Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Chiefs vs Raiders

The Kansas City Chiefs square off against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 17:25 on Sunday, January 4.

Let’s go for Over 36.5 when the Raiders face the Chiefs. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -106.

Kansas City Chiefs have lost in their previous five outings. In a recent home game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, they were turned over 20-13 by Denver Broncos. The Chiefs recorded 139 yards, split between 57 passing and 82 rushing yards. The offense picked up 10 first downs and reached the end zone once.

Las Vegas Raiders were defeated last time, making it ten losses on the spin. Allegiant Stadium saw them beaten 34-10 at home to New York Giants. The Raiders moved the ball for 231 yards, with 168 through the air and 63 on the ground. Their output included 14 first downs and a touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Chiefs had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, they recorded a 31-0 win over the Raiders. The Chiefs have won nine of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Quarterbacks

Chris Oladokun

149.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Kenny Pickett

169.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Chiefs vs Raiders betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We think the best betting angle can be found with the totals for this NFL battle. Our pick is that there will be Over 36.5 points and that is available at -106.

Our NFL handicappers start by reviewing the latest team news for each franchise, followed by a close look at recent form. That information is then applied to the most relevant stats to reach a well-informed verdict.

Key Chiefs vs Raiders stats:

• The 36.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Chiefs games on the road.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Chiefs games on the road.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Raiders games.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Raiders games at home.
• The 36.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Raiders games.

Over 36.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.5% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 36.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 2, 23:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chris Oladokun Over 141.5 Passing Yards -114

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs) is priced at -114 to rack up over 141.5 passing yards. We can place a QB Passing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.

Latest Chris Oladokun Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 149.5

-112

Under 149.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs 28 - 13 Raiders

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score bet on the Chiefs. Backing them to win 28-13 means you can land a potential monster return.

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Chiefs vs Raiders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Kansas City Chiefs are -213 favorites to win and that means a 68% chance of landing a victory. The market suggests that Las Vegas Raiders are least likely to win at +180.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 36.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 36.5, the odds are -102.

Every matchup offers a deep selection of team props and game lines and the top NFL betting sites deliver excellent pre-game and in-game wagering opportunities. It’s all about finding the bets that match your game plan.

Moneyline

Chiefs

-213

Raiders

+180

Point Spread

Chiefs -4.5

-105

Raiders +4.5

-115

Total Points

Under 36.5

-120

Over 36.5

-102

Passing Yards

Kenny Pickett (Raiders)

Over 169.5

-114

Under 169.5

-114

Chris Oladokun (Chiefs)

Over 149.5

-112

Under 149.5

-112

Raiders With Five Consecutive Home Losses

The Raiders have come up short in five consecutive outings at Allegiant Stadium. They have gone 2-8 across their last 10 home games, averaging 17.40 points scored and 24.30 points allowed.

The Chiefs have come up short in their last five on the road. They have a 2-8 record in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 19.90 points on average and giving up 26.20.

The Chiefs earned a 27-20 win over the Raiders the last time they played at Allegiant Stadium. In their past 5 head-to-heads at Allegiant Stadium, the Chiefs have won each one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O36.5	U36.5
Raiders Home Stats		2-8	41.70	17.40	24.30	6	4
Chiefs Away Stats		2-8	46.10	19.90	26.20	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O36.5 = Games Over 36.5 Points
• U36.5 = Games Under 36.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Las Vegas Raiders Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 36.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.50 pts and allowed 19.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.90 pts and allowed 26.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 36.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 12.40 pts and allowed 27.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 24.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 312.30 Yds. Allowed 305.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 101.60 Yds. Allowed 96.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.70 Yds. Allowed 209.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 16.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.60 Yds. Gained 58.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 212.40 Yds. Allowed 336.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 56.80 Yds. Allowed 133.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 155.60 Yds. Allowed 203.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 13.60. Allowed 21.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.50 Yds. Gained 52.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 300.20 Yds. Allowed 376.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 81.70 Yds. Allowed 132.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 218.50 Yds. Allowed 243.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.60. Allowed 21.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.30. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 71.70 Yds. Gained 45.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 267.40 Yds. Allowed 331.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 73.10 Yds. Allowed 106.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 194.30 Yds. Allowed 225.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.70. Allowed 19.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.00 Yds. Gained 54.20 Yds

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