3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

+3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
+3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 46.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 46.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 22.60 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.10 pts and allowed 22.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 46.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 46.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.40 pts and allowed 19.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 304.60 Yds. Allowed 346.00 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 89.60 Yds. Allowed 138.30 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 215.00 Yds. Allowed 207.70 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.50. Allowed 20.80
Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 0.90
Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 6.20
Penalty Yards: Lost 49.10 Yds. Gained 46.30 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 342.30 Yds. Allowed 334.30 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 120.90 Yds. Allowed 109.50 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 221.40 Yds. Allowed 224.80 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 20.10
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.40
Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 4.90
Penalty Yards: Lost 65.00 Yds. Gained 39.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 303.90 Yds. Allowed 336.70 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 98.90 Yds. Allowed 117.70 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 205.00 Yds. Allowed 219.00 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.60. Allowed 20.90
Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.60
Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 5.90
Penalty Yards: Lost 61.70 Yds. Gained 37.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 347.50 Yds. Allowed 345.10 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 121.20 Yds. Allowed 119.30 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 226.30 Yds. Allowed 225.80 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 20.20
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.20
Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.10
Penalty Yards: Lost 53.40 Yds. Gained 44.10 Yds

Live Streaming

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Team News

Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Felix Anudike-Uzomah

Hamstring

Jake Briningstool

Hamstring

Deon Bush

Achilles

Ethan Driskell

Appendix

Kristian Fulton

Ankle

Brandon George

Undisclosed

Keaontay Ingram

Undisclosed

Nazeeh Johnson

Shoulder

Omarr Norman-Lott

Shoulder

Rashee Rice

Suspension

Janarius Robinson

Foot

Eric Scott

Undisclosed

Jacksonville Jaguars Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Yasir Abdullah

Hamstring

Joshua Cephus

Undisclosed

Dennis Daley

Undisclosed

Cooper Hodges

Knee

Jalen McLeod

Lower Body

Wyatt Milum

Knee

Caleb Ransaw

Lower Body

Travon Walker

Wrist

Previous Kansas City Chiefs Lineups

28 Sep NFL

Ravens 20-37 Chiefs

AFC East	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	4	0	1.000	133	90	43	3-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	3-0-0	4-0-0	4W
Patriots	2	2	0.500	102	81	21	1-2-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	2-2-0	1W
Dolphins	1	3	0.250	83	118	-35	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	1-3-0	1-3-0	1W
Jets	0	4	0.000	90	120	-30	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	0-4-0	4L

AFC North	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Steelers	3	1	0.750	96	98	-2	1-1-0	2-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	3-1-0	2W
Bengals	2	2	0.500	61	119	-58	1-0-0	1-2-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	2-2-0	2L
Ravens	1	3	0.250	131	133	-2	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	1-3-0	2L
Browns	1	3	0.250	56	102	-46	1-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	1-3-0	1L

AFC South	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	3	1	0.750	123	83	40	2-0-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	3-1-0	1L
Jaguars	3	1	0.750	96	72	24	2-0-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	3-1-0	2W
Texans	1	3	0.250	64	51	13	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-3-0	1W
Titans	0	4	0.000	51	120	-69	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-3-0	0-4-0	4L

AFC West	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Chargers	3	1	0.750	88	71	17	2-0-0	1-1-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	3-1-0	1L
Chiefs	2	2	0.500	97	76	21	1-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	2W
Broncos	2	2	0.500	96	67	29	2-0-0	0-2-0	0-1-0	2-2-0	2-2-0	1W
Raiders	1	3	0.250	77	99	-22	0-2-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-3-0	3L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	4	0	0	1.000	108	88	20	2-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0	4-0-0	4W
Commanders	2	2	0	0.500	107	91	16	2-0-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	2-2-0	1L
Cowboys	1	2	1	0.250	114	132	-18	1-0-1	0-2-0	1-1-0	1-2-1	1-2-1	1D
Giants	1	3	0	0.250	73	101	-28	1-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	1-3-0	1W

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Lions	3	1	0	0.750	137	88	49	2-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	3-1-0	3W
Packers	2	1	1	0.500	104	84	20	2-0-0	0-1-1	1-0-0	2-0-1	2-1-1	1D
Vikings	2	2	0	0.500	102	80	22	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	1L
Bears	2	2	0	0.500	101	117	-16	1-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-2-0	2-2-0	2W

NFC South	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	3	1	0.750	97	97	0	1-1-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	3-1-0	1L
Falcons	2	2	0.500	76	86	-10	1-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	2-2-0	2-2-0	1W
Panthers	1	3	0.250	75	95	-20	1-0-0	0-3-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-3-0	1L
Saints	0	4	0.000	66	121	-55	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-3-0	0-4-0	4L

NFC West	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
49ers	4	1	0.800	106	98	8	1-1-0	3-0-0	3-0-0	4-0-0	4-1-0	1W
Seahawks	3	1	0.750	111	67	44	1-1-0	2-0-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	3-1-0	3W
Rams	3	2	0.600	123	107	16	2-1-0	1-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Cardinals	2	2	0.500	82	74	8	1-1-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	2-2-0	2-2-0	2L

NFL Betting Preview: Chiefs vs Jaguars

Head-to-Head Statistics

Chiefs vs Jaguars Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Jaguars +3 Probability

Best Bet

Player Prop Picks

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs vs Jaguars Odds

Last 5 & H2H

Live Streaming

Team News

Kansas City Chiefs Injuries

Jacksonville Jaguars Injuries

Previous Kansas City Chiefs Lineups

Previous Jacksonville Jaguars Lineups

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